Dollar market at KASE confidently fixes itself below 130 under the pressure of the big sales volume of USD
/IRBIS, Andrey Tsalyuk, Sergey Yakovlev, February 7, 05/ - Today the next morning trades in U.S. dollar were held at Kazakhstan Stock Exchange (KASE) on TOD payment terms. Below are main parameters of the trade and comparison with corresponding indicators of previous morning session.
Table of trade results (tenge per dollar, th. dollars)
-------------------------------------------------------------------- Indicator Value Trend ---------------------------------------------------- ------ ------ Rate of the first deal 129.96 -0.04 Maximum rate 129.96 -0.23 Volume at maximum price 5 0 Minimum rate 129.60 -0.20 Volume at minimum price 1055 +1050 Rate of the last deal 129.83 -0.14 ---------------------------------------------------- ------ ------ Weighted average rate 129.83 -0.15 Volume of the session 62,475 -3,500 ---------------------------------------------------- ------ ------ Number of deals 144 +100 Number of participants 16 0 Volume of unsatisfactory offer* 5,095 -6,075 Volume of unsatisfactory demand* 10,970 -9,445 Best demand at KASE at closing 129.83 -0.13 Best offer at KASE at closing 129.84 -0.13 ---------------------------------------------------- ------ ------ Best demand at 11:00 out of stock exchange (REUTERS) 129.79 -0.13 Best offer at 11:00 at stock exchange (REUTERS) 129.87 -0.13 -------------------------------------------------------------------- *volume of corresponding active bids of STB in the trade system at closing of the trade
Table of trade price levels
--------------------------------------- Time (ALT) Price Volume, Number ------------ level th. USD of deals from to ------ ------- -------- ----- ----- 129.96 5 1 10:18 10:18 129.91 350 2 10:18 10:19 129.90 200 2 10:19 10:19 129.89 5 1 10:22 10:22 129.87 4100 29 10:23 10:31 129.86 1300 8 10:34 10:34 129.85 800 4 10:36 10:36 129.84 50 1 10:37 10:37 129.83 50265 76 10:19 10:59 129.82 200 2 10:41 10:41 129.81 400 2 10:41 10:41 129.80 3745 13 10:19 10:45 129.60 1055 3 10:41 10:44 ------ ------- -------- ----- ----- TOTAL 62475 144 10:18 10:59 ---------------------------------------
Exporters' USD offer volume still strengthens tenge. Judging on results of haggling it's possible to say the market has rather confidently fixed itself below "zeroes" and is still gradually falling. Degree of demand monopolization is still very high that means the considerable potential of tenge for further strengthening.
It's notable that almost all net-sellers of USD work for both purchase and sale. Two participants finished the session with zero net. Judging on all, traders of big banks do not hope for a deep falling of the market and, selling their clients' currency restore their currency positions at a time.
Results of technical analysis let forecast further strengthening of tenge and do not exclude market's falling to 129.48.
One hour after closing of the morning session out of stock exchange dollar was quoted at KZT129.88/98, two hours later - 129.83/94. At the day trades of KASE at 1:00 p.m. dollar was quoted at 129.92/96, deals were not made yet.
[2005-02-07]