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22.11.2004 11:08

U.S. dollar market of Kazakhstan: day results

/IRBIS, Andrey Tsalyuk, Sergey Yakovlev, November 22, 04/ - Following is the table of major indicators of Kazakhstan market for U.S. dollar according to results of the day. The rate is given in tenge per dollar, volume - th. USD, trends are shown relative to corresponding figures of previous trading trade day.

Results of trades at Kazakhstan stock exchange (KASE)

----------------------------------------------------------------------
                                USD TOD         USD TOD        USD TOM
                                Morning             Day        Evening
Instrument              10:15-11:00 ALT     11:30-15:30    14:00-18:00
KASE's session          10:15-11:00 ALT     11:30-15:30    14:00-18:00
                        ---------------  --------------  -------------
Time                    -------  ------  ------  ------  ------  -----
Indicator                 Value   trend   value   trend   value  trend
----------------------  -------  ------  ------  ------  ------  -----
Opening rate             130.00   -0.10  129.96   -0.21       -      -
----------------------  -------  ------  ------  ------  ------  -----
Maximum rate             130.10   -0.25  130.01   -0.16       -      -
Volume on max. Price          5       0     570    +170       0      0
----------------------  -------  ------  ------  ------  ------  -----
Minimum rate             129.97   -0.03  129.93   -0.12       -      -
volume on min. Price          5       0    1000  -53910       0      0
----------------------  -------  ------  ------  ------  ------  -----
Closing rate             130.00   -0.20  130.01   -0.04       -      -
Weight. aver. rate       130.00   -0.20  129.96   -0.10       -      -
Volume of the session     68015   -2310   10370  -67740       0      0
Number of deals              50     -30      43     -28       0      0
Number of participants       14      -1      13      -3       0      0
----------------------  -------  ------  ------  ------  ------  -----
Best bid*                130.00   -0.20  130.00   -0.05       -      -
Best ask*                130.01   -0.20  130.01   -0.05       -      -
----------------------  -------  ------  ------  ------  ------  -----
REUTERS Bid*             129.91   -0.19  129.90   -0.10  129.81  -0.12
REUTERS Ask*             130.02   -0.18  130.00   -0.10  129.91  -0.14
----------------------------------------------------------------------

* at closing of the session at KASE, out of stock exchange - by the data of REUTERS

Table of price levels of trade in US dollar at KASE on TOD terms

------------------------------------------------------------------
                                      Total by results of the day:
                                      Total by results of the day:
              Morning            Day  ----------------------------
              Morning            Day  -------  -----  ------------
             session:       session:                   time (ALT):
        -------------  -------------                  ------------
Price   ------  -----
Level   volume  deals  volume  deals   volume  deals   from     to
------  ------  -----  ------  -----  -------  -----  -----  -----
130.10       5      1                       5      1  10:15  10:15
130.01                    570      3      570      3  15:26  15:29
130.00   68005     48     400      2    68405     50  10:15  15:17
129.99                   1400      3     1400      3  12:21  15:17
129.98                   1200      7     1200      7  12:20  14:56
129.97       5      1     100      1      105      2  10:16  14:09
129.96                   1300      8     1300      8  11:41  14:10
129.95                   2100      8     2100      8  11:41  14:46
129.94                   2300      7     2300      7  11:41  14:39
129.93                   1000      4     1000      4  14:25  14:26
------  ------  -----  ------  -----  -------  -----  -----  -----
TOTAL    68015     50   10370     43    78385     93  10:15  15:29
------------------------------------------------------------------

Parameters of unsatisfied demand and supply at trading system of KASE for the last 5 days (the amount of valid bids by the time of morning and day trades closed, th. USD)

----------------------------------------------------------------------
Indicator   Nov 16, 04  Nov 17, 04  Nov 18, 04  Nov 19, 04  Nov 22, 04
----------  ----------  ----------  ----------  ----------  ----------
Bid             12 440      10 650       8 250      17 000       7 530
Ask             12 650      21 460      25 600       4 800       3 850
----------  ----------  ----------  ----------  ----------  ----------
Difference        +210     +10 810     +17 350     -12 200      -3 680
----------------------------------------------------------------------

The market did not change. Some strengthening of dollar positions at KASE draws attention in the second half of the day, caused by increase of demand for American currency from several banks.

Results of analyses let to more extent to attribute main volume of this demand to speculative. Its appearance could assist to rapid strengthening of tenge against dollar at the morning session or by intention of USA president to carry out policy of "strong dollar" in future.

Increase of USD rate before closing of the day is rather traditional event for the market of last two months. Usually this growth is caused by buying up of dollar by banks for recovery of their currency positions, which are necessary for their future playing downwards. Rather more expressed than usual, such movement formed today signals, allowing by the results of technical analyses to assume possibility of tenge strengthening speed fall on Tuesday and even entering of the market to correctional cut in 130.16. However, judging by fundamental factors the last is hardly possible.

[2004-11-22]