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02.04.2004 23:47

U.S. dollar market of Kazakhstan: day results

/IRBIS, Sergey Yakovlev, Andrey Tsalyuk, April 2, 04/ - Following is the table of major indicators of Kazakhstan market for U.S. dollar (over 99% of country's foreign exchange market) according to results of the day. Values are given in tenge per dollar, volume - th. USD, trends are shown relative to corresponding figures of previous trading day.

Results of trades at Kazakhstan stock exchange

-----------------------------------------------------------------------
Instrument                        USD TOD        USD TOD        USD TOM
KASE's session                       Main     Additional     Additional
                                (morning)          (day)      (evening)
Time                    10:15 - 11:00 ALT    11:30-15:30    14:00-18:00
                        -----------------  -------------  -------------
Indicator                  Value    Trend   Value  trend   value  trend
----------------------  --------  -------  ------  -----  ------  -----
Opening rate              138.30    -0.20  138.50  -0.34       -      -
----------------------  --------  -------  ------  -----  ------  -----
Maximum rate              138.93    -0.22  138.57  -0.33       -      -
Volume on max. Price           5        0     200   -200       0      0
----------------------  --------  -------  ------  -----  ------  -----
Minimum rate              138.30    -0.20  138.50  -0.31       -      -
volume on min. Price           5        0     700   +350       0      0
----------------------  --------  -------  ------  -----  ------  -----
Closing rate              138.50    -0.38  138.55  -0.28       -      -
----------------------  --------  -------  ------  -----  ------  -----
Weight. aver. rate        138.61    -0.31  138.54  -0.30       -      -
Volume of the session       8415     +585    7720  -1180       0      0
Number of deals              140       +4      42    -18       0      0
Number of participants        19       +2      14     -2       0      0
----------------------  --------  -------  ------  -----  ------  -----
Best ask*                 138.45    -0.40  138.54  -0.27       -      -
Best bid*                 138.50    -0.41  138.55  -0.28       -      -
----------------------  --------  -------  ------  -----  ------  -----
REUTERS Bid*              138.42    -0.43  138.46  -0.31  138.47  -0.29
REUTERS Ask*              138.48    -0.47  138.56  -0.26  138.55  -0.26
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
* at closing of the session at KASE, out of stock exchange - by  
the data of REUTERS

Table of price levels of trade in US dollar at KASE on TOD terms

------------------------------------------------------------------
                                      TOTAL BY RESULTS OF THE DAY:
              Morning            Day  ----------------------------
             Session:       session:                   time (ALT):
 Price  -------------  -------------                  ------------
 level  volume  deals  volume  deals   volume  deals   from     to
------  ------  -----  ------  -----  -------  -----  -----  -----
138.93       5      1                       5      1  10:15  10:15
138.80       5      1                       5      1  10:15  10:15
138.69    1500     27                    1500     27  10:34  10:48
138.68      60      3                      60      3  10:42  10:48
138.67     150      2                     150      2  10:49  10:49
138.66     475      8                     475      8  10:32  10:52
138.65     480     10                     480     10  10:18  10:53
138.64     270      7                     270      7  10:53  10:53
138.63     365      9                     365      9  10:30  10:55
138.62     835      7                     835      7  10:54  10:55
138.61     555     15                     555     15  10:19  10:55
138.60     900     11                     900     11  10:18  10:56
138.59     160      3                     160      3  10:56  10:56
138.58     245      6                     245      6  10:56  10:56
138.57     410      8     200      1      610      9  10:57  11:49
138.56     790      8     200      1      990      9  10:57  11:49
138.55     710      5    3750     11     4460     16  10:58  15:29
138.54                   1300      9     1300      9  12:22  15:29
138.53     210      3    1000      8     1210     11  10:59  15:26
138.52     100      1     470      3      570      4  10:59  12:33
138.51      45      2     100      1      145      3  10:59  11:45
138.50     140      2     700      8      840     10  10:59  12:46
138.30       5      1                       5      1  10:15  10:15
------  ------  -----  ------  -----  -------  -----  -----  -----
TOTAL     8415    140    7720     42    16135    182  10:15  15:29
------------------------------------------------------------------

Parameters of unsatisfied demand and supply at trading system of KASE for the last 5 days (the amount of active bids by the time of morning and day trades closed, th. USD)

--------------------------------------------------------------------
Indicator   Mar 29, 04  Mar 30, 04  Mar 31, 04  Apr 1, 04  Apr 2, 04
----------  ----------  ----------  ----------  ---------  ---------
Bid              3,345       2,360      11,105      4,985      3,740
Ask              3,600       4,010       3,140      1,500      2,310
----------  ----------  ----------  ----------  ---------  ---------
Difference        +255      +1,650      -7,965     -3,485     -1,430
--------------------------------------------------------------------

According to day results, the market registered tenge rise. Though trades were somewhat sluggish. Passivity could easily be observed at all sessions and interbank market, where dollar quotes almost exactly followed exchange's rate.

To all appearances, traders are cautiously assessing dollar's potential in short-term perspective. Therefore, it is unlikely that greenback will go up on Monday. However, support of lower levels by central bank was absent either during the whole week. Market can be characterized by presence of supply and demand parity.

IRBIS forecast for Monday: different directions are equally possible: either up and down.

[2004-04-02]