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04.02.2009 19:51 #KASE news

U.S. dollar market of Kazakhstan: day results

/IRBIS, Ekaterina Tatarova, Ruslan Dzubaylo, February 4, 09/ - Following is the table of major indicators of Kazakhstan market of U.S. dollar, on day results. The rate is given in tenge per dollar, volume - th. USD. Trends are shown relative to corresponding figures of previous trading day.

Results of trades on Kazakhstan Stock Exchange (KASE)

-----------------------------------------------------------------------
Instrument                     USD_TOD          USD_TOD         USD_TOM
KASE session                   Morning              Day         Evening
Time                   10:15-11:00 ALT  11:30-15:30 ALT 11:30-17:00 ALT
                       --------------- ---------------- ---------------
Indicator                value   trend   value    trend   value   trend
---------------------- ------- ------- ------- -------- ------- -------
Opening rate            122.93   +0.92  150.00   +27.10  150.07  +27.02
---------------------- ------- ------- ------- -------- ------- -------
Maximum rate            149.00  +26.15  150.85   +26.85  150.17  +26.25
Volume on max. price    32,100 +32,095   1,000   -3,200  50,000 +33,000
---------------------- ------- ------- ------- -------- ------- -------
Minimum rate            122.93   +0.93  149.00   +26.10  149.00  +25.95
Volume on min. price         5  -1,895   1,750   +1,740   6,950 -13,050
---------------------- ------- ------- ------- -------- ------- -------
Closing rate            149.00  +26.15  149.50   +26.50  150.15  +26.55
Weight. aver. rate      143.98  +21.66  150.04   +26.65  150.03  +26.57
Session volume (gross) 295,515 -39,400 179,550 -896,555  96,500 +37,400
Session net-turnover   207,000 -58,000 133,550 -796,805  80,600 +24,300
Number of deals             79     -54      75     -139      13      -7
Number of participants      19      +3      27       +5      11      +1
---------------------- ------- ------- ------- -------- ------- -------
Day gross-turnover*                    475,065 -935,955  96,500 +37,400
Day net-turnover*                      188,900 -853,150  96,500 +24,300
---------------------- ------- ------- ------- -------- ------- -------
Best bid**              149.00  +26.20  149.00   +26.02  150.05  +26.55
Best ask**              150.00  +27.10  150.25   +26.85  150.15  +26.55
---------------------- ------- ------- ------- -------- ------- -------
REUTERS Bid**           123.70   +0.86  149.73   +26.19  149.93  +26.94
REUTERS Ask**           123.75   +0.86  150.23   +26.62  150.43  +27.14
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
* resulting net-position on each instrument
**at closing of the session on KASE, out of stock exchange - by the data of
  REUTERS

Table of price levels of trade in US dollar on KASE on T+0 (USD_TOD) settlement terms

------------------------------------------------------------
                                    TOTAL BY RESULTS OF DAY:
             Morning           Day -------------------------
            session:      session:               time (ALT):
Price  ------------- -------------               -----------
level   volume deals  volume deals  volume deals  from    to
------ ------- ----- ------- ----- ------- ----- ----- -----
150.85       0     0   1,000     2   1,000     2 12:11 12:12
150.80       0     0     500     1     500     1 12:11 12:11
150.75       0     0     500     1     500     1 12:11 12:11
150.69       0     0   1,500     3   1,500     3 12:05 12:10
150.50       0     0     500     1     500     1 14:18 14:18
150.45       0     0   1,000     1   1,000     1 13:22 13:22
150.44       0     0     600     1     600     1 13:22 13:22
150.40       0     0   2,000     1   2,000     1 14:56 14:56
150.25       0     0   1,000     2   1,000     2 13:22 15:25
150.20       0     0   1,200     3   1,200     3 15:24 15:27
150.10       0     0  50,500     2  50,500     2 15:20 15:23
150.02       0     0  21,000     1  21,000     1 15:02 15:02
150.01       0     0  17,500     6  17,500     6 11:56 15:27
150.00       0     0  76,800    47  76,800    47 11:50 15:29
149.50       0     0   2,200     2   2,200     2 15:29 15:29
149.00  32,100     9   1,750     1  33,850    10 10:57 15:29
148.00   5,200     4       0     0   5,200     4 10:56 10:56
146.00   1,500     2       0     0   1,500     2 10:34 10:45
145.50   1,000     1       0     0   1,000     1 10:45 10:45
145.05   1,200     3       0     0   1,200     3 10:43 10:45
145.00 165,800    36       0     0 165,800    36 10:26 10:40
144.90   2,000     1       0     0   2,000     1 10:32 10:32
144.50   2,000     1       0     0   2,000     1 10:32 10:32
144.00  20,000     2       0     0  20,000     2 10:31 10:31
141.74   2,000     1       0     0   2,000     1 10:31 10:31
141.00   2,200     2       0     0   2,200     2 10:31 10:31
140.00  53,500     7       0     0  53,500     7 10:30 10:31
125.50     750     1       0     0     750     1 10:24 10:24
125.00   3,000     3       0     0   3,000     3 10:23 10:23
124.50     250     1       0     0     250     1 10:21 10:21
124.11       5     1       0     0       5     1 10:19 10:19
124.10       5     1       0     0       5     1 10:18 10:18
123.51   1,000     1       0     0   1,000     1 10:17 10:17
123.50   2,000     1       0     0   2,000     1 10:17 10:17
122.93       5     1       0     0       5     1 10:16 10:16
------ ------- ----- ------- ----- ------- ----- ----- -----
TOTAL  295,515    79 179,550    75 475,065   154  0:00 15:29
------------------------------------------------------------

Parameters of unsatisfied demand and supply of second tier banks in KASE' trade system for the last 5 days (total of valid bids by the time of morning and day trades closing, th. USD)

------------------------------------------------------------------
Indicator  Jan. 29, 09 Jan. 30, 09 Feb. 2, 09 Feb.3, 09 Feb. 4, 09
---------- ----------- ----------- ---------- --------- ----------
Ask             36,740      17,400      3,000    11,050     19,200
Bid              8,095      34,605    232,900   624,000    768,680
---------- ----------- ----------- ---------- --------- ----------
Difference     -28,645     +17,205   +229,900  +612,950   +749,480
------------------------------------------------------------------

Sharp tenge devaluation, fixed by the morning session, hasn't activated the market in the afternoon. Traders hadn't basis to doubt in efficiency of measures of the head bank, which will be applied to speculators, according to the head of the bank. Purchasing power of STB appeared to be at such low level, that it was hard to restrain USD rate at the reached highs. On the background of sharp KZT deficit, which is admitted by "overnight" repo rates (they reached 19.92 APR for the whole KASE repo market history) banks announced weak ask on a day session.

Absence of compromise on currency swap open market and results of evening trades along with results of day session don't allow us to forecast evident growth of KZT/USD on Thursday. Stable market within KZT149.50 - 150.00 per dollar looks more probable.

[2009-02-04]