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03.11.2008 22:09 #KASE news

U.S. dollar market of Kazakhstan: day results

/IRBIS, Vitaliy Tomskiy, November 3, 08/ - Following is the table of major indicators of Kazakhstan market of U.S. dollar, on day results. The rate is given in tenge per dollar, volume - th. USD. Trends are shown relative to corresponding figures of previous trading day.

Results of trades on Kazakhstan stock exchange (KASE)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------
Instrument                      USD TOD           USD TOD          USD TOM
KASE's session                  Morning               Day          Evening
Time                    10:15-11:00 ALT   11:30-15:30 ALT  14:00-17:00 ALT
                        ---------------  ----------------  ---------------
Indicator                 value   trend    value    trend   value    trend
----------------------  -------  ------  -------  -------  ------  -------
Opening rate             119.60   +0.10   120.05    +0.16  120.08    +0.13
----------------------  -------  ------  -------  -------  ------  -------
Maximum rate             120.05   +0.18   120.14    +0.17  120.13    +0.16
Volume on max. price      1,000  -1,000      995     -505   1,000   -9,000
----------------------  -------  ------  -------  -------  ------  -------
Minimum rate             119.60   +0.10   120.05    +0.16  120.00    +0.05
Volume on min. price          5       0    1,800   -9,700     500  -45,000
----------------------  -------  ------  -------  -------  ------  -------
Closing rate             120.05   +0.18   120.07    +0.11  120.02    +0.07
Weight. aver. rate       119.94   +0.10   120.09    +0.15  120.08    +0.13
Session volume (gross)   54,175  -6,500   76,865  +25,365  68,650  +11,150
Session net-turnover     37,060  -4,755   73,110  +41,110  55,050   +7,550
Number of deals              47     -59       50       +8      15      -13
Number of participants       20      +1       19        0       7       +1
----------------------  -------  ------  -------  -------  ------  -------
Day gross-turnover*                      131,040  +18,865  68,650  +11,150
Day net-turnover*                         98,550  +24,735  68,650   +7,550
----------------------  -------  ------  -------  -------  ------  -------
Best bid**               120.00   +0.14   120.06    +0.11  120.00    +0.10
Best ask**               120.06   +0.18   120.08    +0.11  120.05    +0.10
----------------------  -------  ------  -------  -------  ------  -------
REUTERS Bid**            119.89   +0.08   120.11    +0.17  120.07    +0.17
REUTERS Ask**            119.94   +0.09   120.14    +0.17  120.08    +0.12
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
* resulting net-position on each instrument
**at closing of the session on KASE, out of stock exchange - by the data of
  REUTERS

Table of price levels of trade in US dollar on KASE on TOD terms

------------------------------------------------------------------
                                          TOTAL BY RESULTS OF DAY:
              Morning            Day  ----------------------------
             session:       session:                   time (ALT):
Price   -------------  -------------                  ------------
level   volume  deals  volume  deals   volume  deals   from     to
------  ------  -----  ------  -----  -------  -----  -----  -----
120.14       0      0     995      3      995      3  15:07  15:15
120.13       0      0   1,605      6    1,605      6  14:57  15:07
120.12       0      0   5,000      3    5,000      3  14:41  15:15
120.11       0      0   5,815     19    5,815     19  14:23  15:25
120.10       0      0   1,400      4    1,400      4  12:43  15:21
120.09       0      0   1,750      5    1,750      5  11:59  15:22
120.08       0      0  57,100      3   57,100      3  12:03  14:16
120.07       0      0     900      4      900      4  11:58  15:29
120.06       0      0     500      1      500      1  11:39  11:39
120.05   1,000      1   1,800      2    2,800      3  11:00  12:03
120.01   1,000      1       0      0    1,000      1  10:59  10:59
120.00  10,005      6       0      0   10,005      6  10:44  10:59
119.99     100      1       0      0      100      1  10:58  10:58
119.98       5      1       0      0        5      1  10:45  10:45
119.96     500      1       0      0      500      1  10:49  10:49
119.95  10,000      3       0      0   10,000      3  10:44  10:51
119.94   2,765     11       0      0    2,765     11  10:34  10:51
119.91   5,000      2       0      0    5,000      2  10:31  10:32
119.90  23,795     19       0      0   23,795     19  10:18  10:27
119.60       5      1       0      0        5      1  10:15  10:15
------  ------  -----  ------  -----  -------  -----  -----  -----
TOTAL   54,175     47  76,865     50  131,040     97  10:15  15:29
------------------------------------------------------------------

Parameters of unsatisfied demand and supply of second tier banks in KASE' trade system for the last 5 days (total of valid bids by the time of morning and day trades closing, th. USD)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------
Indicator   Oct. 28, 08  Oct. 29, 08  Oct. 30, 08  Oct. 31, 08  Nov. 3, 08
----------  -----------  -----------  -----------  -----------  ----------
Ask              56,625       48,350       14,505       30,000       7,005
Bid              35,245       16,610       50,700       88,880     137,800
----------  -----------  -----------  -----------  -----------  ----------
Difference      -21,380      -31,740      +36,195      +58,880    +130,795
--------------------------------------------------------------------------

Today USD/KZT rate sharply grew under regulation factor damping influence, shifting psychologically main point - KZT120.00 per $1.

As we said in the morning comment, the major factors are - energy reserves falling pries, observed since July and liquidity crises, which covered almost all countries.

Judging by preliminary IRBIS data, banking system of the country is to mature $1.7 bn. foreign debt during the last two years. Taking into account absence of any possible debt refinancing, the banks are going to mature the most part by their own reserves, what will retain high currency demand on domestic market.

We forecast continuation of upward trend at this week.

[2008-11-03]