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19.08.2008 17:17 #KASE news

ANALYSIS: Kazakhstan APF conventional pension unit dynamics from beginning of operation till August 1, 2008

/IRBIS, Vitaliy Tomskiy, August 19, 08/ - The table below comprises values of conventional pension unit (CPU) of Kazakhstan accumulative pension funds (APF) as of August 1, 2008, presented to IRBIS agency for spreading by the Agency of the Republic of Kazakhstan on Regulation and Supervision of Financial Market and Financial Organizations, and also dynamics of this indicator in different periods of funds' operation (calculated by IRBIS).

Assets management efficiency should be judged not on the basis of absolute value of CPU, but by its changing speed, as unit absolute value depends on the term of fund's operation. Exactly due to this reason IRBIS operates speed of CPU changing in different periods, expressed in percentage APR (these indicators are given without parenthesis). This indicator for each year was received as differences between final and initial values of CPU referred to initial value, expressed in percentage, divided by number of days in the period and multiplied by 365. According to IRBIS specialists, the received indicator may be considered as indicated yield of fund's assets in the period for depositor (without account of inflation influence).

Funds have been sorted out by the order corresponding to the start of operation in the market. Trends are given in parenthesis: for CPU value - in percent relative to corresponding data as of July 1, 2008, for CPU changing - in percentage items (i.e. value of previous period is deducted from the current yield expressed as percents per annum) relative to the same date.

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                                            CPU change, % APR
                      -------------------------------------------------------
                Value         since the beginning of:           over the last
      Activity of CPU ------------------------------- -----------------------
         Start on Aug.   acti-
Fund      date  1, 08    vity    2005    2006    2007  6 mon.  3 mon.  1 mon.
----- -------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- -------
SAPF  15.01.98 359.745   24.62    6.24    7.14    4.72    2.36    0.65  -15.08
               (-1.28) (-0.65) (-0.61) (-0.86) (-1.20) (-2.36) (-7.38) (-12.8)
----- -------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- -------
HBK   24.02.98 461.102   34.58   11.64   11.60    6.88    4.41    0.18  -18.55
               (-1.58) (-1.00) (-0.93) (-1.23) (-1.57) (-2.08) (-11.2) (-14.9)
----- -------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- -------
Atam  22.03.98 481.193   36.76   11.14   10.61    8.23   15.02   18.42    8.36
               (+0.71) (+0.03) (+0.01) (-0.00) (+0.07) (+6.75) (+1.27) (-5.94)
----- -------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- -------
Ama-  24.03.98 393.825   28.35   10.51   10.22    7.98    6.50   15.20    7.51
nat            (+0.64) (+0.01) (-0.01) (-0.03) (+0.02) (-0.21) (+7.68) (-7.09)
----- -------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- -------
Kaz-  19.04.98 464.525   35.41   10.94   10.70   10.18   10.93   13.20   -6.66
mys            (-0.57) (-0.55) (-0.49) (-0.65) (-1.02) (-1.30) (-5.87) (-21.7)
----- -------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- -------
UlUm  20.04.98 432.579   32.32    8.95    8.37    6.18   -1.54   -9.99  -33.98
               (-2.89) (-1.53) (-1.34) (-1.73) (-2.53) (-3.55) (-21.0) (-5.50)
----- -------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- -------
BTA   28.04.98 586.772   47.40   23.13   26.08   12.44   15.90   17.53   10.56
               (+0.90) (+0.12) (-0.10) (-0.29) (+0.00) (-1.16) (+0.08) (-3.71)
----- -------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- -------
NGD   07.06.98 425.906   32.08    9.25    9.18   10.09   12.07   17.50    0.79
               (+0.07) (-0.24) (-0.20) (-0.28) (-0.52) (+1.24) (-2.99) (-26.0)
----- -------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- -------
Gran- 03.03.99 288.363   19.99    7.24    7.16    5.29    7.16    8.01   -2.39
tum            (-0.20) (-0.24) (-0.25) (-0.34) (-0.45) (-2.23) (-4.83) (-10.5)
----- -------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- -------
SE    20.07.99 230.149   14.40    8.78    6.98    4.39    7.57   17.62   13.32
NIM            (+1.13) (+0.15) (+0.21) (+0.29) (+0.55) (+1.43) (+6.20) (-8.17)
----- -------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- -------
Kor-  01.12.99 211.754   12.88    9.39    9.23    8.51   10.46   11.31    5.34
gau            (+0.45) (-0.02) (-0.06) (-0.09) (-0.14) (-0.77) (-1.82) (-9.06)
----- -------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- -------
Otan  26.11.01 181.170   12.14   12.19   12.94   11.25   10.62   13.37   -0.64
               (-0.05) (-0.17) (-0.32) (-0.47) (-0.68) (-1.53) (-0.98) (-18.8)
----- -------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- -------
Kapi- 06.03.02 168.990   10.76   12.06   13.00   10.84    9.06    8.82    3.63
tal            (+0.31) (-0.06) (-0.17) (-0.28) (-0.37) (-2.23) (-1.93) (-5.69)
----- -------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- -------
RES   18.05.07 113.943   11.54       -       -       -   14.29   15.07   15.04
               (+1.28) (+0.41)       -       -       - (-0.72) (+4.76) (+4.37)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------

The table below shows dynamics of the described above indicator of CPU changing (% APR) in monthly terms for the last 12 months. The funds are sorted out in alphabetical order.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                             2007                                     2008
      --------------------------- ---------------------------------------- Aver-
 Fund VIII   IX     X    XI   XII    I    II   III    IV     V    VI   VII   age
----- ---- ---- ----- ----- ----- ---- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -----
Atam  +1.6 -1.8  -0.5  -9.9  +7.9 +8.7 +10.4  -1.5 -15.3 +23.0 +14.6  +7.5  +3.7
SAPF  +4.8 +5.5 +12.6  +6.5 +11.0  -29 +25.8  +3.5  +4.4 +31.8 +14.3  +8.4  +8.3
Gran-  +12 -4.0  +5.7 +11.4 +11.2 -1.5  +6.4  -0.4  +6.5 +19.5  -2.3 -15.1  +4.1
tum
BTA    -13   +7  -5.4    -1 +24.1  +10  +9.8  -2.5 +11.6 +18.2  +8.2  -2.4  +5.4
Kaz-  -6.1  +13 -15.4  -2.3 +35.5  +17 +26.0  +5.1 +10.1 +27.0 +14.3 +10.6 +11.2
mys
Kapi  -2.4 +6.7  +8.8 +22.4 +25.7 +0.6 +11.1  +4.1  +9.8 +31.1 +15.1  -6.7 +10.5
tal
Kor-  +0.1 -8.6  +7.7  +8.1 +18.9  +16 +10.4  +7.6  +9.2 +13.3  +9.3  +3.6  +8.0
gau
Ku-   -1.7 +0.6 +11.8  +8.3  +7.1 +9.6 +13.6  +3.9 +10.5 +14.0 +14.4  +5.3  +8.1
naev
NBK   -9.2 +9.1  +2.6 +17.9 +19.6 -6.8 +10.4  +1.8 +14.1 +23.0  -3.7 -18.6  +5.0
NGD   -6.2 +0.3 +21.5 +39.6  +7.8 -6.1  -1.5 +10.7  +9.0 +24.7 +26.8  +0.8 +10.6
Otan  -3.7 +5.6 +10.2 +20.9 +16.3 +7.9 +10.5 +10.2  +1.8 +22.5 +18.1  -0.6 +10.0
RES   +9.8 +5.7  +5.4  +9.6 +22.4  +19  +8.5 +28.7  +1.0 +18.8 +10.7 +15.0 +12.9
SE-   -3.5 +2.9  +3.8   +15 +13.3 +5.1  +5.9  -8.1  -5.0 +17.4 +21.5 +13.3  +6.8
NIM
UlUm   +17 -5.1 +16.7 +29.6 +31.1  -14  +9.9 -15.7 +28.7 +32.8 -28.5 -34.0  +5.8
----- ---- ---- ----- ----- ----- ---- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -----
Ave-  <0.1 +2.6  +6.1 +12.6 +18.0 +2.7 +10.5  +3.4  +6.9 +22.6  +9.5  -0.9  +7.9
rage
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Abbreviations are used in the table for reason of convenience, as follows: Amanat - PAPF AMANAT-KAZALHSTAN JSC (former name is PAPF of open type named after Kunaev JSC); Atam - APF Atameken JSC; BTA - till November 7, 06 -APF BTA Kazakhstan JSC, afterwards - DOJSC TuranAlem bank JSC APF BTA Kazakhstan; HBK - APF of Halyk Bank of Kazakhstan JSC; Kazmys - APF Kazakhmys JSC; UlUm - till Oct 1,01 OAPF Ular CJSC, afterwards - APF UlarUmit CJSC; NGD - APF NefteGas- DEM CJSC; Grantum - till April 6, 06 - ABN AMRO-KaspiyMunayGas APF JSC, afterwards - GRANTUM APF JSC (Subsidiary company of Kazkommertsbank JSC); SENIM - OAPF Senim JSC; Korgau - APF Korgau JSC; Otan - OAPF OTAN JSC; SAPF - Accumulative pension fund SAPF JSC; Capital - APF CAPITAL JSC ; RES - APF RESPUBLIKA JSC.

The data aforementioned is not an offer or recommendation to sell or buy any financial instruments on KASE. Using the data while making investment decisions does not rest the responsibility for possible losses resultant from such decision on the IRBIS agency.

[2008-08-19]