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15.05.2008 22:33 #KASE news

ANALYSIS: In April 2008 turnover of market of corporate bonds on KASE grew on the background of decreasing on share market

/IRBIS, Dinara Mukasheva, May 15, 08/ - In April 2008 on Kazakhstan Stock Exchange (KASE) 381 deals were made with corporate bonds in all sectors of the market, including deals, performed on the special trading floor of the Regional financial center of Almay (STF RFCA) for a total of KZT22.7 bn. or USD188.7 m. at the current rate effective on deals concluding dates. The stated amount is 61.5% of monthly turnover of corporate securities market (in March - 26.2%) and 0.8% of monthly exchange turnover (0.5%).

Statistic characteristic of corporate bonds market on KASE in April of 2008 (indicators are given taking into account direct deals)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                                          Month:
                                             -------------------     Trend
                                                 April  To March  To April
Indicator                                         2008      2008      2008
-------------------------------------------  ---------  --------  --------
Trades volume, th., USD                      188,671.3   +98.2,%   -23.9,%
Trades volume, m., KZT                        22,726.8   +98.0,%   -24.7,%
including, on offerings, th. USD                     0         Х         Х
including, on offerings, m. KZT                      0         Х         Х
including, on STF RFCA, th. USD                3,028.6   2.5,раз         Х
including, on STF RFCA, m. KZT                   365.0   2.5,раз         Х
Number of deals                                    381   +21.7,%   +22.1,%
Number of instruments,                              17    +5.1,%   +16.6,%
involved in deals
Stake of nego deals (number), %                8,576.0   +71.2,%   -27.3,%
Stake of nego deals (volume), %                1,033.0   +71.0,%   -28.1,%
Participation of pension assets, % gross            82    -5.7,%    -8.9,%
Participation of physical entities, % gross        3.9   +3.0,pp   -1.2,pp
Number of exchange's members,                      0.1   -6.6,pp   -4.9,pp
who made deals
Market concentration, %*                          10.2  -10.8,pp   +2.7,pp
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
*it is specified the percentage out of total turnover of corporate bonds, which
 are numbered by the most traded securities (their quantity is 5% out of the 
 total quantity of titles of corporate bonds, included in trading list of KASE)

In April the turnover of the market increased on the background of absence of trade activity on KASE market of shares. Assets surged back the segment of share securities in the whole and in particular from bank's shares, because of increased risks on bank sector of Kazakhstan (detailed information see ANALYSIS: Exchange turnover of KASE share market decreased sharply, notwithstanding favorable situation on foreign markets in April 2008) permanently shifted to investment in share securities. However the look at dynamic of turnover of corporate bonds market since year beginning showed that April reviving bears temporary character and indicated segment of the market is still unattractive for investors.

The deals had market character; the stack of "inner" deals is small enough to influence the result of the month. At that, as in March it is difficult to determine obvious leader among debt instruments, traded on KASE in April. The price background of the corporate bonds market looked as follows: of 82 denominations of the bonds, involved in deals on the secondary market, debt instruments of 63 denominations were traded with discount, 17 - with premium, 2 - at face value. The bonds KZIKb8looked most re-purchased, their weighted average net price made 120.4 %. Bonds ASFIb11 looked the most re-sold (63.0%).

We remind that in April, deals were conducted with bonds of 87 denominations, debt instruments of 76 denominations were traded with discount, 9 - with premium, 1 - at face value. The bonds CCBNb3looked the most re-purchased, their weighted average price made 111.6 %. Bonds ASBNb1 that were traded at 73.2%, looked the most re-sold

In April the weighted average net price of corporate bonds at the secondary market decreased to 93.5% from 93.9% in March, 2008.

During the month the yield to maturity on concluded deals increased for 45 corporate bonds (in March - 55 denominations), and decreased for 30 (19), corporate bonds. There was nothing to compare with the yield of four instruments.

Tables, which additionally characterize the exchange market of corporate bonds in April, are given below.

Change of lists of corporate bonds, traded on KASE, in April 2008

---------------------------------------------------------
                     Bonds:                      Issuers:
Category of   -------------    Instruments  -------------
admission     number  trend  number  trend  number  trend
------------  ------  -----  ------  -----  ------  -----
A                206      0     206      0      65     +1
B                 30      0      30      0      30      0
------------  ------  -----  ------  -----  ------  -----
A+B              236      0     236      0      95     +1
------------  ------  -----  ------  -----  ------  -----
C (STF RFCA)      59     +4      59     +4      24     +3
A+B+C            236      0     295     +4      99     +3
---------------------------------------------------------

Notes: "A", "B" - categories of the official list of KASE;
"C" - category of the official list of STF RFCA in connection with launch of STF RFCA for the security (bond) of one denomination, two exchange instruments, differing with the code, with conditions of trades holding and payment making, can go with.

Main indicators of KASE's corporate bond market in April 2008

--------------------------------------------------------------------
           Market.
          value of     Index                    Volume of  Volume of
             debt,  KASE_BY,    Index    Index     deals,     deals,
Date        USD m.     % APR  KASE_BP  KASE_BC    th. USD     m. KZT
--------  --------  --------  -------  -------  ---------  ---------
31.03.08  11,978.6      9.74   236.31   141.49   18,739.4    2,261.7
01.04.08  11,982.9      9.79   235.96   141.32    3,267.1      394.0
02.04.08  11,991.9      9.81   237.05   142.11    5,021.6      605.6
03.04.08  11,998.1      9.82   239.75   144.06    5,064.2      610.1
04.04.08  12,012.1      9.83   240.00   144.19    7,210.0      869.6
07.04.08  12,014.5      9.83   241.65   145.26    5,811.0      700.6
08.04.08  12,015.3      9.70   241.54   145.09   15,495.0    1,867.9
09.04.08  12,015.0      9.68   243.04   146.08      524.0       63.2
10.04.08  12,091.6      9.85   242.24   145.29      500.1       60.3
11.04.08  12,092.1      9.85   242.28   145.25   24,159.8    2,911.7
14.04.08  12,096.0      9.93   242.44   145.27    9,274.3    1,117.0
15.04.08  12,186.7      9.99   244.92   147.11    3,925.7      472.3
16.04.08  12,189.7     10.01   244.05   146.39    2,880.0      346.4
17.04.08  12,217.8      9.92   244.16   146.43    6,079.2      732.2
18.04.08  12,211.9      9.92   246.12   147.86    1,947.2      234.8
21.04.08  12,198.6      9.87   245.87   147.53   10,479.4    1,263.2
22.04.08  12,203.1     10.31   244.75   146.71    1,871.1      225.4
23.04.08  12,166.0     10.33   245.25   147.07   49,900.4    6,006.0
24.04.08  12,162.1     10.13   246.39   147.79   22,126.8    2,665.0
25.04.08  12,159.6     10.12   246.38   147.79      323.2       38.9
28.04.08  12,187.2     10.13   246.12   147.51    2,671.8      322.0
29.04.08  12,193.6     10.13   247.87   148.69    6,967.3      838.8
30.04.08  12,194.1     10.14   247.08   148.16    3,172.1      381.9
--------  --------  --------  -------  -------  ---------  ---------
Trend       +215.5      +0.4    +10.8     +6.7
%             +1.8      +4.0     +4.6     +4.7
--------------------------------------------------------------------

Summary data on the results of bond trades on KASE in April 2008 (purchase and sale, including offerings, without consideration of nego deals)

-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                   Yield to maturity for purchaser, % APR:
          ------------------------------------------------
                                                       For
Code of                    At a last deal:   last 365 days: Volume of
bond                      ----------------  --------------     deals,    Number
on KASE     min.    max.   yield  Trend, %    min.    max.    th. USD  Of deals
--------  ------  ------  ------  --------  ------  ------  ---------  --------
aBTTRb1    18.39   18.39   18.39      +0.7    9.08   18.39    2 601.2         1
--------  ------  ------  ------  --------  ------  ------  ---------  --------
aCCBNb14   16.00   16.00   16.00      +3.0   11.00   16.00       12.1         1
--------  ------  ------  ------  --------  ------  ------  ---------  --------
AGKKb1      9.00    9.00    9.00      -5.0    8.98   14.00      741.7         3
--------  ------  ------  ------  --------  ------  ------  ---------  --------
ALBNb2     12.00   12.00   12.00             12.00   12.00      579.9         1
--------  ------  ------  ------  --------  ------  ------  ---------  --------
aMAG_b1    12.00   12.00   12.00      -0.1   11.85   12.26      415.3         1
--------  ------  ------  ------  --------  ------  ------  ---------  --------
ASAVb1     15.00   15.00   15.00             15.00   15.00      249.9         2
--------  ------  ------  ------  --------  ------  ------  ---------  --------
ASAVb2     12.00   15.00   12.00              9.00   15.00      399.3         3
--------  ------  ------  ------  --------  ------  ------  ---------  --------
ASBNb1     27.90   31.75   27.90      -2.3   10.01  111.04    1 310.4         5
--------  ------  ------  ------  --------  ------  ------  ---------  --------
ASBNb4    469.74  469.74  469.74              8.50  469.74    1 126.3         1
--------  ------  ------  ------  --------  ------  ------  ---------  --------
ASBNb5     13.20   15.00   15.00      +3.5    8.50   15.00       35.7         2
--------  ------  ------  ------  --------  ------  ------  ---------  --------
ASBNb7      6.50    8.50    6.50              6.50   11.00    3 542.9         3
--------  ------  ------  ------  --------  ------  ------  ---------  --------
ASBNb8     18.00   18.00   18.00              9.00   18.00    9 630.7         1
--------  ------  ------  ------  --------  ------  ------  ---------  --------
ASELb1     13.01   13.01   13.01     -0.03   13.00   13.04       13.6         1
--------  ------  ------  ------  --------  ------  ------  ---------  --------
ASFIb11    15.50   15.50   15.50             13.00   15.50    4 148.9         1
--------  ------  ------  ------  --------  ------  ------  ---------  --------
ASFIb3      9.00    9.00    9.00      -2.0    6.00   11.93       42.1         1
--------  ------  ------  ------  --------  ------  ------  ---------  --------
ASFIb4     16.00   16.00   16.00              9.48   16.00    4 071.0         1
--------  ------  ------  ------  --------  ------  ------  ---------  --------
ASFIb5     12.50   14.50   14.30      -0.2    9.45   15.50    1 807.0         5
--------  ------  ------  ------  --------  ------  ------  ---------  --------
ASFIb6     13.00   15.00   14.98             10.00   15.50      378.5         6
ASFIb7     12.22   17.52   15.00         0    9.70   17.52   36 674.0        23
ATFBb3     12.48   13.50   13.50      +0.5    6.70   13.50    4 843.9         5
ATFBb4     14.50   15.00   14.50      +1.5    7.00   15.00    1 729.8         4
BTAIb1     12.00   14.00   14.00      +0.5    7.10   14.00       36.4         2
BTAIb4     15.50   17.50   16.41     -0.61    8.80  106.15      620.4         6
BTAIb8     15.01   15.01   15.01             10.50   15.01    7 201.9         2
BTASb1     15.00   16.00   15.00      -3.0    9.00   27.33       59.3         3
BTASb4     16.00   16.50   16.00         0    9.10   47.47      199.0         6
BTASb5      6.50    6.50    6.50              6.50    8.50      129.9         1
BTASb7      7.60    8.60    8.60      +1.0    6.73   13.50    5 487.7         4
BTTRb1     17.50   19.20   17.50      -0.5    6.99   19.20    5 238.0        13
CACMb1     13.00   13.50   13.50      +1.0    9.75   13.50      274.7         4
CCBNb14    10.00   16.00   16.00         0    7.50   16.00       43.0         3
CCBNb2     14.00   14.00   14.00      -2.0   10.00  106.23       36.3         3
CCBNb3     13.00   17.35   13.00         0    8.58   17.35      161.1         5
CCBNb4      9.78    9.78    9.78      -5.1    7.50   14.88       68.3         1
CCBNb7     12.00   16.30   12.00              7.50   16.30    3 454.2         9
CCBNb8      9.66    9.66    9.66              9.66   10.45       52.7         1
CSBNb6      9.40   11.75   11.75      +0.5    9.11   13.25   16 606.9        12
DNTLb1     12.00   12.00   12.00     +0.04   11.96   12.30      172.1         1
DTJLb1      8.50   12.00    8.50      -2.5    7.00   12.00      156.4        10
EUBNb3     12.00   15.00   13.06      -0.9    9.00   15.00      348.7         4
EUBNb4     11.62   18.00   12.20      +3.2    9.00   18.00    1 123.5         7
EXBNb1     13.04   22.00   22.00     +11.6    9.11   22.00      631.4        20
EXBNb2     12.00   20.00   20.00             12.00   21.00      222.8        14
FRMPb1      8.27    8.27    8.27              8.27    8.27   24 956.2         5
GLOTb2     13.00   15.00   13.00      +6.0    7.00   15.00      517.7         4
HSBKb11     7.50    7.50    7.50      -1.0    7.50    8.50      155.5         1
HSBKb8     10.00   10.00   10.00      +0.3    7.70   12.00    1 081.0         1
HSBKb9      7.72   13.50   11.00      -2.0    7.72   13.50    4 199.1        19
IKBKb1     16.00   25.00   16.00             16.00   25.00      451.0         3
JGOKb2     10.00   10.00   10.00      -0.5    9.50   12.00    3 248.4         1
KASTb2     10.00   12.00   10.00         0    9.99   12.00      734.4         3
KATRb1     11.97   16.00   16.00             10.83   16.00      290.8         4
KAZIb1     11.00   11.00   11.00             11.00   11.00      115.7         1
KAZIb2     10.50   12.50   12.50         0   10.30   13.50      178.0         2
KKAGb3     21.10   21.30   21.10      +1.6   10.00   21.30      109.0         3
KSMKb1     12.09   13.17   13.17             12.09   13.17    4 753.2         4
KZASb2      8.70    8.70    8.70              8.69    8.70    1 405.1         1
KZIKb10    12.90   12.90   12.90              5.50   12.90       17.2         1
KZIKb4     19.13   21.67   19.13              9.50  101.09      354.9         2
KZIKb5     14.05   15.65   14.05      +0.1   11.40   15.65       37.4         2
KZIKb8     10.50   12.00   12.00              7.00   12.70       49.0         2
KZNHb2     16.00   16.00   16.00             11.20   16.00       16.5         1
LOGCb1     10.30   10.30   10.30             10.30   10.30        8.3         1
MREKb2     14.00   14.00   14.00      -2.0    9.05   16.00       18.4         1
MREKb4      8.00    8.00    8.00      -1.0    8.00    9.45      274.7         1
MREKb5     14.00   14.00   14.00             13.00   14.00    1 812.5         2
NRBNb5     12.00   12.00   12.00      +3.6    5.80   13.00      359.5         2
NRBNb6     13.20   14.00   13.20             13.20   14.00    9 634.3         3
ORDBb2     12.50   12.50   12.50      -1.1   11.61   13.56      171.7         1
ORDKb1     11.99   14.00   13.46      +1.5   11.99   15.00      403.5         7
ORNKb1     12.00   26.85   19.85      -3.4    6.35   26.85      812.4        32
TEBNb12    13.00   13.00   13.00              8.50   13.00       94.0         1
TEBNb16     8.50    8.50    8.50              7.99   12.00      173.9         8
TEBNb2     11.00   13.00   13.00      +2.0    6.00   17.00       66.2         3
TEBNb3     14.00   14.00   14.00              9.00   14.02      124.7         1
TEBNb5     11.00   13.50   11.00              9.00   13.50    4 190.4         6
TSBNb4     15.99   17.00   17.00      +1.0    8.50   17.00    5 881.1         6
TSBNb5     13.90   13.99   13.99      +1.0   10.00   13.99    2 146.4         2
TXBNb2     12.00   12.75   12.20      +0.7    8.76   13.50    2 458.8        10
VITAb4     14.40   28.00   28.00      +4.5   10.00   29.00      221.3         9
VITAb5     12.10   23.00   23.00      +6.0    9.50   28.00      292.6         8
--------  ------  ------  ------  --------  ------  ------  ---------  --------
81                                                          188,493.5       366
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Comments: Securities were sorted in alphabetical order according to codes of bonds. Trends are given in percentage points (1pp = 100 basis points) relative to the last deal of previous month - March 2007. In the code of bond by the number is noted the number of bonds' issue. In case of number absence (old quotation) is meant the first emission. The full list of codes of issuers is available at see more

[2008-05-15]