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Market and Company News
13.08.2007 22:03

U.S. dollar market of Kazakhstan: day results

/IRBIS, Sergey Yakovlev, August 13, 07/ - Following is the table of major indicators of Kazakhstan market of U.S. dollar, on day results. The rate is given in tenge per dollar, volume - th. USD. Trends are shown relative to corresponding figures of previous trading day.

Results of trades on Kazakhstan stock exchange (KASE)

-------------------------------------------------------------------
Instrument                     USD TOD        USD TOD       USD TOM
KASE's session                 Morning            Day       Evening
Time                   10:15-11:00 ALT    11:30-15:30   14:00-17:00
                       --------------- -------------- -------------
Indicator                value   trend  value   trend  value  trend
---------------------- ------- ------- ------ ------- ------ ------
Opening rate            124.00   -0.20 125.90   +0.88 125.32  +0.32
---------------------- ------- ------- ------ ------- ------ ------
Maximum rate            125.90       0 125.90   +0.84 125.40  +0.33
Volume on max. price     11000  +10800  18700  +17400    500   -200
---------------------- ------- ------- ------ ------- ------ ------
Minimum rate            124.00   -0.20 125.10   +0.12 125.32  +0.32
Volume on min. price         5       0    500  -10400   3000 -13500
---------------------- ------- ------- ------ ------- ------ ------
Closing rate            125.90   +0.90 125.22   +0.22 125.40  +0.33
Weight. aver. rate      125.17   +0.17 125.30   +0.30 125.34  +0.32
Session volume (gross)   94275 -471260 709980 +434180   6000 -63900
Session net-turnover    58,200 -240800 116630       0   4500 -48600
Number of deals             76    -219    207     +47      8    -16
Number of participants      19      -4     21       0      9     +1
---------------------- ------- ------- ------ ------- ------ ------
Day gross-turnover*                    804255  -37080   6000 -63900
Day net-turnover*                      389900       0   6000 -48600
---------------------- ------- ------- ------ ------- ------ ------
Best bid**              125.76   +0.77 125.20   +0.21 125.35  +0.33
Best ask**              126.00   +1.00 125.22   +0.21 125.44  +0.37
---------------------- ------- ------- ------ ------- ------ ------
REUTERS Bid**           125.30   +0.31    n/a       - 125.30  +0.32
REUTERS Ask**           125.34   +0.31    n/a       - 125.34  +0.32
-------------------------------------------------------------------
* resulting net-position on each instrument
** at closing of the session on KASE, out of stock exchange - by the data of
REUTERS

Table of price levels of trade in US dollar on KASE on TOD terms

-----------------------------------------------------------
                                      TOTAL BY DAY RESULTS:
            Morning        United -------------------------
           session:      session:               time (ALT):
Price  ------------ -------------               -----------
level  volume deals  volume deals  volume deals  from    to
------ ------ ----- ------- ----- ------- ----- ----- -----
125.90 11,000     2   18700    11  29,700    13 10:59 11:45
125.88                  300     1     300     1 11:46 11:46
125.87                  500     1     500     1 11:46 11:46
125.86                  200     1     200     1 11:46 11:46
125.85                2,000     1   2,000     1 11:46 11:46
125.80  2,900     5                 2,900     5 10:59 10:59
125.76    500     1                   500     1 10:57 10:57
125.72    400     2                   400     2 10:53 10:53
125.71    500     1                   500     1 10:56 10:56
125.70  2,505     6                 2,505     6 10:44 10:52
125.65      5     1                     5     1 10:49 10:49
125.64    500     1                   500     1 10:48 10:48
125.63    500     1                   500     1 10:47 10:47
125.62    755     2                   755     2 10:46 10:47
125.60    405     3     500     1     905     4 10:29 11:46
125.55    500     1                   500     1 10:40 10:40
125.54    100     1                   100     1 10:39 10:39
125.52    300     2                   300     2 10:38 10:38
125.51                1,000     2   1,000     2 11:46 11:46
125.50    105     2   6,000     3   6,105     5 10:29 11:46
125.47    100     1                   100     1 10:37 10:37
125.44  1,150     4                 1,150     4 10:34 10:34
125.41    100     1                   100     1 10:33 10:33
125.40    525     4                   525     4 10:28 10:32
125.35      5     1  48,000     9  48,005    10 10:28 11:49
125.33                7,000     3   7,000     3 11:49 11:59
125.32                3,300     7   3,300     7 11:49 14:28
125.31  5,500     4  10,100    14  15,600    18 10:21 14:28
125.30 22,815    15 361,480    78 384,295    93 10:15 14:28
125.29    100     1   3,000     5   3,100     6 10:19 15:15
125.28  2,000     1  20,700    27  22,700    28 10:23 15:02
125.27               97,100     7  97,100     7 14:37 15:09
125.26                1,000     1   1,000     1 15:09 15:09
125.25 10,000     2   6,500     4  16,500     6 10:16 15:15
125.23               20,900     7  20,900     7 15:10 15:27
125.22               32,300     8  32,300     8 15:11 15:28
125.21               16,500     7  16,500     7 15:12 15:25
125.20               47,400     7  47,400     7 15:12 15:22
125.17                5,000     1   5,000     1 15:12 15:12
125.10                  500     1     500     1 11:46 11:46
125.00 11,000     3                11,000     3 10:16 10:16
124.90    500     1                   500     1 10:15 10:15
124.30 19,500     6                19,500     6 10:15 10:15
124.00      5     1                     5     1 10:15 10:15
------ ------ ----- ------- ----- ------- ----- ----- -----
TOTAL  94,275    76 709,980   207 804,255   283 10:15 15:28
-----------------------------------------------------------

Parameters of unsatisfied demand and supply of second tier banks in KASE' trade system for the last 5 days (total of valid bids by the time of morning and day trades closing, th. USD)

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------
Indicator  August 7, 07 August 8, 07 August 9, 07 August 10, 07 August 13, 07
---------- ------------ ------------ ------------ ------------- -------------
Ask              60,800       17,195        7,775        63,620        21,000
Bid              33,300        9,090      109,180        98,800       222,195
---------- ------------ ------------ ------------ ------------- -------------
Difference      -27,500       -8,105     +101,405       +35,180      +201,195
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------

In addition to the morning comment, IRBIS should notice an exceptionally high demand for dollar from the side of STB that was registered on the day session of KASE. Therefore, the market has confirmed today that fundamental factors are in the basis of high potential of American currency. Right now, the IRBIS analysts tend to think that the problems on the U.S. mortgage market are the main fundamental factor. Exactly those problems lead to the growth of bids for dollar market, evoking the increase of cost of syndicated loans for certain Kazakhstan banks. That, in its turn, makes them buy up USD on KASE. The increase of the reserve requirement on external loans that is planed by the National bank on the end of August has the same effect.

In order to prevent too sharp growth of dollar to tenge, that was evoked by escalation of demand, the National bank of Kazakhstan has been forced, today, to increase significantly the selling volume USD on KASE. However, there is no guaranty that the completed interventions will satisfy the objective and speculative needs of Kazakhstan banks in American currency and would stabilize the market.

The forecast for Tuesday from IRBIS is a further growth of dollar exchange rate with the speed regulated by the head bank of the country.

[2007-08-13]