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Market and Company News
19.07.2007 20:20

U.S. dollar market of Kazakhstan: day results

/IRBIS, Sergey Yakovlev, July 19, 07/ - Following is the table of major indicators of Kazakhstan market of U.S. dollar, on day results. The rate is given in tenge per dollar, volume - th. USD. Trends are shown relative to corresponding figures of previous trading day.

Results of trades on Kazakhstan stock exchange (KASE)

-----------------------------------------------------------------------
Instrument                      USD TOD         USD TOD         USD TOM
KASE's session                  Morning             Day         Evening
Time                    10:15-11:00 ALT     11:30-15:30     14:00-17:00
                        ---------------  --------------  --------------
Indicator                 value   trend   value   trend   value   trend
----------------------  -------  ------  ------  ------  ------  ------
Opening rate             121.70   -0.15  121.95   -0.05  121.98   +0.08
----------------------  -------  ------  ------  ------  ------  ------
Maximum rate             122.25   +0.35  122.01   -0.19  121.98   -0.20
Volume on max. price        500    -900     500    -700     500       0
----------------------  -------  ------  ------  ------  ------  ------
Minimum rate             121.70   +0.09  121.82   -0.18  121.92   +0.02
Volume on min. price          5       0    1000       0     700   -9300
----------------------  -------  ------  ------  ------  ------  ------
Closing rate             121.94   +0.04  121.94   -0.23  121.95   -0.20
Weight. aver. rate       122.07   +0.24  121.96   -0.14  121.94   -0.16
Session volume (gross)    95880  -53485  214505  -20165   10200  -54900
Session net-turnover     58 120  -67225   67310  -40560    9000  -46600
Number of deals             152      -7      80      +4       8      -9
Number of participants       19      -1      17      -5       8      -2
----------------------  -------  ------  ------  ------  ------  ------
Day gross-turnover*                      310385  -73650   10200  -54900
Day net-turnover*                         75030  -37545   10200  -46600
----------------------  -------  ------  ------  ------  ------  ------
Best bid**               121.92   +0.02  121.94   -0.21  121.92   -0.20
Best ask**               121.95   -0.06  121.95   -0.22  121.96   -0.19
----------------------  -------  ------  ------  ------  ------  ------
REUTERS Bid**            121.97   +0.19  121.93   -0.20  121.88   -0.24
REUTERS Ask**            122.01   +0.18  121.95   -0.22  121.93   -0.13
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
* resulting net-position on each instrument

** at closing of the session on KASE, out of stock exchange - by the data of REUTERS

Table of price levels of trade in US dollar on KASE on TOD terms

-------------------------------------------------------------------
                                              TOTAL BY DAY RESULTS:
              Morning          United  ----------------------------
             session:        session:                   time (ALT):
Price   -------------  --------------                  ------------
level   volume  deals  volume  deals   volume  deals   from     to
---------------------  -------  -----  -------  -----  -----  -----
122.25     500      1                      500      1  10:17  10:17
122.24       5      1                        5      1  10:16  10:16
122.20     505      2                      505      2  10:15  10:18
122.17   3,100      6                    3,100      6  10:18  10:29
122.16   4,610      7                    4,610      7  10:28  10:30
122.15   5,700      7                    5,700      7  10:28  10:31
122.14   2,000      3                    2,000      3  10:28  10:28
122.13   2,700      8                    2,700      8  10:19  10:31
122.12  13,275     23                   13,275     23  10:26  10:37
122.11   2,600      4                    2,600      4  10:25  10:37
122.10   3,710      9                    3,710      9  10:19  10:38
122.09   3,100      2                    3,100      2  10:38  10:38
122.08   4,100      4                    4,100      4  10:22  10:42
122.07   4,000      5                    4,000      5  10:42  10:42
122.06   1,400      3                    1,400      3  10:42  10:44
122.05  10,910     22                   10,910     22  10:22  10:51
122.04   5,600      9                    5,600      9  10:24  10:51
122.03   5,820      5                    5,820      5  10:24  10:57
122.02   6,000      5                    6,000      5  10:48  10:52
122.01   4,100      3      500      1    4,600      4  10:52  14:36
122.00   4,300      9    4,000      4    8,300     13  10:53  14:40
121.99   1,200      3    2,000      2    3,200      5  10:56  14:40
121.98     100      1   54,000      8   54,100      9  10:57  14:36
121.97     100      1    4,505     13    4,605     14  10:58  15:19
121.96                  62,095      5   62,095      5  11:44  14:46
121.95   1,440      6   69,100     15   70,540     21  10:58  15:28
121.94   5,000      2    2,700      6    7,700      8  10:59  15:29
121.93                     100      1      100      1  14:27  14:27
121.92                     800      5      800      5  12:06  14:27
121.91                     600      2      600      2  12:06  12:55
121.90                   5,905      5    5,905      5  12:06  14:29
121.87                   5,500      8    5,500      8  12:07  12:42
121.85                     700      3      700      3  12:07  12:28
121.83                   1,000      1    1,000      1  12:10  12:10
121.82                   1,000      1    1,000      1  12:07  12:07
121.70       5      1                        5      1  10:15  10:15
------  ------  -----  -------  -----  -------  -----  -----  -----
Total   95,880    152  214,505     80  310,385    232  10:15  15:29
-------------------------------------------------------------------

Parameters of unsatisfied demand and supply of second tier banks in KASE' trade system for the last 5 days (total of valid bids by the time of morning and day trades closing, th. USD)

---------------------------------------------------------------------------
Indicator   July 13, 07  July 16, 07  July 17, 07  July 18, 07  July 19, 07
----------  -----------  -----------  -----------  -----------  -----------
Ask              20,195       20,390       99,555        9,550       75,830
Bid              42,200       33,505       23,300       41,590       18,530
----------  -----------  -----------  -----------  -----------  -----------
Difference      +22,005      +13,115      -76,255      +32,040      -57,300
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

No interesting events happened, today. The market keeps on living within horizontal channel of consolidation, alternating the trade's direction from the support level to the resistance and reverse. In these conditions, when ask and offer do not have any expressed long-term tendencies towards rising or falling, the positional trading becomes the most actual for traders. At the same time, it is needed to notice that the majority of the participants were still buying dollars, but their quantitive priority does not stimulate traders for an active opening of the long positions.

The resulting from technical analysis, do not give any simple forecast for Friday. Most probably, we will be a witness for the consecutive positional trade. However, it is possible to expect sharper fluctuations of the exchange rate against a background of fixation of the profits of the results of the week. But this is possible only in case where a united opinion regarding further dollar's prospects is present on the market.

[2007-07-19]