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Market and Company News
24.01.2007 20:25

U.S. dollar market of Kazakhstan: day results

/IRBIS, Sergey Yakovlev, Andrey Tsalyuk, January 24, 07/ - Following is the table of major indicators of Kazakhstan market of U.S. dollar on day results. The rate is given in tenge per dollar, volume - th. USD. Trends are shown relative to corresponding figures of previous trading day.

Results of trades on Kazakhstan stock exchange (KASE)

----------------------------------------------------------------------
Instrument                      USD TOD         USD TOD        USD TOM
KASE's session                  Morning             Day        Evening
Time                    10:15-11:00 ALT     11:30-15:30    14:00-17:00
                        ---------------  --------------  -------------
Indicator                 value   trend   value   trend   value  trend
----------------------  -------  ------  ------  ------  ------  -----
Opening rate             125.00       0  125.72   -0.04  125.72      0
----------------------  -------  ------  ------  ------  ------  -----
Maximum rate             125.90   +0.10  125.74   -0.24  125.72      0
Volume on max. price          5   -1200    1100    +900    2100  +1600
----------------------  -------  ------  ------  ------  ------  -----
Minimum rate             125.00       0  125.65   -0.11  125.72      0
Volume on min. price          5       0    1200    +700    2100  +1600
----------------------  -------  ------  ------  ------  ------  -----
Closing rate             125.74   -0.01  125.71   -0.16  125.72      0
Weight. aver. rate       125.72   +0.01  125.71   -0.16  125.72      0
Session volume (gross)    56805  -55365   82500  +15650    2100  +1600
Session net-turnover     33 275   +3520   45700   +7850    2100  +1600
Number of deals              96      -6      83     +13       1      0
Number of participants       18      -1      21      +1       2     -2
----------------------  -------  ------  ------  ------  ------  -----
Day gross-turnover*                      141405  -38115
Day net-turnover*                         47075   -8730
----------------------  -------  ------  ------  ------  ------  -----
Best bid**               125.71   -0.03  125.70   -0.15  125.68  -0.02
Best ask**               125.74   -0.02  125.72   -0.16  125.73  -0.02
----------------------  -------  ------  ------  ------  ------  -----
REUTERS Bid**            125.71   +0.04  125.68       X  125.68      0
REUTERS Ask**            125.74   +0.03  125.71       X  125.71  -0.03
----------------------------------------------------------------------
* resulting net-position on each instrument

** at closing of the session on KASE, out of stock exchange - by the data of REUTERS

Table of price levels of trade in US dollar on KASE on TOD terms

---------------------------------------------------------------------
                                                TOTAL BY DAY RESULTS:
              Morning            United  ----------------------------
             session:          session:                   time (ALT):
Price   -------------     -------------                  ------------
level   volume  deals     volume  deals   volume  deals   from     to
------  ------  -----     ------  -----  -------  -----  -----  -----
125.90       5      1                          5      1  10:16  10:16
125.78     500      1                        500      1  10:39  10:39
125.77   2,800      6                      2,800      6  10:35  10:39
125.76   2,100      6                      2,100      6  10:35  10:46
125.75   6,290     15                      6,290     15  10:25  10:46
125.74  25,700     24       1100      3   26,800     27  10:47  14:58
125.73   3,900      8       8400     21   12,300     29  10:26  15:23
125.72   4,000      8      45050     25   49,050     33  10:32  15:23
125.71     500      1      20350     13   20,850     14  10:25  15:29
125.70   1,910      5       2300      7    4,210     12  10:16  15:27
125.69       5      1        900      3      905      4  10:24  12:34
125.68     500      1        300      1      800      2  10:24  11:59
125.67                      2600      6    2,600      6  11:47  12:22
125.66                       300      1      300      1  11:59  11:59
125.65   3,500      4       1200      3    4,700      7  10:18  11:50
125.63     500      1                        500      1  10:18  10:18
125.62     505      2                        505      2  10:16  10:19
125.61     500      1                        500      1  10:19  10:19
125.60   2,480      7                      2,480      7  10:19  10:22
125.58   1,105      3                      1,105      3  10:19  10:20
125.00       5      1                          5      1  10:15  10:15
------  ------  -----  -  ------  -----  -------  -----  -----  -----
TOTAL   56,805     96  ,   82500     83  139,305    179  10:15  15:29
---------------------  -  -------------------------------------------

Parameters of unsatisfied demand and supply of second tier banks in KASE' trade system for the last 5 days (total of valid bids by the time of morning and day trades closing, th. USD)

---------------------------------------------------------------------------
Indicator   Jan. 18, 07  Jan. 19, 07  Jan. 22, 07  Jan. 23, 07  Jan. 24, 07
----------  -----------  -----------  -----------  -----------  -----------
Offer            93,030       62,200       74,400       35,500       20,300
Bid              18,375       45,910      105,465       42,295       20,890
----------  -----------  -----------  -----------  -----------  -----------
Difference      -74,655      -16,290      +31,065       +6,795         +590
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

The day demonstrated the positional trade against objective parity between demand for dollar and its offer. Activity of transactions at that was relatively low, which is the evidence of traders' uncertainty in the further development of events. It also caused the neutral in price respect market closing.

Basing on banks disposition at KASE, tenge potential to strengthening looks impressive, because all actual market makers from among STB today worked on the side of net sellers of the American currency.

Results of technical analysis today determine nothing but a weak attempt of participants to turn the market in the direction of the primary tendency after a strong dollar growth in previous days.

By results of the day IRBIS analysts are inclined to forecast for Thursday the renewal of attempts to strengthen tenge, although the market has not formed any distinct signals today.

[2007-01-24]