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09.08.2006 20:17

U.S. dollar market of Kazakhstan: day results

/IRBIS, Andrey Tsalyuk, August 9, 06/ - Following is the table of major indicators of Kazakhstan market of U.S. dollar by the day results. The rate is given in tenge per dollar, volume - th. USD. Trends are shown relative to corresponding figures of previous trading day.

Results of trades on Kazakhstan stock exchange (KASE)

----------------------------------------------------------------------
Instrument                      USD TOD         USD TOD        USD TOM
KASE's session                  Morning             Day        Evening
Time                    10:15-11:00 ALT     11:30-16:00    14:00-17:00
                        ---------------  --------------  -------------
Indicator                value    trend   value   trend   value  trend
----------------------  ------  -------  ------  ------  ------  -----
Opening rate            122.50    +0.40  122.47   +0.13  122.45      -
----------------------  ------  -------  ------  ------  ------  -----
Maximum rate            122.90    +0.40  122.74   +0.12  122.45      -
Volume on max. price        10    -3790     400    +300     200   +200
----------------------  ------  -------  ------  ------  ------  -----
Minimum rate            122.50    +0.40  122.28   -0.06  122.45      -
volume on min. price    176900  +176150     300       0     200   +200
----------------------  ------  -------  ------  ------  ------  -----
Closing rate            122.50    +0.19  122.52   +0.09  122.45      -
Weight. aver. rate      122.56    +0.21  122.51       0  122.45      -
Volume of the session   364470  +337870   54500  +17200     200   +200
Number of deals            155      +71     134     +37       1     +1
Number of participants      21       +1      17       0       2     +2
----------------------  ------  -------  ------  ------  ------  -----
Best bid*               122.47    +0.19  122.51   +0.11  122.40      -
Best ask*               122.53    +0.20  122.52   +0.04  122.48      -
----------------------  ------  -------  ------  ------  ------  -----
REUTERS Bid*            122.46        Х  122.45   +0.01  122.41  -0.01
REUTERS Ask*            122.51        Х  122.51   +0.01  122.45      0
----------------------------------------------------------------------
* at closing of the session on KASE, out of stock exchange - by 
  the data of REUTERS

Table of price levels of trading in US dollar on KASE on TOD terms

------------------------------------------------------------------
                                      Total by results of the day:
              Morning            Day  ----------------------------
             session:       session:                   time (ALT):
Price   -------------  -------------                  ------------
level   volume  deals  volume  deals   volume  deals   from     to
------  ------  -----  ------  -----  -------  -----  -----  -----
122.90      10      1                      10      1  10:21  10:21
122.89     400      1                     400      1  10:24  10:24
122.87     200      2                     200      2  10:24  10:24
122.85    2100      3                    2100      3  10:21  10:24
122.80    8400      4                    8400      4  10:21  10:25
122.77     600      2                     600      2  10:26  10:26
122.75    7750      7                    7750      7  10:21  10:26
122.74    1100      2     400      1     1500      3  10:20  12:03
122.72     900      2                     900      2  10:38  10:38
122.71   15410     31                   15410     31  10:27  10:41
122.70   45800     23    2000     11    47800     34  10:20  12:07
122.66                    200      1      200      1  12:07  12:07
122.65                    300      1      300      1  11:59  11:59
122.65    1400      3                    1400      3  10:45  10:45
122.64                    500      2      500      2  12:07  12:07
122.62                    200      1      200      1  12:07  12:07
122.61                    100      1      100      1  12:07  12:07
122.60                    500      3      500      3  11:56  12:11
122.60    4000      6                    4000      6  10:20  10:45
122.58                    300      1      300      1  12:12  12:12
122.57                    900      4      900      4  11:54  14:18
122.57    1000      1                    1000      1  10:20  10:20
122.56                   1600      6     1600      6  12:12  14:16
122.55                   1300      5     1300      5  11:48  14:11
122.55    3900      9                    3900      9  10:18  10:58
122.54   61600     10    1100      6    62700     16  10:47  14:11
122.53    1400      2    2300     13     3700     15  10:49  14:22
122.52                   2800     21     2800     21  12:16  15:29
122.52   25900      5                   25900      5  10:49  10:57
122.51    5700     15   29200     23    34900     38  10:18  15:22
122.50  176900     26    1100      5   178000     31  10:15  14:47
122.49                    700      3      700      3  11:46  14:27
122.48                   1600      4     1600      4  11:46  14:38
122.47                    600      2      600      2  11:31  11:46
122.45                   1100      3     1100      3  11:44  11:44
122.43                    600      2      600      2  11:32  11:32
122.40                    900      2      900      2  11:32  11:35
122.38                    900      3      900      3  11:33  11:38
122.35                   2500      8     2500      8  11:33  11:37
122.34                    500      1      500      1  11:36  11:36
122.28                    300      1      300      1  11:36  11:36
------  ------  -----  ------  -----  -------  -----  -----  -----
TOTAL   364470    155   54500    134   418970    289  10:15  15:29
------------------------------------------------------------------

Parameters of unsatisfied demand and supply of second tier banks in KASE' trade system for the last 5 days (total of valid bids by the time of morning and day trades closing, th. USD)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Indicator   August 3, 06  August 4, 06  August 7, 06  August 8, 06  August 9, 06
----------  ------------  ------------  ------------  ------------  ------------
Offer              3,800         8,400        10,960         9,550        17,400
Bid               27,610        25,250        13,100         7,000        12,900
----------  ------------  ------------  ------------  ------------  ------------
Difference       +23,810       +16,850        +2,140        -2,550        -4,500
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

The day has held record today on volume of exchange's deals in American currency. Judging on comments of currency traders, published today by REUTERS, such a happening was not explained by them understandably.

The matter of this phenomenon occurrence encloses as follows that all factual market makers from the number of STB (IRBIS listed them in quantity of four banks) appeared on exchange's floor today, bringing in a great volume of dollar sales. It is enough to note, that the position of three banks according to this type of operations meaningfully exceeded over $100 m. Nevertheless, that factor did not lead to dollar rate fall. Oppositely, the market's parameters, given above in the tables, allow to talk about the growth of American currency during the whole day.

Reasons of such behavior of the market are caused by exceptionally active position of one of the participants at trades, which slightly monopolized the demand, but also satisfied USD offering, which is naturally high for the budget payments period, at growing price. Actions of his trader did not allow the market to fix lower than 122.50 at the morning session of KASE. In the afternoon other banks independently kept that level.

By the day results, dollar potential to the further strengthening seems to be equal to zero, as the leading operators of the market from the number of STB prefer to sell American currency in very big volumes (to all appearances, performing the order of their clients). However, according to subjective estimations, the market is closed for regressing. Only does the fact appear to be the reason of dollar rate's growthя, which can keep growing by the end of the weak.

In all, it is necessary to report interesting processes, which are running at the moment at currency market of the republic, trying "to break" its conjuncture. To which extent it will be a success is difficult to predict. The market cannot be completely expected, as it is developing under pressure of subjective factors.

[2006-08-09]