АГЕНТСТВО FITCH ПРИСВОИЛО АЛМА-АТЕ ДОЛГОСРОЧНЫЙ РЕЙТИНГ "В+", ПРОГНОЗ РЕЙТИНГА - СТАБИЛЬНЫЙ
21.05.01 00:00
/Алматинское бюро REUTERS, Лондон, 21.05.01/ - Рейтинговое агентство
Fitch присвоило Алма-Ате долгосрочные рейтинги в иностранной и местной
валютах "В+", прогноз рейтингов - стабильный, говорится в сообщении
агентства.
Уровень рейтингов отражает сильную налоговую базу и важное политико-
экономическое значение города для страны.
В то же время уровень рейтинга учитывает рост долгового бремени Алма-
Аты, неравномерное расписание долговых выплат, высокую потребность в
инфраструктурных инвестициях и необходимость улучшения бюджетной
политики с учетом существующей системы межбюджетных отношений.
Ниже следует оригинал сообщения Fitch на английском языке:
(The following statement was released by the rating agency)
LONDON, May 21 - Fitch, the international rating agency, has today assigned
Long-term foreign currency and local currency ratings of 'B+' to the City of
Almaty, located in the Republic of Kazakhstan. The Outlook for the ratings is
Stable.
The ratings reflect the City's strong tax base and importance to the national
economy and politics. However, they also take into account Almaty's increasing
debt burden, uneven debt amortisation schedule, high demand for investment in
the infrastructure and budget rigidity caused by existing system of
inter-budgetary relations.
The performance of the local economy determines Almaty's well being as its
budget revenue is by and large derived from taxes. Following a sharp fall after
the break-up of the Soviet Union, the local economy has grown steadily in
recent years due to its advanced and diversified economic fabric, which makes
the City's tax base less volatile compared to the country as a whole. This
steady growth has mitigated the negative effects of the move of the capital
city to Astana. To continue to attract businesses, the City needs to upgrade
its ageing infrastructure - a challenging task given that it is no longer a
priority investment target of the Republic.
A rapidly increasing debt burden made up of only currency obligations exposes
Almaty to currency risk, mitigated though by a free-floating local currency
regime. An uneven debt amortisation schedule, with peaks in 2002 and 2003, on
the back of decreasing operating balance, and a ban on short-term borrowing
from commercial banks, may lead to possible problems with timely debt
repayment. The City can either rely on its cash residuals or apply to the
Ministry of Finance for budget loans. Moreover, Almaty's exposure to debt
transfers from central government or from non-consolidated entities, leads to
uncertainty as to its ability to control the level of indebtedness.
Almaty has no flexibility with regard to tax rates but, in theory, has the
potential to broaden its tax base. Expenditure is rather rigid due to so-called
"withdrawals" or payments to the Republic's budget, senior in priority to all
other expenses including debt service. In 2000, together with personnel
expenses, withdrawals made up almost 66% of Almaty's current expenditure.
Evolving revenue-sharing arrangements between the centre and the subnationals
make future revenue flows uncertain.
Almaty is the ex-capital of Kazakhstan and its financial, commercial and
cultural centre. In 1999, the City accounted for approximately 6% of the
national population and for 17.7% of its gross domestic product.