Fitch повысило рейтинг КазТрансОйла до "BB+" с "BB"
09.11.04 11:08
/REUTERS, Лондон, 09.11.04/ - Международное рейтинговое агентство Fitch
Ratings повысило рейтинг казахстанской нефтепроводной госкомпании
КазТрансОйл до "ВВ+" с "ВВ", прогноз - стабильный.
Изменение связано с недавним повышением суверенного рейтинга
Казахстана до "BBB-" с "BB+".
Ниже приводиться оригинальный текст сообщения Fitch Ratings на
английском языке.
FITCH UPGRADES KAZTRANSOIL TO 'BB+'; OUTLOOK STABLE
Fitch Ratings-London/Moscow-09 November 2004: Fitch Ratings, the
international rating agency, has today upgraded the ratings of Kazakhstan-based
OTC KazTransOil ("KTO") and its USD150 million notes to Long-term 'BB+' from
BB'. KTO's Short-term rating is affirmed at 'B'. Following the upgrade, the
Outlook is now Stable.
The rating action follows the recent upgrade of Kazakhstan's sovereign rating
to "BBB-' (BBB minus)/Stable from "BB+'/Positive, due to improved
creditworthiness underpinned by the development of the country's oil and gas
sector and the spill- over of high oil prices. The fast growth of the
hydrocarbons sector has ensured that the oil and gas industry continues to
dominate the economy. The rating reflects KTO's strategic importance to the
state's oil and gas industry and the vital role it plays in the transportation
of the country's oil production to export markets. The upgrade for KTO,
however, is not automatically connected to the recent sovereign upgrade.
The Stable Outlook foresees continued stability in Kazakhstan's macroeconomic
environment, which has benefited KTO. Additionally, Kazakhstan's increasing oil
production and growing importance in international oil markets mean KTO will
continue to play a key role in the country's energy policy and will be able to
rely on stable cash flow from regulated prices. Finally, long-term contracts
and purchase agreements will assure that KTO continues to be an important oil
transportation link to both Western European and Chinese consumers.
Over the next 10 years, Kazakhstan's oil output is set to rise to around 3.5
million bpd from just over 1 million bpd, higher than current production levels
in Norway and only slightly below output in Iran and Mexico. The company's
business profile is enhanced by a conservative business plan in which
management seeks to grow the company without over expanding or diversifying
into unrelated business lines. Furthermore, KazTransOil enjoys good relations
with its Russian counterpart Transneft and has several long-term contracts in
place.
Conversely though,, the company faces a regulated price environment and other
state regulatory restrictions which at times can place downward pressure on its
earnings potential. However, tariff regulation so far has proved to be
relatively benign to the company's earnings, as the stable tariff structure has
allowed it to be profitable.
KazTransOil has an ambitious capital expenditure programme with management
planning to connect and expand existing pipeline networks, while at the same
time aiming to upgrade and modernise the network. Fitch sees this as a positive
and believes the proposed expansion will significantly improve the company's
operational importance and profit potential, especially its pipeline access to
Chinese markets.
Finally, KazTransOil's current leverage position is strong with a net
debt/EBITDA ratio (excluding restricted cash) of only 0.2x in 2003, down from
0.7x in 2002. Although the company plans to increase leverage to take advantage
of the tax shield an increased leverage position affords, Fitch expects the
company's credit ratios to remain commensurate with the current rating.
[2004-11-09]