Fitch повысило прогноз изменения рейтингов Казтрансойла дo "пoзитивнoгo"
12.12.03 00:00
/REUTERS, Лондон, 12.12.03/ - Международное рейтинговое агентство Fitch
Ratings изменило прогноз рейтингов компании Казтрансойл и ее
международных облигаций на сумму $150 миллионов на "позитивный" со
"стабильного", говорится в сообщении агентства.
При этом Fitch подтвердило основной необеспеченный рейтинг
Казстрансойла на уровне "BB", краткосрочный рейтинг "B" и рейтинг
облигаций на уровне "BB".
Ниже приводиться оригинальный текст сообщения Fitch на английском языке.
FITCH CHANGES KAZTRANSOIL'S OUTLOOK TO POSITIVE; AFFIRMS RATINGS
Fitch Ratings - London - 12 December 2003: Fitch Ratings, the international
rating agency, has changed the rating Outlook on Kazakhstan's OTC KazTransOil
("KTO") and its USD150 million notes to Positive from Stable. At the same time,
the agency has affirmed the ratings for KTO at Senior Unsecured 'BB' and Short-
term 'B' and its USD150 million notes at 'BB'.
The Positive Outlook reflects KTO's modest future leverage, and favourable
tariff environment, as well as the company's key position as the oil pipeline
operator, within a core element of Kazakhstan's energy sector. The ratings also
consider the regulatory system's relatively short track record, the systemic
obsolescence within the existing networks, and Russian export quotas, as well
as - to a lesser extent - the competitive threat posed by the new export
pipeline for high-quality crude.
KTO charges fixed tariffs in Kazakhstan tenge, which apply on a per tonne/1,000
km basis. A change in tariff setting methodology is being discussed, but Fitch
does not anticipate any major change before 2005. Since the collapse of crude
prices in 1998, the government has explicitly recognised the funding needs of
KTO by both materially increasing tariffs and by reducing the state dividend to
the current 10% of net profit until 2007, when it will be raised to 20%.
The current ratings reflect the continuing level of state support, as well as
the profile of KazMunaiGaz ("KMG"), an immediate state-owned holding company
representing national interest in the oil and gas sector, and KTO's position
within the group.
Following the implementation of the remote management and control project in
2003, current investments are concentrated in the Alibekmola and Atyrau
regions, and on construction of fibre optic telecommunication infrastructure.
However, large-scale expansion projects are also being planned that may require
extensive additional debt funding.
Although KTO's key western pipeline was connected to the Aktobe (central)
pipeline in 2003, some elements of the network are still under-utilised. The
new pipeline is operated by KTO, but owned by MunaiTas, a joint venture
51%-owned by KMG and created to execute the project. KMG is considering
transferring its 51% to KTO; such a move is not expected to affect the ratings
materially.
Gross debt to EBITDA ratio stood at 1.0x at FYE02, compared with 1.5x at
FYE01; which is strong for the current rating category. With debt relatively
stable at USD199 million at FYE02 (vs. USD193m at FYE01), the improvement was
driven by a 60% increase in EBITDA to USD205m during the year as a result of
increased transportation (with stable tariffs) and cost savings. The credit
protection measures are expected to remain strong, although they could be
affected by major expansionary capex projects undertaken in the future.
At 1 September 2003 USD82m of KTO's c.USD274m cash reserves was
deposited as security for a loan to MunaiTas. Fitch treats this cash as
restricted, i.e. it is excluded from net debt-based ratios. Another USD18m
deposit is collateralised on behalf of sister company Intergas CA. While this
does not represent a liquidity concern, it runs somewhat contrary to KMG's
reassurances of cash separation within the group.
The ratings may be upgraded in the future if the currently favourable tariff
environment is sustained, and KTO's network assets and cost structure are
further rationalised. Any evidence of cross-subsidy from KTO to other parts of
KMG group will be viewed negatively.
Contacts: Josef Pospisil, London, Tel: +44 20 7417 4266; Larissa Malycheva, +44
20 7417 4207; Jeffrey Woodruff +44 20 7862 4101
Media Relations: Campbell McIlroy +44 20 7417 4327, London
[2003-12-12]