Moody's снизило рейтинговую оценку АО "АТФБанк" (Казахстан) до уровня "Ba2", прогноз "Стабильный"
27.07.10 12:56
/Moody's Investors Service, Лондон, 26.07.10, перевод и заголовок KASE/ -
Сегодня рейтинговое агентство Moody's Investors Service снизило рейтинги
депозитов в национальной и иностранной валюте, рейтинги старшего
необеспеченного долга в национальной и иностранной валюте АО "АТФБанк"
с уровня "Bа1" до уровня "Bа2". В то же время, рейтинг финансовой устойчивости
(РФУБ) АО "АТФБанк" был подтвержден на уровне "E+", который теперь совпадает
с базовой оценкой кредитоспособности уровня "B3". Рейтинг младшего
субординированного долга "B1" был подтвержден. Кроме того, прогноз по всем
рейтингам АО "АТФБанк" изменен с "Негативного" на "Стабильный".
Ниже приводится оригинальный текст сообщения Moody's на английском
языке.
Moody's downgrades ATF Bank to Ba2 (Kazakhstan)
London, 26 July 2010 - Moody's Investors Service has today downgraded
ATF Bank's local and foreign-currency deposit and senior unsecured debt
ratings to Ba2 from Ba1. The bank's E+ bank financial strength rating
(BFSR) has been affirmed, which now translates to a Baseline Credit
Assessment (BCA) of B3. ATF Bank's B1 foreign-currency junior
subordinated debt rating has also been affirmed. At the same time,
Moody's changed the outlook on all of the bank's ratings to stable
from negative.
The downgrade of ATF Bank's deposits and senior unsecured debt ratings
is in response to the weakening of its credit profile over the last year.
This is reflected by the following trends in its audited IFRS financial
statements: (i) a significant deterioration of its loan portfolio
(impaired loans rose to 30.9% of gross loans at year-end 2009, from 17.5%
at year-end 2008); (ii) poor financial results, with net losses
of KZT54.77 billion (USD369 million) at year-end 2009, driven by increased
loan-loss provisions and weakened earnings; and (iii) weak capitalisation,
with an equity-to-assets ratio of 5.7% at year-end 2009, compared with
9.4% at year-end 2008.
The change of the outlook to stable from negative factors in the moderate
easing of the pressure on the bank's capitalisation following an agreement
between ATF Bank and its parent bank Unicredit Bank Austria AG. Under this
agreement, Unicredit guarantees over 40% of ATF Bank's loan portfolio
(USD2.8 billion) starting from 31 December 2009, according to the
information provided by the bank and verified in its IFRS financial
statements. The stable outlook also acknowledges the bank's improved
position in Kazakhstan's banking system's deposits, with a market share
of 10.5% at the end of May 2010 (according to the bank's regulatory reports).
ATF Bank's audited IFRS financial statements show that it remains highly
reliant on market funding, which accounted for almost half of its total
liabilities at year- end 2009. About a third of these market funds are
due to Unicredit, which partly mitigates the refinancing risk.
Nevertheless, ATF Bank still has to repay a substantial amount of non-
parental debt, of which approximately USD600 million is due over the next
one year (until Q3 2011).
According to Moody's, ATF Bank's E+ BFSR is underpinned by the bank's
significant market share and its improving risk management from
the integration into the UniCredit Group. However, the rating also accounts
for the bank's weak asset quality, profitability and capitalisation,
as well as its high borrower concentration and material reliance
on wholesale funding.
The bank's Ba2 deposit and senior unsecured debt ratings are based
on its B3 BCA, Moody's assessment of a high probability of support
from UniCredit SpA (rated C/Aa3), combined with a low probability
of systemic support due to ATF's position as the fifth-largest bank
in Kazakhstan, accounting for 9.2% of the banking sector's total assets
at end-May 2010, according to the bank's regulatory reports. These support
assessments result in a four-notch uplift from ATF's B3 BCA.
Moody's notes that ATF Bank's ratings currently have limited upside
potential due to ongoing pressure on the bank's financial fundamentals.
However, in the medium term, the deposit and debt ratings may benefit
from increased earnings and lower loan-loss provisions, which will
translate into increases in net income and capital.
Conversely, a further material weakening of ATF Bank's earnings
generation will probably erode its capital and franchise. This could
lead to a downgrade of its BFSR, and its deposit and debt ratings.
Higher than currently anticipated credit losses and significantly
deteriorating liquidity will also result in a downgrade of the ratings.
In addition, any reduction in the likelihood of parental or systemic
support (which is already low) may result in a downgrade of ATF Bank's
deposit and debt ratings.
Moody's previous rating action on ATF Bank was implemented on 29 January
2010, when ATF Bank's junior subordinated debt rating was downgraded
to B1 from Ba3.
The principal methodologies used in rating ATF Bank were "Bank Financial
Strength Ratings: Global Methodology", published in February 2007, and
"Incorporation of Joint-Default Analysis into Moody's Bank Ratings:
A Refined Methodology", which was published in March 2007 and can be
found at www.moodys.com in the Rating Methodologies sub-directory under
the Research & Ratings tab. Other methodologies and factors that may have
been considered in the process of rating this issuer can also be found
in the Rating Methodologies sub-directory on Moody's website.
Headquartered in Almaty, Kazakhstan, ATF Bank reported total assets,
shareholders equity and net losses of USD7.09 billion, USD 405 million
and USD 369 million), respectively, at year-end 2009, according
to its audited IFRS financial statements.
London
Armen L. Dallakyan
Asst Vice President - Analyst
Financial Institutions Group
Moody's Investors Service Ltd.
JOURNALISTS: 44 20 7772 5456
SUBSCRIBERS: 44 20 7772 5454
Moscow
Yaroslav Sovgyra
VP - Senior Credit Officer
Financial Institutions Group
Moody's Eastern Europe LLC
Telephone: +7 495 228 6060
Facsimile: +7 495 228 6091
[2010-07-27]