As of October 1, 2004 total state debt of Kazakhstan, issued in GS, reached KZT 736.8 bn or $5,475.8 m including servicing
08.10.04 11:08
/IRBIS, Elena Korpusenko, Andrey Tsalyuk, October 8, 04/ - As of October
1, 2004 total state debt of Kazakhstan, issued as government securities
(GS), including compensating (MAOKO) and municipal bonds, along with the
servicing (amount of coupon payments) equaled in current prices to KZT
736.8 bn, or $5,475.8 m. at the rate of KZT 134.56 per dollar. IRBIS
specialists made such the conclusion after analyzing agency's databases.
While making the analysis amounts of future payments on MEIKAM were
calculated taking into consideration consumer price index registered for the
period from July till September of the current year.
From September 1 to 30 of 2004 total debt increased by KZT 10.9 bn
(+1.51%), in dollar equivalent (taking into account changes of the National
Bank's exchange rate) - by 162.2 m (+3.05%). Corresponding indicators of
debt change in August of 2004 were KZT +8.9 bn (+1.24%) or $52.8 m. (+1.00%).
Following table contains more detailed information.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Amount and structure of debt
----------------------------
as of Change
*Currency of Sept 30, 04 as of for the period
--------------- ----------------- Aug 31, 04 ---------------
Issuer issue servicing bn. KZT stake, % bn. KZT m. KZT %
------------------- ----- --------- -------- -------- ---------- --------- -----
National Bank KZT KZT 308.222 41.8 335.447 -27,224.6 -8.1
------------------- ----- --------- -------- -------- ---------- --------- -----
Ministry of Finance 417.933 56.7 379.585 +38,347.9 +10.1
incl. face value 350.644 47.6 317.756 +32,887.3 +10.3
also, domestic GS KZT,
USD KZT 263.180 35.7 228.960 +34,219.8 +14.9
also, euronotes USD USD 87.464 11.9 88.797 -1,332.5 -1.5
incl. servicing 67.290 9.1 61.829 +5,460.6 +8.8
also, domestic GS KZT,
USD KZT 48.821 6.6 43.079 +5,741.9 +13.3
also, euronotes USD USD 18.468 2.5 18.750 -281.4 -1.5
------------------- ----- --------- -------- -------- ---------- --------- -----
Municipals USD KZT 10.668 1.4 10.865 -197.2 -1.8
incl. face value USD KZT 8.753 1.2 8.887 -133.4 -1.5
incl. servicing USD KZT 1.914 0.3 1.978 -63.8 -3.2
------------------- ----- --------- -------- -------- ---------- --------- -----
incl. Astana akimat USD KZT 5.040 0.7 5.116 -76.8 -1.5
also, face value USD KZT 4.339 0.6 4.405 -66.1 -1.5
also, servicing USD KZT 0.701 0.1 0.712 -10.7 -1.5
------------------- ----- --------- -------- -------- ---------- --------- -----
incl. Atyrau region USD KZT 4.969 0.7 5.080 -110.4 -2.2
akimat
also, face value USD KZT 3.808 0.5 3.866 -58.0 -1.5
also, servicing USD KZT 1.162 0.2 1.214 -52.4 -4.3
------------------- ----- --------- -------- -------- ---------- --------- -----
incl. E-Kz USD KZT 0.659 0.1 0.669 -10.0 -1.5
region akimat
also, face value USD KZT 0.607 0.1 0.616 -9.2 -1.5
also, servicing USD KZT 0.052 0.01 0.052 -0.8 -1.5
------------------- ----- --------- -------- -------- ---------- --------- -----
TOTAL 736.823 100.0 725.897 +10,926.0 +1.51
incl. face value 667.619 90.6 662.090 +5,529.3 +0.8
incl. Servicing 69.204 9.4 63.807 +5,396.7 +8.46
------------------- ----- --------- -------- -------- ---------- --------- -----
OR
------------------- ----- --------- -------- -------- ---------- --------- -----
incl. internal debt KZT KZT 630.891 85.6 618.351 +12,539.9 +2.0
also, face value KZT KZT 580.155 78.7 573.294 +6,861.8 +1.2
also, servicing KZT KZT 50.735 6.9 45.057 +5,678.1 +12.6
------------------- ----- --------- -------- -------- ---------- --------- -----
incl. external debt USD USD 105.932 14.4 107.546 -1,613.9 -1.5
also, face value USD USD 87.464 11.9 88.797 -1,332.5 -1.5
also, servicing USD USD 18.468 2.5 18.750 -281.4 -1.5
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
*USD is shown as issue currency also in case the face value of bond is
expressed in tenge, but the security is indexed on the level of changing of
the rate of tenge to US dollar.
The equivalent amounts as of September 30, 04 were calculated at the rate
of KZT 134.56 per dollar, as of August 31, 04 - at KZT 136.61. Therefore,
the data shown in the table reflect the dynamics due to exchange rate
fluctuations besides all other factors.
Similar figures in U.S. dollars are given in the following table.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Amount and structure of debt
----------------------------
as of Change
*Currency of Sept 30, 04 as of for the period
--------------- ----------------- Aug 31 04 ----------------
Issuer issue servicing m. USD stake, % m. USD th. USD %
------------------- ----- --------- ------- --------- --------- ---------- -----
National Bank KZT KZT 2,290.6 41.8 2,455.5 -164,914.1 -6.7
------------------- ----- -------- -------- --------- --------- ---------- -----
Ministry of Finance 3,105.9 56.7 2,778.6 +327,318.7 +11.8
incl. face value 2,605.9 47.6 2,326.0 +279,842.6 +12.0
also, domestic GS KZT,
USD KZT 1,955.9 35.7 1,676.0 +279,842.6 +16.7
also, euronotes USD USD 650.0 11.9 650.0 0 0
incl. Servicing 500.1 9.1 452.6 +47,476.2 +10.5
also, domestic GS KZT,
USD KZT 362.8 6.6 315.3 +47,476.2 +15.1
also, euronotes USD USD 137.3 2.5 137.3 0 0
------------------- ----- --------- -------- --------- --------- ---------- ----
Municipals USD KZT 79.3 1.4 79.5 -253.8 -0.3
incl. face value USD KZT 65.1 1.2 65.1 0 0
incl. Servicing USD KZT 14.2 0.3 14.5 -253.8 -1.8
------------------- ----- --------- ------- --------- --------- ---------- -----
incl. Astana USD KZT 37.5 0.7 37.5 0 0
akimat
also, face value USD KZT 32.2 0.6 32.2 0 0
also, servicing USD KZT 5.2 0.1 5.2 0 0
------------------- ----- --------- ------- --------- --------- ---------- -----
incl. Atyrau USD KZT 36.9 0.7 37.2 -253.8 -0.7
region akimat
also, face value USD KZT 28.3 0.5 28.3 0 0
also, servicing USD KZT 8.6 0.2 8.9 -253.8 -2.9
------------------- ----- --------- ------- --------- --------- ---------- -----
incl. E-Kz region USD KZT 4.9 0.1 4.9 0 0
akimat
also, face value USD KZT 4.5 0.1 4.5 0 0
also, servicing USD KZT 0.4 0.01 0.4 0 -0.0
------------------- ----- --------- ------- --------- --------- ---------- -----
TOTAL 5,475.8 100.0 5,313.6 +162,150.8 +3.05
incl. face value 4,961.5 90.6 4,846.6 +114,928.5 +2.4
incl. Servicing 514.3 9.4 467.1 +47,222.3 +10.1
------------------- ----- --------- ------- --------- --------- ---------- -----
OR
------------------- ----- --------- ------- --------- --------- ---------- -----
incl. internal debt KZT KZT 4,688.5 85.6 4,526.4 +162,150.8 +3.6
also, face value KZT KZT 4,311.5 78.7 4,196.6 +114,928.5 +2.7
also, servicing KZT KZT 377.0 6.9 329.8 +47,222.3 +14.3
------------------- ----- --------- ------- --------- --------- ---------- -----
incl. external debt USD USD 787.3 14.4 787.3 0 0
also, face value USD USD 650.0 11.9 650.0 0 0
also, servicing USD USD 137.3 2.5 137.3 0 0
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
*USD is shown as issue currency also in case the face value of bond is
expressed in tenge, but the security is indexed on the level of changing of
the rate of tenge to US dollar.
According to the data of IRBIS, issue volume of the National Bank's GS in
September by amounts of floatation was KZT 15,883.7 m. (in August - KZT
33,939.3 m). Moreover, the issuer paid off its liabilities, including advance
repayment, in the amount of KZT 43,529.4 m (KZT 37,571.4 m.).
September's net-borrowing balance of the National Bank at GS market
totaled negative KZT 27,645.7 m. Corresponding index of August -
negative KZT 3,632.2 m.
The Ministry of finance borrowed in September KZT 34,262.1 m thanks to
МЕКАМ floatation (in August - KZT 9,125.0 m) and paid off coupon payments
for KZT 546.1 m. (739.1 m). September's net-borrowing balance of the Ministry
of finance is estimated by IRBIS as positive KZT 33,716.0 m (in August -
positive KZT 8,385.9 m.).
Total September's net-borrowing balance of all Kazakhstan GS issuers
(including domestic executive bodies) is estimated by IRBIS as positive
KZT 6,036.0 m ("minus" sign in balance indicator means that the mentioned
sum was withdrawn from issuer's budget and remained in investors' possession,
"plus" sign - issuer borrowed more by the mentioned sum than redeemed).
Corresponding indicator in August of 2004 - positive KZT 4,727.5 m.
The Naitonal Bank has used its opportunity to lower sharply its emission
activity on the expense of the Ministry of Finance (MoF). Increased emission
activity of the MoF is linked to forthcoming redemption of sovereign
eurobonds on October 18, 2004.
IRBIS agency notes that presented data are not official statistics and
calculated using GS primary market databases of the agency. Domestic bonds
data are compared with data presented by Central Securities Depository CJSC.
[2004-10-08]