In November of 2003 volume of transactions in foreign currency at KASE reached the equivalent of $404.4 m and decreased by 38.0%
01.12.03 00:00
/IRBIS, December 1, 03/ - In November of 2003 volume of transactions in
foreign currency at Kazakhstan Stock Exchange (KASE) reached the
equivalent of USD404,388.5 th. (KZT59,446.3 m) and decreased relative to
October of 2003 by USD247,461.1 th. (KZT36,909.8 m) or by 38.0%
(38.3%). In October of the current year the volume of foreign exchange
transaction reached $651.8 mn and was the highest monthly turnover
volume of foreign exchange transactions at KASE for the whole past history
of the Exchange. Relative to November of the last year the volume of
transactions on foreign currencies conducted at the exchange increased in
the last month by KZT18,885.5 th or by 4.9% in dollar terms and decreased
by KZT67.7 mn or by 0.1% in tenge terms.
The last November in Kazakhstan was characterized by quite moderate
volume of exporters' foreign currency revenues sale at domestic market,
what in IRBIS specialists' opinion resulted in decrease of exchange's
turnover of foreign currencies relative to October. In turn, considerable oil
price decrease at world markets in the second half of October as well as
rapid increase of fuel prices at domestic market of Kazakhstan must also be
cited among reasons that caused passive strategy of exporters at KASE.
The first reason could have negatively affected the volume of foreign
currency inflow into the country, the second provided oil industry with
sufficient level of tenge liquidity, which allowed them to cut the volume of
dollar sale at KASE when making tax payments. Another very important
circumstance is that the rate of a dollar relative to tenge in November was
very close to the lowest points of the current year, and this did not
contribute to increase of USD supply.
In IRBIS specialists' opinion, dollar market's amenability to movement in
downward direction even in times of small volume of its sales did not
encounter noticeable resistance from the side of the National bank, which
strives for minimizing inflation risks, which arose from fuel price escalation.
This also "scared away" oil industry workers from sale of foreign currency
revenues at exchange and led to increase in November (relative to October)
of over-the-counter transactions with American currency (see below).
Total of 3,090 deals (3,485) were made during November at KASE (here
and further comparable figures of previous month are given in parentheses),
including: in U.S. dollars on TOD terms - 2,853 (3,394), on TOM terms -
235 (89), in euro - 2 (2), in Russian ruble - 0 (0).
99.94% (99.92%) of the whole volume of conducted deals in the whole
turnover of exchange's currency market fell to the stake of US dollar.
Volume of transactions in U.S. dollar reached $404,150 th. ($651,320 th.) to
the amount of KZT59,411.3 m (KZT96,277.6 m). For comparison, total
volume of USD deals in November of 2002 at KASE amounted to $385,295
th. to the amount of KZT59,481.8 m.
Tenge devaluation rate against dollar, calculated at exchange's weighted
average rate of the main session, is estimated in November 2003 (October
31, 03 = KZT147.77 - November 30, 03 = KZT146.63) by the trend negative
9.39% APR. Last month average devaluation rate of tenge to dollar was
negative 9.48% APR.
Weighted average rate of U.S. dollar, calculated based on the deals of the
main session in November - KZT146.99 per unit. For October of 2003 -
KZT147.82 per dollar.
Volume of over-the-counter deals in U.S. dollars between the operators-
residents of Kazakhstan since November 1 of 2003 till November 25 of 2003
(latest data is currently not available) reached $569,672.0 th. Volume of
deals of the whole interbank over-the-counter market during this period:
purchase - $571,843.0 th., sale - $612,562.0 th.
In euro the volume of transactions reached EUR200 th (EUR450 th.) for
amount of KZT35.0 m. (KZT78.5 m).
Volume of over-the-counter transactions on euro between operators-
residents of Kazakhstan according to the National Bank data since
November 1 of 2003 till November 25 of 2003 (latest data is currently
unavailable) was EUR1,018.0 th. Volume of deals of entire over-the counter
interbank market in this period: purchase - 1,945.0 th., sale - 1,023.0 th.
In Russian rouble transactions in October and November were not made at
KASE.
Volume of over-the-counter transactions on Russian rouble between
operators-residents of Kazakhstan according to the National Bank's data
since November 1 of 2003 till November 25 of 2003 (latest data is currently
unavailable) was RUR32,612.0 th. Volume of deals of entire over-the
counter interbank market (taking into account non-residents) in this period:
purchase - RUR118,745.0 th., sale - RUR36,900.0 th.
[2003-12-01]