Market reviews and recommendations of BCC Invest JSC (Kazakhstan) analysts for January 10, 2012
10.01.12 17:53
/IRBIS, January 10, 2012/ - BCC Invest JSC has provided
IRBIS with a survey of main events, market reviews and
investment ideas for January 10, 2012.
Analysts of BCC Invest JCS note the following events on
international markets today:
- Monday, 09 January, trading on stock exchanges in Asia
and Oceania day after day, opened with decrease of the
main index. However, in the afternoon, most stock
indexes of Asia-Pacific region played a part of the
morning losses, and the composite index of stock
exchanges in Mainland China and Hong Kong CSI300
Hang Seng index confidently out into positive territory.
The reason for optimism was the performance of the
bidders, Prime Minister of China's two-day economic
conference, which announced measures to increase
trust and confidence of the stock market, and also about
changing the rules to allow private investment in the
capital of banks and insurance companies. Positive
expectations of investors were also associated with a
meeting in Berlin, Chancellor Angela Merkel and French
President Nicolas Sarkozy, who were to discuss the
modalities of a new mechanism for fiscal discipline in the
euro area. As a result, stock indexes Australia and
Korea have lost less than 1%, while the indices CSI300
and Hang Seng rose 3.40% and 1.47%, respectively.
- Trading on the Kazakhstan Stock Exchange opened on
neutral note, later in the day the sale of shares in the
names of the individual led to the final reduction of the
KASE index by 0.85% to 1,144.69 points. The total
volume of transactions in shares on KASE is 60.5 million
tenge, and the shares of index KASE - 35.2 mln. The
largest volume of transactions, as in previous days, fell
on common shares of Kazakhtelecom - 17.9 mln.
- In Russia, trading on the MICEX and RTS opened in
negative territory. Further, during the day, relatively high
oil prices have promoted the rise of the Russian stock
indexes, which eventually closed the day with moderate
rise of 0.54% (MICEX), and 0.45% (RTS). The leaders of
growth were the shares of oil and steel sectors.
- Trading in Europe opened near the neutral mark, the
dynamics of trades constantly changed direction. Later
evidence of a decline in industrial production in Germany
in November, worse than expected spoiled the mood of
investors. Bidders are also expected to nervousness
outcome of the meeting, Angela Merkel and Nicolas
Sarkozy, which in principle has not yielded tangible
results before the end of the trading day in Europe. As a
result, Europe's main stock indexes closed the day with
decrease in the range of 1%.
- Trading in the U.S., in the absence of publication of
important macroeconomic statistics in anticipation of the
start of the season took place in accordance with the
reporting of the previous days range. Some
strengthening of the single European currency against
the U.S. dollar against the passing of the meeting,
Angela Merkel and Nicolas Sarkozy gave a positive
impetus to the dynamics of trading in the afternoon. As a
result, U.S. stock indices closed on a moderate rise of
0.9% - 0.27%.
- After the close of trading aluminum giant Alcoa Inc, the
first company from the list index of U.S. blue-chip Dow
Jones Industrial Average 30 reported for the 4th quarter
of 2011. The company has received quarterly loss of $
0.03 per 1 share, in line with analysts' expectations.
- This morning the stock indexes in Asia and Oceania,
and futures for U.S. indices are traded in the green zone.
- Today, the focus of attention will be the publication of
data on industrial production in France in November last
year and the index of business sentiment from the Bank
of France in December, and auctions on placement of
short-term government obligations in Greece. The U.S.
also will hold auction on placement of 4-week and 52-
week short-term government obligations, as well as 3-
year notes.
Analysts of BCC Invest JCS also note the following events
on Kazakhstani market:
- Company KazMunayGas Exploration Production
announces operating results in 2011 and some data on
the budget for 2012. According to the JSC "BCC Invest",
published information is neutral for the stock quotes and
depositary receipts of JSC "Exploration Production
"KazMunayGas", because the message of the fall of
production in 2011 is below the projected level of market
participants offset by optimistic expectations of the
company's management on the production growth in
2012 year, while increasing the size of capital
investments in 2012, according to the JSC "BCC Invest",
is fully justified and expected. Increase in the share of
supply of domestic market, should be compensated by
increase in domestic selling prices by 25%. JSC "BCC
Invest" confirms recommendation to "buy" the shares
and depositary receipts of JSC "Exploration Production
"KazMunayGas" with target price of 15,900 tenge per
share and $ 18.30 per GDR.
Analysts of BCC Invest JSC are giving the following advice
for investors in securities of issuers in internal market:
-------------------------------------------------------------
Closing Target Potential,
Issuer Code price price % Recommen-
dation
----------------- ------- ------- ------ ---------- ---------
Kazkommertsbank KKGB 231 320 +38.53 Neutral
KKGBp 142 157 +10.56 Neutral
Halyk Bank HSBK 203 Review
Bank CenterCredit CCBN 242.10 333 +37.55 Buy
Tsesnabank TSBN 800 1,030 +28.75 Neutral
KazMunaiGaz EP RDGZ 13,500 15,900 +17.78 Buy
Kazakhmys PLC GB_KZMS 2,250 2,440 +8.44 Hold
ENRC PLC GB_ENRC 1,610 1,900 +18.01 Buy
Kazakhtelekom KZTK 22,000 27,500 Review
KZTKp 17,500 8,900 Review
MREK MREK 1,350 1,130 -16.30 Hold
-------------------------------------------------------------
The given material has exclusively information character and is not the offer
or recommendation to make any transactions with the stocks. IRBIS Agency
doesn't take responsibility for the opinions which are in given material.
[2012-01-10]