Market reviews and recommendations of BCC Invest JSC (Kazakhstan) analysts for December 6, 2011
06.12.11 17:38
/IRBIS, December 6, 2011/ - BCC Invest JSC has provided
IRBIS with a survey of main events, market reviews and
investment ideas for December 6, 2011.
Analysts of JSC "BCC Invest" now expect negative opening of
trades on negative external background. Further, during the day,
according to analysts, the dynamics will be mixed and
multidimensional, and KASE index will, probably, end the day
with decrease.
Analysts of BCC Invest JCS note the following events on the
local market:
- ENRC has withdrawn a lawsuit against the MMK, the
Court of Australia took the package with the arrest of the
MMK in Fortescue. Court of Australia took a stake in the
arrest of "Magnitogorsk Iron and Steel Works" (MMK) in
the Australian iron ore Fortescue (4,997% shares of the
market value of about $ 750 million), said the Flinders
Mines. Enrc Marketing AG withdrew the claim on which
the Court of December 1 has frozen Australian assets of
MMK up to $ 866 million. Kazakh Eurasian Natural
Resources Corporation (ENRC) November 10 warned
that could sue MMK for breach of contract for the supply
of iron ore. November 24 the company sent a lawsuit in
federal court of Australia, the defendants were MMK and
its mining subsidiary MMK-Mining Assets Management.
According to contractual obligations, the MMK had to
buy 1 million tonnes of iron ore per month during 2011,
and the IV quarter of Works announced plans to
purchase a maximum of 700 tons per month, said
ENRC. November 25 MMK has made an offer to buy
Australia's Flinders Mines at a price of AUD 0.3 per
share, estimating the entire company at $ 537 million
prize to the weighted average market price over the last
three months - 92.5%. MMK owns 4.997% of the third
largest Australian iron ore producer Fortescue market
value of about $ 750 million, analysts believed that the
company would be beneficial to use this package to
finance the deal with Flinders Mines. Flinders Mines is
developing several iron ore deposits in Western
Australia, including in the region, Pilbara, where there
are global giants - Rio Tinto, BHP Billiton, and
Fortescue. Production at the field is scheduled to begin
in 2014 with the release of 15 million tonnes of ore per
year. MMK provided its own iron ore by 30%. The
remaining volumes of the company purchased the
Kazakh ENRC, which in the IV quarter could not agree
on prices, then moved to purchase "Metalloinvest" and
"Severstal" (RTS: CHMF). The company also owns the
license to develop iron ore on Prioskolsky deposit. By
September of this year, the MMK had planned to make a
decision about joining the project developed by the
Canadian-based Hatch feasibility study for development
of the field. MMK is one of the largest Russian
manufacturers of metal products. The primary
beneficiary is the chairman of the plant. According to the
JSC "BCC Invest", the message is neutral for the stock
price of ENRC PLC. An amicable end to the dispute
itself is positive for both companies, but the situation is
still unknown about the subject matter - in what amounts
MMK will now buy iron ore products in ENRC PLC. JSC
"BCC Invest" leaves the current recommendation on the
shares of ENRC PLC at 'BUY' with a target price of 8.00
pounds per share.
Analysts of BCC Invest JCS expect the following
developments on international markets today:
- in Russia no important economic statistics to be
published.
- at 14:00 (AST) will be published house price index from
Halifax in the UK in November. At 16:00 (AST) to be
published data on the Eurozone Eurozone GDP per
3Q2011, as well as indices of gross fixed costs and
consumption of private and public sectors. At 17:00
(AST) will be published on the data for October industrial
orders in Germany.
- In the United States at 21:00 (AST) index of economic
optimism of IBD/TIPP will be published.
Analysts of BCC Invest JSC are giving the following advice
for investors in securities of issuers in internal market:
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Closing Target Potential,
Issuer Code price price % Recommen-
dation
----------------- ------- -------- ------ ---------- ---------
Kazkommertsbank KKGB 230 320 +39.13 Neutral
KKGBp 156.20 157 +0.51 Neutral
Halyk Bank HSBK 212 Review
Bank CenterCredit CCBN 289.99 Review
Tsesnabank TSBN 800 1,030 +28.75 Neutral
KazMunaiGaz EP RDGZ 14,800 15,900 +7.43 Hold
Kazakhmys PLC GB_KZMS 2,160 2,440 +12.96 Hold
ENRC PLC GB_ENRC 1,548.49 1,900 +22.67 Buy
Kazakhtelekom KZTK 17,500 27,500 +57.14 Buy
KZTKp 13,161 8,900 -32.38 Sell
MREK MREK 1,350 1,130 -16.30 Hold
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The given material has exclusively information character and is not the offer
or recommendation to make any transactions with the stocks. IRBIS Agency
doesn't take responsibility for the opinions which are in given material.
[2011-12-06]