Market reviews and recommendations of "Brokerage house "Jazz Capital" JCS (Kazakhstan) analysts for November 17, 2011
17.11.11 16:17
/IRBIS, November 17, 2011/ -"Jazz Capital" Brokerage house
JCS (Almaty, Real Invest Group) has provided IRBIS with a
survey of main events, market reviews and investment ideas for
November 17, 2011.
"Jazz Capital" Brokerage House notes the following
significant events on international markets:
- On Wednesday, the stock market in the United
States ended the trading session significantly
reducing the indices, while Europe was closed in the
"outset". Since the beginning of trading in the U.S.
market over hanging clouds sailed from Europe - the
Bank of England Governor Mervyn King noted a
significant deterioration in the economic outlook in
relation to the European crisis, German Chancellor
Angela Merkel has expressed willingness to give up a
certain percentage of sovereignty in favor of
strengthening economic and political EU relations, which
in itself is an indication of the extremes to which the
situation has reached with the European debt. Retreat of
the stock market also contributed to the rating agency
Fitch comments that the U.S. banks are directly exposed
to potential losses relating to Greece, Italy, Spain,
Ireland and Portugal, and that further turmoil in these
markets represent a serious threat to the U.S. banking
sector. Against the background of such news in the
financial sector has left a profound disadvantage.
Published in the bidding macroeconomic statistics in
general was favorable, but the market has left it
unattended. Industrial production in October increased
by 0.7% compared with the forecast of 0.4%, 0.2%
growth in the September, consumer price index
seasonally adjusted last month retreated by 0.1%, which
demonstrates the decline in inflation pressure and the
possibility of further monetary easing. The index of blue
chips ended the session in negative territory by the full,
including lost more than 2% Alcoa, AIG, Boeing,
Citigroup, JPMorgan, Walt Disney, etc. The financial
sector in the broad market index against the comments
of Fitch looked worse than ever. In particular, shares of
Morgan Stanley and Citigroup have lost 8% and 4.1%
respectively. The third-largest computer maker Dell
dipped 3.2% after it reported quarterly sales weaker than
Wall Street expectations, but profit excluding some items
was higher than forecast. Stock trading in Europe were
closed lateral movement in the leading index, as
investors do not dare to make active steps against the
backdrop of worries about the prospects of overcoming
the fiscal and debt crisis in the eurozone. Market
participants fear that the negative trend will increasingly
impact on Italy and then spread to France and Spain.
Yield of government bonds of the three countries show
growth. In addition, there were reports from the central
bank of Great Britain on a possible deterioration in world
economic growth forecasts in the event of further
development of the crisis in the eurozone. Shares of
German Infineon Technologies, the second largest
European manufacturer of semiconductors, fell 4.78%
after the company reduced its forecast for sales in 2012.
Paper German automakers Bayerische Motoren Werke
and Daimler have gone into the "red" zone by 3.8% and
2.1% respectively against the background of general
decline in productivity in the industry. The value of
shares of French media conglomerate Vivendi rose to
5.56%, adjusted net profit for Vivendi in the first 9
months of 2011 increased by 13.8% year on year and
amounted to 2.519 billion euros.
- Major stock indicators emerging markets have
shown negative trend. Investors do not cease to worry
about the fate of Italy, because bonds of one of the
largest economies in the eurozone again traded at a
yield above the critical level of 7%, while on the stock
exchange there is no clear assurance that the new prime
minister, Mario Monti is able to successfully cope with
leaning on his problems. Negative impact on the
outcome of trading, in particular on the Stock Exchange
of Hong Kong, had news that the IMF stated that "fast"
growth in lending in Hong Kong increases the risk of
increasing the amount of 'bad' debt in banks.
- Gold. The price of gold at end of trading on COMEX
has fallen by 7.90 dollars or 0.4% to a value of
1,774.30 dollars per troy ounce. Short-term investment
attractiveness of gold as a zone of anti-inflation
investment decreased as a result of strengthening of the
dollar in the basket of world currencies.
- Oil. Prices of oil futures of Light Sweet and Brent at
auction on Wednesday declined. Negative dynamics
of prices is largely due to the situation on the
international currency market Forex. Dollar since the
beginning of the day has grown considerably against the
euro and other currencies, creating an unattractive
environment for purchases of oil and other commodity
assets whose prices are set in U.S. currency. The dollar
index for the six major world currencies has increased
since the early days by 0.7%.
- Currency. The main outsider, of course, is the euro,
which is losing ground to the dollar, the pound and
the Japanese yen: the problems in the euro area
continue to keep investors on their toes. Now, the
euro/dollar is trading near 1.35, but may be adjusted
slightly by the end of the week due to the closure of
speculative positions. Resistance levels are at 1.3650
and 1.3850 marks. If the couple lingers below 1.35, then
the first support level is at 1.3370, the second - about
1.3230.
This material has exclusively informational character and is not
the offer or recommendation to make any transactions with the
stocks. IRBIS Agency doesn't take responsibility for the opinions
which are in this material.
[2011-11-17]