Market reviews and recommendations of BCC Invest JSC (Kazakhstan) analysts for November 8, 2011
08.11.11 15:21
/IRBIS, November 8, 2011/ - BCC Invest JSC has provided
IRBIS with a survey of main events, market reviews and
investment ideas for November 8, 2011.
Analysts of JSC "BCC Invest" now expect neutral opening of
trades on ambiguous external background. Further, during the
day, according to analysts, the dynamics will be also mixed, and
KASE index will end the day near the neutral point.
Analysts of BCC Invest JCS note the following events on
Kazakhstani market today:
- 09 November KASE held specialized trades on
placement of MEOKAM-60 of release 41. As the price
of the application must include the coupon rate percent
per annum of the nominal value of the bond, expressed
up to second decimal place. This indicator is a subject of
bargaining.
- The rate of export duty on nickel from 5 December
will be $ 2.1 thousand per ton. Progressive export duty
on nickel comes into force on 5 December and will be $
2.1178 per thousand ton, follows from the decision of the
Government dated 1 November, published on the official
website of the Cabinet. A new method of calculation of
export duty on nickel in conjunction with the quarterly
prices on the London Metal Exchange (LME) has
entered into force on 28 May, but before the release of
an executive order in effect rate of 10% of customs
value. At the cost of the cut-off to determine the fee level
is $ 12 thousand per ton - in excess of this amount will
be applied coefficients from 0.05 to 0.3. The basis of the
monitoring calendar quarter is taken - fee will be
calculated for the third quarter (July, August,
September). Export duties were to take effect in mid-
November, but later the introduction of a new technique
has been postponed to the 5th day of the third calendar
month following the billing period. According to the
dynamics of stock prices, the average price of nickel on
the results of the last quarter was $ 22.06 million with
prices in excess of $ 20 thousand per ton, in the formula
for calculating export duty applicable maximum betting
odds. According to analysts of JSC "BCC Invest", the
message is neutral for the stock quotes and depository
receipts of "Norilsk Nickel", since it corresponds to the
expectations of the market.
Analysts of BCC Invest JCS expect the following
developments on international markets today:
- Today Russia is expected to publish data on exports,
imports and trade balance for September.
- Today in Germany at 13:00 (AST) will be published in
the September data export and import, as well as on
trade and balance of payments. In France, at 13:45
(AST) to be published data on its trade balance. In the
UK, at 15:30 (AST) to be published data on industrial
production in September, and at 21:00 (AST) will be
published estimate of GDP growth from NIESR.
- Today in the U.S. at 18:30 (AST) will be published index
of optimism NFIB small business in October, and at
21:00 (AST) will be published index of economic
optimism of the IBD / TIPP in November.
- Today Toyota Motor Corp, Vodafone Group PLC, Sands
China Ltd, State Bank of India, Lloyds Banking Group
PLC, Intesa Sanpaolo SpA, Societe Generale SA, First
Quantum Minerals Ltd, and others will be reporting.
Analysts of BCC Invest JSC are giving the following advice
for investors in securities of issuers in internal market:
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Closing Target Potential,
Issuer Code price price % Recommen-
dation
----------------- ------- ------- ------ ---------- ---------
Kazkommertsbank KKGB 245 320 +30.61 Neutral
KKGBp 156.20 157 +0.51 Neutral
Halyk Bank HSBK 213.01 296 +38.96 Buy
Bank CenterCredit CCBN 300 608 +102.67 Buy
Tsesnabank TSBN 800 1,030 +28.75 Neutral
KazMunaiGaz RDGZ 14,979 15,900 +6.15 Buy
Kazakhmys PLC GB_KZMS 2,220 2,440 +9.91 Hold
ENRC PLC GB_ENRC 1,624 1,900 +17.00 Buy
Kazakhtelekom KZTK 17,800 27,500 +54.49 Buy
KZTKp 12,000 8,900 -25.83 Buy
MREK MREK 1,299 1,130 -13.01 Hold
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The given material has exclusively information character and is not the offer
or recommendation to make any transactions with the stocks. IRBIS Agency
doesn't take responsibility for the opinions which are in given material.
[2011-11-08]