Market reviews and recommendations of BCC Invest JSC (Kazakhstan) analysts for September 29, 2011
29.09.11 15:27
/IRBIS, September 29, 2011/ - BCC Invest JSC has provided
IRBIS with a survey of main events, market reviews and
investment ideas for September 29, 2011.
Analysts of JSC "BCC Invest" now expect negative opening of
trades amid falling quotations of stocks and GDR of Kazakhstani
issuers in London the day before. Further, during the day,
according to analysts, on the local market dynamics will be
mixed and multidimensional, and the index of KASE, probably,
will end the day with decrease.
Analysts of JCS "BCC Invest" note the following events on
Kazakhstani market today:
- ENRC PLC released revised policy on corporate
governance. Eurasian Natural Resources Corporation
PLC issued a press release according to which, the
company revised its corporate governance policies
(PKU). According to the best practices of corporate
governance in the UK, the board of directors will consist
of 11 members, six of whom are independent directors.
Revision PKU concluded that the current Chairman of
the Board of Directors J. Sittard must remain at the
current position. The same applies to the Chief
Executive Officer F. Vulis, who agreed to withdraw his
resignation and continue to work as manager of the
company. Of the changes in the composition of the
Board of Directors: M. Dalman was appointed Senior
Independent Director, the company introduced a new
independent non-executive director T. Wilkinson.
According to analysts of JSC "BCC Invest" the message
is positive for the stock prices of ENRC PLC. Analysts of
JSC "BCC Invest" believe that the consent F. Vulis to
continue his role as CEO is a good signal and soon the
pressure of the corporate conflict at the company quotes
should loosen. Analysts of JSC "BCC Invest" reaffirm
their current recommendation for ENRC PLC at 'BUY'
with a target price of ? 8.00 per share.
- Polymetal has published its operational and financial
results for the first half of 2011. Key figures: in the first
half of 2011, the Company has demonstrated a
significant increase in profitability: net profit rose 77% to
US $ 151 million, or US $ 0.39 per share, growth of
adjusted EBITDA by 32% to US $ 249 million exceeded
the 29% increase in revenue to the US $ 545 million,
with adjusted EBITDA margin increased from 45% to
46%, total cash costs for the whole company, computed
by the associated product, rose 23% to US $ 671 per
ounce of gold equivalent, primarily as a result of 15 per
dollar Inflation in Russia and began commercial
production in Omolon cash costs per ounce is now
higher than at existing oilfields, capital expenditure rose
by 30%, with US $ 155 million to US $ 203 million as the
Company continued the construction of several large-
scale projects, and also increased its exploration, net
debt increased by 17% to US $ 920 million, compared
with US $ 785 million at the end of 2010. Debt ratios of
the Company amounted to 1.9h adjusted EBITDA, while
only 23% of the total debt was short term (ie less than 12
months). According to analysts of JSC "BCC Invest" this
news is neutral for the company. The company has
demonstrated strong financial results for the first half,
which corresponds to our expectations, which can not be
said about the operations showing a decline. According
to the company's management in the second half of
2011 is expected to significantly increase production on
Omolon Dukat and Albazino that can positively affect the
present value of the company. Analysts of JSC "BCC
Invest" to leave their current recommendation for equity
securities of JSC "Polymetal" at the "BUY" with a target
price of 22.60 per share.
Analysts of JSC "BCC Invest" expect the following
developments on international markets today:
- Today in Russia will be published data on international
reserves and balance the budget.
- Today in Britain at 12:00 (AST) to be published data on
house prices, and at 14:30 (AST) - Credit and monetary
aggregate M4. In Germany, at 13:55 (AST) to be
published data on the unemployment rate. At 15:00
(AST) to be published data on euro area business
climate index, the consumer, economic and industrial
confidence, as well as an index of business sentiment in
the services sector. In Germany, at 15:00 (AST) the
Stabilization Fund will hold voting, which will address the
possibility of providing more resources to countries most
badly affected by the debt crisis.
- Today in the U.S. before the opening of trading at 18:30
(AST) will be published the revised GDP data for the
second quarter of this year, consumer prices, as well as
data on applications for unemployment benefits. At
19:45 (AST) Bloomberg publishes the index of consumer
comfort, at 20:00 (AST) to be published data on pending
sales in the housing market, and at 21:00 (AST) Federal
Reserve Bank of Kansas City will publish data on
production.
Analysts of BCC Invest JSC are giving the following advice
for investors in securities of issuers in internal market:
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Closing Target Potential,
Issuer Code price price % Recommen-
dation
----------------- ------- ------- ------ ---------- ---------
Kazkommertsbank KKGB 265 Review
KKGBp 148 Review
Halyk Bank HSBK 237.52 Review
Bank CenterCredit CCBN 350 608 +73.71 Buy
Tsesnabank TSBN 903 1,030 +14.06 Neutral
KazMunaiGaz RDGZ 13,600 15,900 +16.91 Buy
Kazakhmys PLC GB_KZMS 1,970 3,450 +75.13 Buy
ENRC PLC GB_ENRC 1,380 1,900 +37.68 Buy
Kazakhtelekom KZTK 17,900 27,500 +53.63 Buy
KZTKp 8,988 8,900 -0.98 Buy
MREK MREK 1,182 1,130 -4.40 Hold
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The given material has exclusively information character and is not the offer
or recommendation to make any transactions with the stocks. IRBIS Agency
doesn't take responsibility for the opinions which are in given material.
[2011-09-29]