The review of key events and forecasts from "ASYL INVEST" JCS (Kazakhstan) analysts for August 10, 2011
10.08.11 15:56
/IRBIS, August 10, 2011/ - "ASYL INVEST" JCS (Almaty) has
provided IRBIS with the review of key events and its investment
ideas and forecasts for August 10, 2011
Analysts of "Asyl Invest" indicate that the news background for the
domestic market today is positive. Significant growth of the U.S.
market on Tuesday may be a signal to domestic players to purchase
dramatically cheapened shares of the domestic companies. "Asyl
INVEST" expects growth of quotations on all issuers of a
representation of the index. Rising prices for oil and industrial metals
mining companies support the campaign. Shares of the banking
sector in recent days have experienced a sharp and deep drop in
prices, which makes them attractive for purchase.
Besides, ASYL INVEST analysts note the following events on
world markets:
- At the last FOMC meeting was also discussed a number of
measures or instruments to stimulate economic growth,
which the regulator is prepared to apply as needed. Gave a
powerful impetus to the news of the banking sector shares.
Quotes of Bank of America and Citigroup Inc. soared in price
by at least 13%. Shares of mining companies rose due to
higher gold prices, Freeport-McMoRan Copper & Gold has
risen in the capitalization by 7.5%. On Monday, lowering the
U.S. credit rating by agency S & P has not allowed to
reverse the negative trend in the markets after the release of
positive statistics on the labor market on Friday. On Monday,
the index of "large market" has lost 6.7%, down to the level
of 1119.5 points. According to Department of U.S.
employment, the number of new jobs in non-farm sectors of
the economy amounted to 117 thousand well above market
expectations of 85 thousand in private sector employment
increased by 154 thousand to 41 thousand that higher
expectations of economists. Unemployment unexpectedly
fell by 0.1 percentage points to 9.1%. Last week, the
statistics reflect a significant U.S. economic slowdown. The
index of business activity in the services sector in July ISM
Manufacturing fell to 52.7 points from 53.5 points the
previous month. The market was expecting a moderate
growth rate to 53.5 points. Industrial orders in June fell by
0.8%, which was within expectations of economists,
however, the growth rate in May was revised to decrease to
0.6% from 0.8% at initial assessment. Economic fears of
investors on Thursday endorsed the U.S. statistics on initial
applications for unemployment insurance. Last week, the
number of applications dropped to 400 thousand, which
means that little progress in the labor market. A few
supported the market but the U.S. data on employment from
the agency ADP, which showed job growth in the private
sector of the U.S. economy by 114 thousand, slightly above
market expectations (1,000 thousand). In July and early
August, the market disappointed the weak U.S. data on
GDP, in the second quarter of 2011, growth of the economy
was only 1.3%. Orders of durable goods fell 2.1% in June,
and the ISM Manufacturing Index showed a significant
reduction in business activity in the manufacturing sector of
the U.S. economy. According to figures for August 1, the
index fell to 50.9 points in July, the very lowest level since
August last year.
- The Asian market is growing after the FOMC statement that
the U.S. base rate will remain at current levels until at least
mid-2013. The Nikkei today is growing by 1.0% while the
Hang-Seng and and Shanghai Composite - 3.2 and 1.9%
respectively. Futures for U.S. indices are adjusted after
today on the eve of the growth by 0.2%.
- The oil market yesterday also was supported the data from
API that supplies of oil and petroleum products in the U.S.
last week fell. Copper yesterday had no time to fully win
back losses, obtained in the morning, under pressure from
very negative end of trading in the United States a day
earlier. By the end of the trading day the price of metal has
grown up on a promise to support the Fed's soft monetary
policy for another three years to support economic growth.
Gold continued to rally yesterday on economic concerns,
reaching a new historic high at $ 740.4 an ounce. Oil and
industrial metals rise today on positive U.S. monetary policy,
and industry news. Thus, the price of Brent crude is currently
increasing at 0.4% and WTI - 3.1% on expectations of
decrease of stock of crude oil and petroleum products in the
United States. Copper futures for delivery in three months
are rising by 3.0% in Shanghai, while in New York in
electronic trading - 1.7% after it became known that copper
imports to China rose in July to 9.5% , the second
consecutive month, after the fall of stocks in companies
using the metal in the production. Gold continued to rise
today, adding 0.5%.
The present material is exclusively informative and isn't an offer or
recommendation to conclude any deals with stock. "IRBIS" Agency doesn't take
responsibility for the opinions, given in the present material.
[2011-08-10]