Market reviews and recommendations of BCC Invest JSC (Kazakhstan) analysts for July 21, 2011
21.07.11 16:04
/IRBIS. July 21, 2011/ - BCC Invest JSC has provided IRBIS with a
survey of main events, market reviews and investment ideas for July
21, 2011.
The analysts expect positive opening of trades on KASE amid
growth of stocks and depository receipts in London the day before.
During the day, according to the forecasts, the dynamics of stocks
included into KASE index, will remain mixed and multidimensional,
and KASE index will end the day with moderate increase.
Analysts of JSC "BCC Invest" expect the following
developments on Kazakhstani market today:
- Ministry of Finance of Kazakhstan placed on KASE July 20
19.1 million of MEUKAM-144 of the fourth edition of 4.97%
per annum. July 20, 2011 in the trade system of KASE was
held specialized auction on placement of long-term treasury
bills of the Ministry of Finance of the Republic of Kazakhstan
MEUKAM-144 of 4 issue with the maturity of 12 years (4,320
days) and a frequency of coupon payment every year. In the
total of active orders, the proportion of pension market had
23.6%, the share of Kazakhstan commercial banks (STB) -
26.1%, clients of STB - 31.5%, broker-dealers - 2.7%, their
customers - 16.0%. According to the JSC "Central Securities
Depository" all transactions by placing MEUKAM-144 fourth
edition by the end of calculations based on trades executed.
11.4% of the total outstanding bonds were purchased by
pension market subjects, 23.9% - STB, 61.8% - STB clients,
1.6% - by broker-dealer companies, 1.4% - clients of broker-
dealers. According to the JSC "BCC Invest", cut-off rate at
the auction corresponds to the expectations of market
participants, and the excess volume of placement on the
plan indicates the excess liquidity in the market.
Analysts of JSC "BCC Invest" expect the following
developments on international markets today:
- Russia is expected to publish data for fiscal balances and
international reserves.
- in France at 13:00 (AST) and in Germany at 13:30 (AST) to be
published data on the manufacturing PMI index and the index
in the service sector PMI. At 14:00 (AST) to be published data
on the Eurozone composite index PMI, on the production
index, PMI, PMI index in the services sector, on balance the
current balance and current account balance of payments
ECB. At 14:30 (AST) in the UK to be published data on public
finance and retail sales.
- in U.S. at 18:30 (AST) to be published data on initial and
repeat applications for unemployment benefits, at 19:45 (AST)
- the indices of consumer comfort and economic expectations
from Bloomberg. At 20:00 (AST) will be published data on the
index of housing prices, according to a leading indicator and
the index of business activity the Federal Reserve Bank of
Philadelphia.
- Today will be reporting MMC Norilsk Nickel OJSC,
Telefonaktiebolaget LM Ericsson, Microsoft Corp, AT & T Inc,
Roche Holding AG, Philip Morris International Inc, PepsiCo
Inc, Freeport-McMoRan Copper & Gold Inc, Union Pacific
Corp, ABB Ltd, Eli Lilly & Co, Morgan Stanley, Danaher Corp,
Baxter International Inc, Iberdrola SA, Medco Health Solutions
Inc, and others.
Analysts of BCC Invest JSC are giving the following advice for
investors in securities of issuers in internal market:
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Closing Target Potential,
Issuer Code price price % Recommen-
dation
----------------- ------- ------- ------ ---------- ---------
Kazkommertsbank KKGB 390.55 545 +39.55 Hold
KKGBp 188 168 -10.64 Neutral
Halyk Bank HSBK 315 415 +31.75 Hold
Bank CenterCredit CCBN 490 608 +24.08 Buy
Tsesnabank TSBN 942.85 1,030 +9.24 Neutral
KazMunaiGaz RDGZ 17,150 20,500 +19.53 Buy
Kazakhmys PLC GB_KZMS 3,160 3,500 +10.76 Hold
ENRC PLC GB_ENRC 1,850 2,200 +18.92 Buy
Kazakhtelekom KZTK 19,500 Review
KZTKp 9,210 9,300 +0.98 Hold
MREK MREK 1,100 1,130 +2.73 Hold
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The given material has exclusively information character and is not the offer
or recommendation to make any transactions with the stocks. Agency Irbis
doesn't take responsibility for the opinions which are in given material.
[2011-07-21]