Market reviews and recommendations of "Brokerage house "Jazz Capital" JCS (Kazakhstan) analysts for July 21, 2011
21.07.11 16:03
/IRBIS, July 21, 2011/ -"Jazz Capital" Brokerage house JCS
(Almaty, Real Invest Group) has provided IRBIS with a survey of
main events, market reviews and investment ideas for July 21, 2011.
- Major U.S. and European sites have completed the last
session with multidirectional change in indices. Positive
corporate reports of major U.S companies, coupled with
Obama's statement, assuring market participants that a
compromise between the major political parties and the
Senate was finally found, and now in its opinion and without
the phantom threat of default for USA on August 2 does no
longer exist - these are the key factors rise to the next rise of
European indices. It is noteworthy that the U.S. itself, acting
as a source of positive sentiment last session had not
convincing - the volatility for some strange reason, most
analysts to be minimal, and the closing took place at all
levels just below the opening. With regard to reports of the
season, there is a number of large and famous companies
and banks in the U.S. presented a nice surprise, so profit
higher than the preliminary forecasts for the second quarter
showed such "heavyweights" as Bank of America ($ 0.33),
Bank of NY ($ 0.59), Coca-Cola ($ 1.17), Harley-Davidson ($
0.81), Johnson & Johnson ($ 1.28), Wells Fargo ($ 0.70), M
& T Bank ($ 2.42). The economic data released on
Wednesday were moderately negative, so that the producer
price index in Germany rose by 5.6%, which was higher than
analysts' expectations, and real estate sales in the United
States in the secondary market decreased by 4 thousand to
4.77 million homes, while experts predicted growth figure to
4.93 million homes. Following the session, key indices in
Europe increased between 0.4% - 1.6%, U.S. Dow Jones
and S & P 500 following trading results on Wednesday,
adjusted by 0.12% and 0.07% respectively. Today, the U.S.
will continue to publish the statistics with the real estate
market. In addition, market participants will wait for the
weekly data on employment. In the euro area among the
most significant events should be noted the Brussels summit
on the current problems of the region.
- Indexes of BRIC countries during the last session did not
show unanimity, and termination of the trading day turned in
different directions. The optimism of European players who
have not been divided by most traders in areas of
developing countries, only one index of neighboring Russian
RTS, which has traditionally been a significant dependence
on the dynamics of the sites in Europe, at the end of trading
on Wednesday added more than 1%. The remaining areas
in the BRIC countries during the last day have not been
particularly active, which affected on the final result.
Unexpressed oil prices, as well as remaining fairly significant
problems in the global economy - is not allowed to prevail
"bulls" in regional areas. Most reduction demonstrated the
Chinese Shanghai Composite, has lost Wednesday in the
capitalization of more than 0.8%. Today's premarket for
emerging markets analysts of "Jazz Capital" regard as
moderately negative - players will be negatively affected by
uncertain closure of the U.S. sites.
- Oil prices of North Sea Brent crude on the results of the last
session rose by 0.93% to $ 118.15 a barrel. Quotations of
"black gold", besides good mood of European traders were
also supported by weekly statistics on oil and petroleum
products in the U.S., according to which the oil reserves for
the reporting week, again, as a week earlier fallen by more
than 3 million barrels in while analysts expected a triple
modest decrease. From the perspective of technical
analysis, the current situation on a weekly chart of
quotations of "black gold" reminds similarity with a similar
situation in January last year - then the price of oil, and after
a short, definitely time to "take a break" after which the price
increases resumed. It is also noted the importance of being
close at $ 120 per barrel in the last month, acting as a fairly
strong resistance level.
- Prices of gold, at the end of last session were down by 1.2%
to $ 1,587.4. Quotes of "precious metal" adjusted to the new
significant support level of $ 1,600, while analysts have no
doubt that named limit in the short term will be taken.
Analysts of "Jazz Capital" have repeatedly pointed out that
under conditions of uncertainty and higher risks in the global
economy, quotes of "precious metal" in the eyes of a number
of investors are the bulwark of reliability, and given the fact
that the global economy can not be solved quickly, the
attractiveness of an ounce of gold will only increase.
- Quotes of currency pair EUR/USD on the basis of the last
session increased by 0.76% to 1.4258. The course of the
regional European currency increased in the last three
trading days, amid expectations of market participants to
take concrete workable solutions at the Brussels summit on
21 July. The EUR/USD, again pushing up from the level of
1.40, for the past three months was in the price range of
1.40-1.45, while the upper limit of the specified channel
tends to decrease, forming a descending triangle shape.
Analysts of "Jazz Capital" believe that in the short term is the
discussion of Heads of State and Government of the
eurozone, as well as the outcome of the solution to increase
the national debt bracket on 2 August - will be factors in
determining the dynamics of given currency pair.
- Currency pair GBP/USD up to the last session has
strengthened by 0.21% to 1.6154. The British pound, which
is in a very similar position with the euro, also on the results
of the last few days shows a slight increase, allowing it to
gain a foothold above $ 1.61. Nevertheless, the analysts of
"Jazz Capital" have repeatedly stated that the British
currency is formed by a downward trend, whose influence in
the very short term will increase by many times.
This material has exclusively information character and is not the offer
or recommendation to make any transactions with the stocks. IRBIS Agency doesn't
take responsibility for the opinions which are in this material.
[2011-07-21]