Market reviews and recommendations of "Brokerage house "Jazz Capital" JCS (Kazakhstan) analysts for June 22, 2011
22.06.11 16:08
/IRBIS, June 22, 2011/ -"Jazz Capital" Brokerage house JCS
(Almaty, Real Invest Group) has provided IRBIS with a survey of
main events, market reviews and investment ideas for June 22,
2011.
Analysts of JSC "Brokerage House "Jazz Capital" note the
following significant events:
- Key U.S. and European indices finished the last session
with the growth of prices. "Greek factor" in the auction on
Tuesday maintained its position of a key indicator of the
market sentiment, with traders attention was riveted to the
voting citizens of Greece for a new trust in the government.
European Southern republic is currently the strongest in the
last year crisis that has forced even the acting Prime Minister
George Papandreou to take such measures as a complete
upgrade of its cabinet. The two-day meeting of EU experts and
the International Monetary Fund, kicks off today, according to
most experts, is the "last chance" for the country - market
participants are hoping that European politicians will still be
able to reach a consensus on the issue for Greece. At the end
of trading on Tuesday, the key European markets closed down
the growth by 1.44% - 2.04%, U.S. Dow Jones and S & P 500
finished the session gain of 0.91% and 1.31% respectively.
The analysts of JSC "Brokerage House" Jazz Capital" note
that the American indexes were growing over the past four
trading days, realizing the expectations of most market
participants, based on the pattern that has developed in terms
of technical analysis. Today will be the Fed meeting, which is
expected to score course of monetary policy of the United
States, and despite the fact that over the past two years,
special surprises such meeting of the American central bank is
not presented, this time the plot is heated with swift completion
of the quantitative easing program 2.
- On the sites of emerging markets on the basis of the
previous trading day was noted considerable growth of
key indices. The paradox was observed in the areas of
developing countries in the past two days, marked with almost
complete loss of correlation between the local indices and
quotations of "black gold", in our view primarily due to a
number of technical factors, whose influence at the moment is
even stronger than that of price changes oil. At the same time
it should be noted that the high volatility, inherent in the
traditional trading of contracts for the supply of "black gold", is
now replaced by rather low activity of the oil traders that also
influenced the shift in emphasis of the regional market
participants. Finally, as another important factor that ensured
the growth in areas of developing countries, we note the
positive expectations of experts in two-day meeting of
European officials on the situation in Greece. Thus, market
participants, fairly, on the look of JSC "Brokerage House" Jazz
Capital" believe that now the Europeans will just have to make
compromises and against the wishes of the majority, and to
prepare as soon as possible to give Greece a new package of
financial assistance.
- The price of a barrel of oil of Brent North Sea on the basis
of past trade declined by 0.66% to $110.95. Traders with
contracts for the supply of "black gold" in the last session
ignored the economy-wide positive sentiment of the majority of
market participants, which seemed quite worrisome. However,
if we recall the often inconsistent and sometimes inexplicable
oil prices, which were witnessing analysts of JSC "Brokerage
House" Jazz Capital" for the past year, talks about the
formation of pronounced "bear" sentiment on the oil market,
would be at least premature. Analysts of JSC "Brokerage
House" Jazz Capital" also note that the decline has slowed in
recent days, which probably explains the approach of an
important psychological level of $110 per barrel.
- Quotes of troy ounce of gold, at the end of last session
rose by 0.39% to $ 1,547.8. Gold prices are currently in the
way of the third and most important attempt to overcome the
psychological level at $1,550 and at historic high levels.
Analysts of JSC "Brokerage House "Jazz Capital" note that in
case of failure, the market for gold futures for at least the next
month will be favorable for the "bears" and as a result
unfavorable to the "bulls". And despite the fact that analysts of
JSC "Brokerage House "Jazz Capital" consider the likelihood
of such developments as the low, opening "long" positions in
gold would be better only after fixing the quotes of "precious
metal" on new historic highs.
- Currency pair EUR/USD on the basis of the previous
session reinforced by 0.42% to 1.437. Euro, being vigorous
after promises of EU Parliament to come to a meaningful
opinion on the question of assistance to Greece, in the course
of trading on Tuesday carried out even the trigger of a mark
1.44. Despite the close proximity of the most important
psychological level of 1.45, analysts of JSC "Brokerage
House" Jazz Capital" note that a key indicator of the dynamics
of a given currency pair will be certainly the outcome of the
Fed meeting.
- Currency pair GBP/USD on trading results on Tuesday fell
by 0.04% to 1.6212. The British pound had "metering" pending
before a press conference the head of the U.S. central bank,
which may sound a phrase that could generate at least short-
term trends in the pair pound/dollar.
This material has exclusively information character and is not the offer
or recommendation to make any transactions with the stocks. IRBIS Agency doesn't
take responsibility for the opinions which are in this material.
[2011-06-22]