Overview of key developments from analysts of Asyl Invest JSC (Kazakhstan) on March 17, 2011
18.03.11 14:51
/IRBIS, March 18, 2011/ - JSC ASYL INVEST (Almaty) provided
IRBIS overview of major events and of their investment ideas and
forecasts on March 17, 2011.
Trading on the Kazakhstan stock market on Thursday finished lower
KASE index by 1.3%. The fall was accompanied by a twofold
reduction in trading volumes. The worst dynamics have
demonstrated the action of the banking sector - equity of KKB and
NSBK fell by 3.8%.
Trading in shares and depositary receipts of Kazakhstan issuers on
the London Stock Exchange on Thursday ended with
multidirectional price dynamics. The worst dynamics of the banking
sector showed the GDR: the GDR NSBK fell 2%, GDR CMC - by
0.3%.
Shares of mining companies showed growth in the backdrop of
rising prices for industrial metals: ENRC shares rose 4.5%,
Kazakhmys shares - by 3.4%. Following the rise in oil prices caused
by the deteriorating situation in Bahrain and Libya, East Germany
KMG grew by 6%.
Today, the external background for the Kazakhstan stock market
develops moderately positive. As a result of today's trading analytics
of JSC ASYL INVEST expect growth index KASE.
In addition, the analysts of JSC ASYL INVEST note the
following events in world markets:
- Major U.S. stock indices finished the session on Thursday after growing
losses for three consecutive sessions sustained against earthquakes in
Japan and the ensuing consequences and social and political tensions in
the Middle East and North Africa. The best dynamics in the auction was led
by energy sector due to rising oil prices. According to trade in the April
futures for WTI crude oil rose by 3.5% to $ 101.42 a barrel. A series of
economic statistics published yesterday noticeable effect on the bidding
was not there. The number of initial claims for unemployment benefit in the
U.S. for the week that ended March 12 fell by 16 thousand compared to
the previous week and amounted to 385 thousand four-week average
declined by 7 thousand, compared to the previous week to 386.25
Thousands of such positive changes in performance were expected by
economists and markets. Published data on the consumer price index
exceeded the expectations of economists. Growth in consumer prices in
February was 0.5%, while economists forecast growth at 0.4%. Headline
inflation has thus risen to 2.1% MHC. Same basic inflation (CPI excluding
volatile energy and food components) rose in February by 0.2% or 1.1%
gkg. Thus, the rising price of food and energy prices continue to increase
the gap between headline inflation and core inflation. Last in 2011, is likely
to be constrained by the high overall level of unemployment and weak
growth of personal income. Positive data out yesterday on an index of
activity FRB Philadelphia. The index for March rose 35.9 points to 43.4
points - the highest value over the past 25 years. Economists had forecast
growth of up to 28.8 points. Industrial production in the U.S. in February fell
by 0.1%. Economists had forecast an increase of 0.6%. The previous
change rate was revised from -0.1% to 0.3%.
- Today at the auctions in the U.S. probably some volatility due to the
simultaneous expiration day of futures on indices and commodities,
futures, stock, stock options and options on futures (quadruple witching).
Today in the U.S. will not be published statistics. In general, today is likely
to increase in U.S. equity markets.
- Major stock indexes in Western Europe finished the session on Thursday
after several days of growth decline. Indices showed recovery, because
investors are considered oversold markets. Strong growth in its day was
observed in the shares of metals and oil companies.
- Today, the external background for the European market develops
moderately positive, the likelihood of further recovery markets. Of the
economic statistics will be published today details on the current account
balance of payments euro-zone in January, data on foreign trade balance
of the Euro zone in January. In Germany, to be published data on producer
prices for February.
- Today at the Asian session, an increase in major stock indexes. Nikkei 225
adds almost 3%. Bank of Japan today added another 3 trillion yen to
support the financial system, finance ministers of the G7 countries have
agreed on foreign exchange interventions to support the yen.
This material is for informational purposes and is not an offer or
recommendation to perform any transaction in securities. Agency IRBIS is not
responsible for the opinions expressed in this material.
[2011-03-18]