Overview of key developments from analysts of Asyl Invest JSC (Kazakhstan) on March 15, 2011
16.03.11 19:02
/IRBIS, March 16, 2011/ - JSC ASYL INVEST (Almaty) provided
IRBIS overview of major events and of their investment ideas and
forecasts on March 15, 2011.
Trading on the Kazakhstan stock market on Tuesday ended with the fall of
KASE index on 3.55% with a slight decrease in trading volumes. The fall
occurred on all shares included in the index KASE. The worst dynamics
demonstrated shares KKB (-7.2%), Kazakhmys (-5.6%), KMG (-5.5%) and
ENRC (-3.9%).
Trading in shares and depositary receipts of Kazakhstan issuers on the
London Stock Exchange on Tuesday have been mostly in negative territory.
GDR CMC (0.3%) by the end of trading session, regained lost ground and
closed in positive territory, while the GDR NSBK (-4.45%) and could not
recover after a fall. Shares of mining companies have undergone a wave of
selling in early trading session amid falling prices for base and precious
metals, but in the course of trading were able to recover most of the losses.
ENRC shares fell 3.5%, shares of Kazakhmys - 0.8%. GDR KMG declined
by 4.4% amid falling oil prices. The main pressure on the dynamics of trade
has had a fall in stock markets in Japan.
Today, the external background for the Kazakhstan stock market develops
neutral. Today is possible to recover the market after yesterday's fall.
In addition, the analysts of JSC ASYL INVEST note the
following events in world markets:
- Major U.S. stock indexes at the opening of trading on Tuesday abruptly
rushed down to the negative external background. Dow Jones Industrial
Index lost at the opening of 2.5%, the index of wide market S & P 500 -
2.7%, and high-tech index NASDAQ Composite - 3%. Such a drop in
securities market participants are considered oversold and started to
actively open long positions. As a result, following the session, the Dow
Jones index rose to an intraday minimum value at 1.4%, the index S&P500
- 1.6%, the index NASDAQ Composite - by 1.9%. In general, the main
negative impact on U.S. stock indexes had a drop in Western European
and Asian indices, in particular, the demise of Japanese index Nikkei225
by 10.6% due to the explosion at the plant and the threat of radiation. The
fall in the stock trading in the U.S. end of the day was observed in all
sectors. The worst dynamics demonstrated shares the utilities sector (-
1.7%) and tech-sector stocks (-1.5%). Shares sensitive to changes in
commodity prices also showed poor dynamics; CRB Commodity Index fell
by 3.56%. Report of the U.S. Federal Reserve since the last meeting had
no effect on the dynamics of bidding. As expected, the Fed has kept
repurchase program assets worth $ 600 billion and left the federal funds
rate unchanged (0-0.25%) over a long period. Market participants expect a
change in tone of the report regarding the state of the economy, inflation
and the labor market. The Fed noted that the economy continues to
recover against the backdrop of a gradual improvement in labor market
conditions, and the pace of core inflation is no longer a top-down.
- Today, the dynamics of the major U.S. stock indexes will depend largely on
external background. Economic statistics, probably a strong influence on
the dynamics of the major U.S. stock indexes will not. Today in the U.S.
are published data on new home construction and building permits for
February, data on producer price index data for the balance of payments
for the IV quarter. In the case of stable external background U.S. indices
now trade results will grow.
- Major stock indexes in Western Europe finished the session on Tuesday
falling on the background of falling Asian markets. Since the beginning of
recovery indices United States at the opening, the stock markets of
Western Europe there were a partial recovery in stock indexes. The fall on
the results of the day was observed in almost all sectors.
- Today, the external background for the European market develops
moderately positive, the likely growth markets in the growing Asian
markets. Analysts of JSC ASYL INVEST expected growth in the major
stock indexes in Western Europe on the basis of todays trading.
- Today at the Asian session, the rise of index Nikkei 225 index and
Shanghai Composite. Nikkei index adds to 3.5% after strong falling on the
results of the last two sessions. Partly influenced the decision to increase
the Bank of Japan to add another 3.5 trillion yen ($ 43 billion) to calm the
markets. At Barclays Capital estimates that the Friday quake and tsunami
will cost 15 trillion Japanese economy yen ($ 184.2 billion), or 3% of GDP.
This material is for informational purposes and is not an offer or
recommendation to perform any transaction in securities. Agency IRBIS is not
responsible for the opinions expressed in this material.
[2011-03-16]