Overview of key developments from analysts of Asyl Invest JSC (Kazakhstan) on March 9, 2011
09.03.11 18:47
/IRBIS, March 9, 2011/ - JSC ASYL INVEST (Almaty) provided IRBIS
overview of major events and of their investment ideas and forecasts
on March 9, 2011.
Analysts of JSC ASYL INVEST note that trading on the Kazakhstan
stock market on Saturday ended with a slight increase of KASE
index due to an increase in stock prices and BCC KazakhTelecom
by 0.5% and 0.4% respectively. Reduction of share prices by 1.6%
CMC exerted pressure on the index. Trading activity of market
participants on Saturday was relatively weak. The trading volume on
that day fell by 2.6 times compared to the previous trading day.
Trading in shares and depositary receipts of Kazakhstan issuers on
the London Stock Exchange on Tuesday ended with multidirectional
price dynamics. Shares of mining companies showed decline
throughout the trading session, following the prices of futures
contracts for copper and gold. Kazakhmys shares fell 2.9%, shares
of ENRC - by 1.3%. GDR CMC increased in price by 1%. KMG
GDR rose by 0.7%.
Today, the external background for the Kazakhstan stock market
develops moderately positive. Shares of CMC may conclude today's
trading session in positive territory, but shares of the mining sector
are likely to decline in the price of today's auction.
In addition, the analysts of JSC ASYL INVEST note the
following events in world markets:
- The Dow Jones Industrial Index and the broad market S & P 500 up to the
Tuesday session is fully recovered the losses suffered the previous day.
Relatively weak dynamics of some highly capitalized stocks did not allow
NASDAQ Composite Index lost play Monday. Growth of the main stock
index on Tuesday occurred because of lower oil prices. In this case, the
best momentum stocks have demonstrated the financial sector, having
received an additional impetus to growth due to falling oil prices. Sales of
oil contracts were caused by the news of a possible increase in oil
production from OPEC. The April futures for WTI crude oil on the results of
Tuesday's trading fell 0.4% to $ 105.02 a barrel. In general, the trading
activity of market participants on Tuesday was relatively low. On the NYSE
on that day it was bought and sold 1,002.67 million shares.
- Dynamics of oil futures continued to act as the main driver of motion of the
main stock indexes in the U.S. recently. In the absence of important
domestic macroeconomic data, trading at today's session probably will
depend on the dynamics of oil prices on the developments in the Middle
East and North Africa. Today, the April futures for WTI crude oil down and,
if trends established in the oil market, U.S. stock indexes continue to rise.
- Tuesday's session was the German DAX index and the FTSE100 index of
Britain completed the lateral dynamics, while the French CAC 40 indexes a
slight increase. Decline in oil prices with a 29-months maximum led to a
decrease anxiety as to whether the ECB will raise rates several times this
year. The April futures for Brent crude on the results of Tuesday's trading
were down 1.7% to $ 113.06 a barrel. In Germany, a positive impact on
trading the news of the resumption of growth in industrial orders in
January. Compared with the previous month, industrial orders in Germany
in January rose by 2.9%. The Bank of France left unchanged in the second
estimate GDP forecast for I quarter 2011 at 0.8%. The index of business
sentiment of France in January according to the bank has not changed in
January and amounted to 110 points.
- Today, trading in Europe will depend on the situation in the oil market on
the developments in the Middle East and North Africa. Today, the April
futures for Brent crude falling. While maintaining the growth of this trend
are likely the major stock indexes in Western Europe on the basis of todays
trading. Today, there are data on industrial production in Germany in
January. Economists predict that industrial production in Germany in
January to grow by 1.7% after declining by 1.5% in December last year.
- Major stock indexes in the Asian region are now showing growth due to
lower oil prices and economic statistics in Japan. In Japan, today came out
data on orders for engineering in January. Orders in mechanical
engineering in January rose by 4.2% compared with December. Data
exceeded the forecasts of economists.
This material is for informational purposes and is not an offer or recommendation
to perform any transaction in securities. Agency IRBIS is not responsible for the
opinions expressed in this material.
[2011-03-09]