Forecasts and recommendations of analysts of IFH RESMI (Kazakhstan) for February 10, 2011
10.02.11 17:06
/IRBIS, February 10, 2011/ - Finance & Investment House RESMI
JSC (Almaty, IFH RESMI) provided IRBIS overview of major events
and their investment ideas and projections for February 10, 2011.
Analysts of IFH RESMI give attention to the following to the
important events in the markets:
- Stock Exchange on Feb. 9, 2011 closed with a decrease of KASE index to
mark a 915.57, which is 0.28% below the previous rate of 1 920.84 points.
Representative list showed sided results. Thus, the banking sector has
begun to adjust prices after the price increase, what was happening last
week. Halyk Bank fell by 4.1%, BankCenterCredit by 0.3%, but
Kakommertsbank showed a positive result in 1.7%. Paper metals sector
were closed in an argument. ENRC Plc climbed 1.8% and Kazakhmys Plc
paper fell by 1.2%. Kazakhtelecom Rises by 1.4%. Oil and gas sector,
represented by KMG Exploration and Production, was closed in the
negative trend in 0.9%.
- Trading in the U.S. on Wednesday, February 9 resulted in opposite
changes of the indices. Good corporate reports were offset by forecast of
Mr. Bernanke, believe that the high unemployment rate will hold for several
years. Thus, at the end of the trading index of "blue chips" Dow Jones
Industrial Average rose 0.06% to 12,240 points. The index of wide market
S & P 500 closed lower at 0.28% at 1,321 points. Nasdaq Composite
closed lower by 0.29% to 2,789 points. Stock trading in Europe resulted in
declining the leading index. In addition to the negative impact of U.S.
markets, European shares decline also occurred because of cheap
securities of mining companies amid fears of investors about the Chinese
demand for raw materials after the hike. February 9 Bank of China
announced to raise rates by 25 basis points, the second time in little more
than a month, thus reinforcing the fight against excessive inflation. Thus,
the trade results February 9, 2011 British FTSE 100 index fell by 39.04
points (-0.64%) - up to 6 052.29 points, Germany's DAX fell by 2.34 points
(-0.03%) - up to 7 320.90 points.
- Precious metals February 9, 2011 closed with the positive changes in
quotations. Thus, gold has risen in price on 0,85%, silver continues to rise
reaching a level of $ 30.2, which is 2.5% higher than previous figures,
platinum and palladium also increased in price by 1.72% and 1.49%,
respectively. Trades non-ferrous metals in general have shown a positive
trend, although the observed weak oscillations around already made bids.
The biggest price change was subjected to nickel with an increase in
1.45%. Oil rise to anxiety caused by the Egyptian events. Brent and
URALS rose to 1.66% and 1.95% respectively. Prices at the auction
vegetable raw materials rose. Bad weather and the expected crop failure
have affected the growth of raw materials. Thus, maize and cotton
increased by 3.60% and 3.02% respectively. Wheat and sugar showed
smaller fluctuations, rising to 1.34% and 1.09% respectively.
Analysts of IFH RESMI give the following advice for investors in
securities of issuers in Kazakhstan:
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Issuer Last price Predicted price* Up/down from Target RSI.
Current price price** %***
------------------ ---------- ---------------- ------------- ------- -----
Kazkommertsbak 600 On Review 397 80.07
Halyk bank 420 519 23.6% 470 63.53
Bank Center Credit 658 On Review 1,007 63.27
RD KMG 19,330 On Review 23,629 59.56
Kazkhtelekom 20,390 On Review 24,587 80.92
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Fundamental evaluation IFH RESMI for 12 months (weekly review)
** Target according to the consensus forecast of analysts surveyed by Bloomberg
*** Relative strength index - an indicator of technical analysis. determines
strength of trend and likelihood of change. Overbought/oversold - when
RSI indicator value is closer to 100%/0%.
- Cost of common shares Kazkommertsbank assessment IFD
"RESMI" will cost no less than KZT796 per share by the end of
2010;
- Halyk Savings Bank of Kazakhstan is estimated IFD "RESMI"
as the most promising in terms of business development financial
institution in Kazakhstan. Analysts see the growth of the bank's
shares up to KZT409 per share;
- Shares of Bank CenterCredit in the long term analysts IFD
"RESMI" about the outlook for growth in securities of the bank to
the level of 1.230 m.;
- Stocks of Kazakhtelecom are looking most attractive for
investment in the long term. Analysts IFD "RESMI" recommend
buying simple shareholders of the issuer.
- The updated target price of shares of JSC Exploration
Production KMG is KZT24.895 per share.
The given material has exclusively information character and is not the offer
or recommendation to make any transactions with the stocks. Agency Irbis doesn't
take responsibility for the opinions which are in given material.
[2011-02-10]