Forecasts and recommendations of analysts of IFH RESMI (Kazakhstan) for February 8, 2011
08.02.11 17:06
/IRBIS, February 8, 2011/ - Finance & Investment House RESMI
JSC (Almaty, IFH RESMI) provided IRBIS overview of major events
and their investment ideas and projections for February 8, 2011.
Analysts of IFH RESMI give attention to the following to the
important events in the markets:
- As a result of trades on Kazakhstan Stock Exchange on Feb. 7, 2011
KASE index rose to the level of 1910.6 points, higher than on
Monday at 0.82%. Shares of the banking sector are mainly traded
with positive changes. Thus, Halyk Bank became the market movers
and went up by 3.6%, KKB securities rose by 2.6% to 585 KZT per
share. Paper CenterCredit Bank had little volatility and dropped in
price by 0.2% to reach 658 tenge per share. Shares of metallurgical
sector have continued to fall. ENRC Plc lost in the price of 2.2%,
Kazakhmys did not enjoy popularity among investors has not
changed in price. Paper KazakhTelecom showed an increase in the
trading session at 1.8%. KMG Exploration and Production continues
to fall, the change in price was -0.1%.
- Trading on U.S. stock exchanges closed down the growth the major
indexes. Impact on the markets have provided, mostly corporate
news, as well as posted on Friday, good stats, the U.S. labor market.
The best dynamics in the auction on Monday was led by the banking
sector. KBW bank index trade results added to 1.4%. Total on the
NYSE on Monday, has been bought and sold 879.63 million shares.
Thus, the Dow Jones index rose by 0.57%, amounted to 12 161.63
points, Nasdaq climbed 0.53%, reaching 783.99 points 2. Trading on
the stock exchanges in Europe on Monday and ended the growth of
the major stock indexes. Impact on the market has provided
published statistics on an index of investor confidence from Sentix in
February. The index of investor confidence from Sentix in February
rose to 16.7 points - its highest level for the past three years.
Statistics as in industrial orders in Germany in December had been
ignored markets. Industrial orders in Germany in December fell by
3.4% compared with November. Following the auction on February 7
2011. Britain's FTSE 100 index rose 53.65 points (0.89%) - to
6051.03 points, the German DAX - on 67.41 points (0.93%) - to
7283.62 points.
- Trading in precious metals on Feb. 7 in the mostly closed on a
positive note. Silver continues to grow, increasing by 1.58%. Platinum
and palladium showed a small positive volatility 0.41% and 0.63%
respectively. Only gold slightly cheaper at 0.07%. Basic metals also
showed a trend to higher prices. Thus, nickel rose in price by 2.24%,
the price change for the last 5 days were 6.02%. Copper also rose in
price by 1.59% at yesterday's session. Oil prices show a price
correction, falling to 1.74% in the mark WTI Cushing, -0.51% Brent, -
0.59% URALS. Markets plant material showed mostly small volatility,
except cotton, which soared in price by 3.96%, due to reports that the
sentence be reduced by more than expected, while demand
continues to grow.
Analysts of IFH RESMI give the following advice for investors in
securities of issuers in Kazakhstan:
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Issuer Last price Predicted price* Up/down from Target RSI.
Current price price** %***
------------------ ---------- ---------------- ------------- ------- -----
Kazkommertsbak 585 On Review 397 78.39
Halyk bank 435 519 19.3% 470 76.87
Bank Center Credit 658 On Review 1,007 64.29
RD KMG 19,200 On Review 23,682 59.18
Kazkhtelekom 20,000 On Review 24,587 75.48
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Fundamental evaluation IFH RESMI for 12 months (weekly review)
** Target according to the consensus forecast of analysts surveyed by Bloomberg
*** Relative strength index - an indicator of technical analysis. determines
strength of trend and likelihood of change. Overbought/oversold - when
RSI indicator value is closer to 100%/0%.
- Cost of common shares Kazkommertsbank assessment IFD
"RESMI" will cost no less than KZT796 per share by the end of
2010;
- Halyk Savings Bank of Kazakhstan is estimated IFD "RESMI"
as the most promising in terms of business development financial
institution in Kazakhstan. Analysts see the growth of the bank's
shares up to KZT409 per share;
- Shares of Bank CenterCredit in the long term analysts IFD
"RESMI" about the outlook for growth in securities of the bank to
the level of 1.230 m.;
- Stocks of Kazakhtelecom are looking most attractive for
investment in the long term. Analysts IFD "RESMI" recommend
buying simple shareholders of the issuer.
- The updated target price of shares of JSC Exploration
Production KMG is KZT24.895 per share.
The given material has exclusively information character and is not the offer
or recommendation to make any transactions with the stocks. Agency Irbis doesn't
take responsibility for the opinions which are in given material.
[2011-02-08]