Market reviews and recommendations of BCC Invest JSC (Kazakhstan) analysts for January 21, 2011
21.01.11 20:06
/IRBIS. January 21, 2011/ - BCC Invest JSC has provided IRBIS with a
survey of main events, market reviews and investment ideas for January
21, 2011.
Analysts of JSC "BCC Invest" again today, expect negative opening
trades amid falling stock prices, and depositary receipts of Kazakhstan
issuers yesterday in London. Further, during the day the sale can
proceed under the influence of correctional attitudes and willingness of
investors to close positions before the weekend.
JSC "BCC Invest" also notes the following important events in the
Kazakh market:
- Joint Lead Manager and Bookrunner announced the results of the
placement of Eurobonds Halyk Savings Bank of Kazakhstan. January
19, 2011 JSC "National Bank of Kazakhstan" has successfully entered
the market with a direct issuance of long-term Eurobonds. Global senior
unsecured Eurobonds (further - Bonds) were issued under Regulation S /
Rule 144A and in accordance with Kazakh legislation were proposed to
the acquisition of Kazakh investors in the organized securities market of
the Republic of Kazakhstan together with the start of the Placement in
foreign countries. Upon completion of data collection applications on the
same day the issuer set cut-off price for a yield to maturity at 7.50%.
Total output reached 500 million U.S. dollars. Kazakh investors were
allocated bonds for a total nominal amount of $ 36 million (or 7.2% of
total output), though the volume of orders for Kazakh investors, filed by
KASE, amounted to 463 million U.S. dollars. In total requests Kazakh
investors accounted for 49.9% of pension funds, 43.2% - on the banks,
6.9% - by broker-dealers and their customers.
- The primary beneficiary of OJSC Severstal (RTS: SHMF) and majority
shareholder of the Italian Lucchini Mr. Aleksey Mordashov amended the
proposal to creditors Lucchini on debt restructuring of the company,
reported trade publication Metal Bulletin. Changes relate to expedite the
sale of French companies Lucchini - Division Ascometal. Their sale will
help pay off the debt of Italian companies. In Severstal declined
comment. As previously announced, Severstal on June 30 last year, has
closed a deal to sell 50.8% stake in the Italian Lucchini SpA structure of
its main owner Mr. A. Mordashov for a nominal sum. The company
retained the right to buy the asset back to the same conditions. If Mr. A.
Mordashov later be able to implement a package to a third party for a
large sum, the income from this operation will get "Severstal". The
remaining shares Lucchini (49.2%) still belong to Severstal. Payable at
the time of sale Lucchini Mr. A. Mordashov control was 800 million euros.
Lucchini includes enterprises in Italy (Lucchini Piombino) and France
(Ascometal). According to the JSC "BCC Invest", the news will not have
a strong influence on the quotations of equity securities of OJSC
Severstal. Mr. Mordashov sale of the asset is considered quite a long
time. Analysts of JSC "BCC Invest" to leave their current
recommendation.
Analysts of JSC "BCC Invest" and expect the following developments
in international markets today:
- Russia is expected to publish data on monetary base in narrow
definition, and in 15:00 (AST) will be published data on producer
prices.
- in France 13:45 (AST) will be published data on the indicator of
business climate index for the prospects of the productive sector and
forecast the manufacturing sector of private companies. At 15:00 (AST)
in Germany to be published data on the business climate index, the
indicator of the current situation and expectations. At 15:30 (AST) in
the UK will be published data on retail sales (excluding automobiles.
Fuel).
- U.S. at 02:30 (AST) was published data on the composite index of
retail prices for 28 days.
- Today reports Google Inc, Bank of America, General Electric and
others.
Analysts of JSC "BCC Invest" give the following advice for investors in
securities of issuers in the domestic Kazakh market::
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Issuer Last price Target Predicted price.
code price % Recom-
mendation
----------------- ------- ---------- ------ ---------------- ---------
Kazkommertsbank KKGB 464 479 +3.23 Neutral
KKGBp 210 335 +59.52 Buy
Halyk Bank HSBK 390 386 -1.03 Buy
Bank CenterCredit CCBN 650 646 -0.62 Hold
Tsesnabank TSBN 865 1,030 +19.08 Neutral
KazMunaiGaz RDGZ 19,500 22,300 +14.36 Buy
Kazakhmys PLC GB_KZMS 3,650 3,977 +8.96 Hold
ENRC PLC GB_ENRC 2,550 2,298 -9.88 Neutral
Kazakhtelekom KZTK 19,800 19,200 -3.03 Hold
KZTKp 9,300 9,300 0 Hold
MREK MREK 1,100 1,130 +2.73 Hold
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The given material has exclusively information character and is not the offer
or recommendation to make any transactions with the stocks. Agency Irbis doesn't
take responsibility for the opinions which are in given material.
[2011-01-21]