Overview of key developments from analysts of Asyl Invest JSC (Kazakhstan) on December 20, 2010
20.12.10 19:32
/IRBIS, December 20, 2010/ - JSC ASYL INVEST (Almaty) provided
IRBIS overview of major events and of their investment ideas and
forecasts on December 20, 2010.
Analysts of JSC ASYL INVEST note that the trading of shares
and depositary receipts of Kazakhstan issuers on the London
Stock Exchange on Friday resulted in a mixed dynamics. Better
than the market showed the dynamics of the shares of mining sector
due to the positive dynamics of prices for industrial metals. In
negative territory ended trading in depositary receipts of banks.
Today, the external background for the Kazakhstan stock market
develops moderately negative. European trading ended
multidirectional movement, the main stock indexes in Asia and oil
prices are falling, prices for industrial metals slightly increasing.
Trading activity today is likely to be low. Analysts of JSC ASYL
INVEST expected to reduce the KASE index on the basis of
today's trading.
In addition, the analysts of JSC ASYL INVEST note the
following events in world markets:
- The Dow Jones Industrial Index and the broad market S & P 500
finished trading on Friday, the lateral dynamics, and high-tech
NASDAQ Composite Index rose. Activity at the auction was high on
the background of expiration of options and futures contracts on
indices and stocks. Support indices had a weakening U.S. dollar and
some corporate news. U.S. dollar trades on Friday, weakening to
0.24% with respect to its main competitors. From corporate news worth
noting the news about the agreement Bank Montreal (BMO) to
purchase the credit corporation Marshall & Ilsley (MI) for 0.1257 shares
of the Bank for each share of the credit corporation. The transaction
amount is estimated at 4.1 billion U.S. dollars. Against this background
of increased shares of regional banks. On Friday, better than expected
last quarter, reported the company Oracle (ORCL) and Research in
Motion (RIMM). On Friday came the data on the index of leading
indicators for November. Value of the index rose in November at 1.1%,
in line with economists' forecasts. The previous value was revised from
0.4% to 0.5%. The growth index in November was the highest since
March 2010. However, a noticeable effect on the auctions the index is
not provided, since 7 out of 10 index components were known in
advance.
- Today the U.S. is expected to yield data on an index of general
economic activity of the Chicago Federal Reserve Bank and data on
consumer confidence from ABC. Trading activity today and in general
this week promises to be low. On Friday, the markets will be closed in
observance of Christmas.
- major stock indexes finished trading in Western Europe on Friday
reduced. Negative impact on the auction provided a message of rating
agency Moody's for possible downgrade the credit rating of Greece
because of the uncertainty in the capability to reduce the debt burden
to the required values. The agency also lowered the credit rating of
Aa2 Ireland to Baa1. Friday ended a two-day summit of leaders of 27
EU countries. As the result it was decided to ensure the stability of the
euro and the establishment of a mechanism of financial stability in
June 2013. However, despite the results of the summit, the euro fell
0.4% against the U.S. dollar and major stock indexes finished trading
in Western Europe in negative territory. From the published economic
statistics, it is worth noting the data on the Euro zone's trade balance
for October. The trade balance surplus amounted to 5.2 billion euros,
while economists had expected 2.5 billion euro area exports grew by
20% and imports by 21%. In Germany, economists came out better
than expected data from the ifo for December: an indicator of business
climate indicator of the current situation and an indicator of
expectations.
- Today in the Euro zone, there are data on the status of current account
balance in October, data on consumer confidence in December. In
Germany, to be published data on production prices for November. We
expect that the outcome of today's trading the main stock indexes in
Western Europe will fall.
- the main stock indexes in the Asian region today, falling on fears
began shelling the territory of South Korea from North Korea. Today
begins military exercise, South Korean authorities to evacuate
residents of the island Yonphendo.
This material is for informational purposes and is not an offer or recommendation
to perform any transaction in securities. Agency IRBIS is not responsible for the
opinions expressed in this material.
[2010-12-20]