Overview of key developments from analysts of Asyl Invest JSC (Kazakhstan) on December 14, 2010
14.12.10 18:40
/IRBIS, December 14, 2010/ - JSC ASYL INVEST (Almaty) provided
IRBIS overview of major events and of their investment ideas and
forecasts on December 14, 2010.
Analysts of JSC ASYL INVEST note that trading on the
Kazakhstan stock market on Monday took place within a lateral
trend. KASE index on the basis of trades fell by 0.16%. The best
dynamics demonstrated shares ENRC (+1.5%), the worst - the
shares of Kazakhmys (-2.5%). Day passed fairly quietly, without any
sudden movements. The activity of the market yesterday was low.
On the London Stock Exchange trading of shares and depositary
receipts of Kazakhstan issuers in the growth. Shares of the mining
sector continued to grow under the influence of rising prices for
industrial metals as a result of the decision of the People's Bank of
China to refrain from raising interest rates. On the positive external
background Kazakhmys shares were up 4.12%, shares of ENRC -
on 1.45%.
Today, the external background for the Kazakhstan stock market
develops neutral. European trading in the growth, the major stock
indexes in Asia and industrial metals, today show multidirectional
dynamics of oil prices slightly down. As a result of today's trading
analytics of JSC ASYL INVEST expect growth index KASE.
In addition, the analysts of JSC ASYL INVEST note the
following events in world markets:
- on the basis of trading on Monday, the Dow Jones Industrial grew
slightly, the index of wide market S & P 500 finished the day side
dynamics, and the tech heavy Nasdaq Composite fell. Start trading
was in positive territory and most of the day the major U.S. indices
rose, reflecting the positive mood of investors in connection with the
decision of the People's Bank of China to refrain from raising interest
rates. However, closer to closing the index lost drive and began to
steadily decline. Reducing indices at the closing occurred ahead of
Senate vote on the extension of tax credits and expiration of
unemployment benefits. Negative impact on the U.S. dollar has had a
report of rating agency Moody's that says that the U.S. sovereign credit
rating may be changed to "negative" due to tax and social security
benefits. Moody's believes that the adoption of the bill to extend tax
incentives could have a negative impact on the federal budget deficit
and public debt levels. According to rating agency bill would cost the
treasury 700-900 billion U.S. dollars, and debt burden will rise to 72-
73% of GDP. U.S. dollar yesterday lost 0.98% against its major
competitors.
- Today's session in the U.S. will be more rich, interesting will be
the market response to the output of macroeconomic statistics
and results of the vote in the Senate. After the close of trading in the
U.S., it became known that the Senate by 85 votes to 15 votes voted in
favor of a bill of $ 858 billion. Now the bill must be approved by the
House of Representatives. Analysts of JSC ASYL INVEST believe that
the event is positive, as increases the likelihood of adoption of the bill
in Congress. Enactment of a positive impact on the stock market, as it
will encourage investors to hold shares. We believe that the vote will
cause a positive reaction of market participants today at the auction.
Also today, will be published macroeconomic statistics in the U.S..
Expected to yield data on retail sales for November, the Producer Price
Index for November and data on the inventory in October. The first two
can have a profound effect on the market. Today in the U.S. is also
expected FOMC decision on interest rates.
- major stock indexes finished trading in Western Europe on
Monday growth. Here the main influence on the auctions provided the
news that the People's Bank of China has refrained from raising
interest rates. As a result, the best dynamics in trading in Europe was
led by the mining sector. Shares of oil and financial companies have
also shown growth.
- Today in the euro area, there are data on industrial output for
October, data on the sentiment index in the business environment
of the ZEW for December. In Germany, there are data on the current
situation index and the index of sentiment in the business environment
of the ZEW in December. In the UK, is expected to yield data on house
price index for October and November, the data on the consumer price
index for November, data on consumer price index for November.
- the main stock indexes in the Asian region today show
multidirectional dynamics. In Japan today released statistics on the
volume of industrial production for November. Rate in November fell by
2%.
This material is for informational purposes and is not an offer or recommendation
to perform any transaction in securities. Agency IRBIS is not responsible for the
opinions expressed in this material.
[2010-12-14]