Market reveiws and recommendations of Financial Company REAL INVEST.KZ (Kazakhstan) analysts on December 8, 2010
08.12.10 15:36
/IRBIS, December 8, 2010/ - JSC Finance Company REAL Invest.kz
(Almaty, REAL Invest.kz) provided to IRBIS overview of major developments
in Kazakhstan and the world markets on December 8, 2010.
JSC Financial Company REAL Invest.kz notes the following significant
developments on the world stock, commodity and currency market:
- auctions on major U.S. and European sites resulted with primarily
growth of quotations. Support for European players had a message
that Ireland is going to bring to the budget bill, according to which the
expenditure part of the cut an additional $ 8 billion in similar decision
of Irish MPs, if it is finally approved, will allow analysts to readily
available and then serve loan from the IMF and the EU. Following the
auction, the major European indexes well gaining weight, while the
German DAX reached more than two-year high, breaking the mark of
7,000 points. Trades in the United States on Tuesday opened a little
less than a percent increase in quotes, however, published by the
Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago estimates on the dynamics of key
macroeconomic indicators in 2011 were the cause of uncertainty of
traders. Thus, according to a poll Chicago Fed, consumer price index
(CPI), one of the indicators of inflation next year should grow by 1.6%
against 0.9% expected in 2010. At the same time the cost of
government consumption and government investment next year will
grow by 0.5% against a rise of 1.5% in 2010. In addition, it is
expected that commercial production next year will grow by 4.3%
against expected growth on 5.4% in 2010. By the end of the session
encouraging the players came to nothing and end of the day for the
Dow Jones index was held lower by 0,03%, S & P 500 on the end of
the session increased by 0,05%. Today in the United States, there
are data on the indicator of consumer confidence,
- Site of emerging markets has finished last trading session of opposite
changes of the indices. Pressure on the players' areas of developing
countries on Tuesday, assisted reduction of the cost of most
commodities, largely due to the strengthening U.S. dollar. Chinese
SSEC, corrected for the past one and a half weeks, the last session
was able to complete more than just 1.5 cent quotes. Today's
premarket site for emerging markets is moderately negative, most
Asian areas started the day with sales.
- quotes a barrel of oil, after an unsuccessful attempt to consolidate
above the psychological level, which is located at around $ 90 a
barrel during the last session to adjust on 1.3%, finished the day even
below $ 88 a barrel. Despite the fact that the main factor for the
decline in oil prices acted as the strengthening U.S. dollar, it is noted
that, technically, the analysis also suggests some correction oil
prices, against a background of almost 12% growth over the past
week and a half.
- troy ounce of gold after setting a new world record at around $ 1,430,
during the second half of trading on Tuesday, suddenly struck by
more than 2%. In addition to the grown of the U.S. dollar is not in
favor of prices, "precious metal" was played and optimistic news from
the Euro zone on fiscal and debt problems of Ireland have lowered
the demand for gold as a safe asset. At the same time, analysts of
"REAL Invest.kz" are assumes an increase in volatility quotes troy
ounces of gold before the end of the year, and noted that investors
risked now purchase the asset for speculative purposes in the very
short term, will suffer a lot of unpleasant and disturbing moments.
- According to a forecast on the eve of HSBC, burdened with debt crisis
of the euro will fall in the I quarter of 2011 to 1.2500 U.S. dollar. Bank
analysts believe that the measures taken by European officials in the
end prove to be insufficient for long-term strengthening of confidence
in the players' strong prospects for regional European currency and
the growing problems of Spain, will have just the first quarter of next
year. Against this background is not too optimistic forecast, the
currency pair EUR/USD fell during yesterday's session, almost on
0.8%, to close slightly above $ 1.32.
- British pound, unsuccessfully tried to take a level of 1.58, on the
session virtually unchanged in value. Prospects for the currency pair
GBP/USD is also rather vague, that does not allow us to predict its
dynamics at least for the short period of time.
Analysts of "REAL Invest.kz" noted that the most attractive stories
among the shares of Kazakh companies are RD Kazmunaigas,
Kazakhtelecom and Halyk Bank. Especially attractive EP KMG and
Kazakhtelecom, as both companies are very strong balance sheet with
low debt burden, the EP's net debt at all negative, i.e. cash flows of the
company exceed liabilities. Besides their business generates more free
cash flow, which allows them to pay a very solid dividends. Dividend
income on preferred shares of KMG and Kazakhtelecom is 6-8% and 3-
4% of ordinary shares. Shares of these companies are traded much
cheaper than the shares of similar companies in other emerging markets.
This material is for informational purposes and is not an offer or recommendation
to perform any transaction in securities. Agency IRBIS is not responsible for the
opinions expressed in this material.
[2010-12-08]