Market reviews and recommendations of BCC Invest JSC (Kazakhstan) analysts for November 30, 2010
30.11.10 18:02
/IRBIS. November 30, 2010/ - BCC Invest JSC has provided IRBIS with
a survey of main events, market reviews and investment ideas for
November 30, 2010.
Analysts of JSC "BCC Invest" now expect moderately negative
open trades on stocks in the index KASE, amid falling stock prices,
and depositary receipts of Kazakhstan issuers yesterday in London.
According to the JSC "BCC Invest", the dynamics of KASE index later
in the day would be volatile, and KASE index end the day moderately
lower.
JSC "BCC Invest" also notes the following important events in the
Kazakh market:
- Development Bank of Kazakhstan JSC informed of upcoming
meetings with potential investors in the planned international
bond issue. Development Bank of Kazakhstan, which have a
rating of BBB-(Standard & Poor's)/BBB-(Fitch)/Baa3 (Moody's),
mandated Citi, Deutsche Bank, JP Morgan and JSC "Halyk
Finance" to organize a series of meetings with potential investors
since Dec. 1, 2010, to attract investors to participate in the planned
deployment of international bond Development Bank of
Kazakhstan. The timing of the transaction depends on market
conditions. Stabilization: FSA/ICMA.
- KASE Listing commission agreed to the inclusion of planned
to issue international bonds of JSC "Development Bank of
Kazakhstan on the official list of KASE category" Debt
Securities with ratings. Decision of KASE Listing commission of
Kazakhstan on November 25, 2010 consented to the inclusion in
the official list of KASE category "Debt Securities Rated 'planned to
issue international bonds of JSC" Development Bank of
Kazakhstan. " This decision is also a decision on the inclusion of
the bonds in the KASE official list of the named category, which will
come into force after their issuer conditions set forth in paragraphs
2.1 Article 18 of the internal document KASE "Listing Rules". The
bonds are scheduled to be released as part of the production of
medium-term notes amounting to 2.0 billion U.S. dollars. More
information about the issue of the bonds will be published on
KASE's web site after the entry into force of the Listing
Commission decision.
- National Company Kazakhstan KazMunaiGas early repayment
of a 35-year subordinated bonds by KZT190 billion. As stated in
the Kazakhstan Stock Exchange (KASE), with reference to an
official letter to the company, an issuer apply to KASE with an
exemption of the bonds from the official list of the Exchange in
connection with their purchase for early repayment. According to
information provided by KazMunaiGaz, the redemption of the
bonds was made at nominal value - 1 thousand KZT per share,
with one time payment, accrued before the date of prepayment.
These bonds were included in the KASE official list on July 3,
2009. Their period of treatment should be up in 2044. Semi-annual
coupon of 5% per annum. Trades of the bourses are open and
have not been. As indicated in the message exchange initiated by
the Issuer these bonds have been de-listed.
- Kazkommertsbank published financial statements for the third
quarter and 9 months of 2010. Highlights: Net income for the first
9 months of 2010 amounted to KZT15.7 billion ($ 106.8 million), up
7.7% over the same period last year, asset growth since the
beginning of the year amounted to 4.3% (KZT) Gross loans to
customers since the beginning of the year grew by 1.7% and
amounted to KZT2,710 billion. Net loans to customers as at 30
September 2010 amounted to KZT2,161 billion. Customer deposits
(excluding deposits of stabilization of the state) beginning of the
year increased by 15,0%, retail deposits since the beginning of the
year grew by 29.2% Adjusted net interest margin was 3.7% of
provisions amounted to 20.3% of gross loans to customers; share
of non-performing loans amounted to 26.7% of gross loans clients.
- Monday, November 29, 2010, JSC "BCC Invest" has issued a
new report by ENRC PLC. Analyst of JSC "BCC Invest" lowered
the price target on shares of ENRC PLC from 1232 pence (2,858
KZT) to 998 pence (2298), and, accordingly, the recommendation
to "buy" to "hold".
Analysts of JSC "BCC Invest" and expect the following
developments in international markets today:
- In Russia the publication of important economic statistics is
expected.
- The UK 06:01 (AST) were published data on consumer confidence
index from the GfK. At 14:55 (AST) in Germany to be published
data on the unemployment rate for November. At 16:00 (AST) will
be published data on the projected consumer price index and
unemployment rate of the euro zone.
- U.S. at 20:00 (AST) is expected to publish data from Standard &
Poor/CaseShiller index of housing prices in the third quarter. At
20:45 (AST) is expected to publish an index of business activity
Chicago PMI. At 21:00 (AST) is expected to publish data on
potrebitelckomu confidence, as well as house price index from the
NAPM-Milwaukee
- Today reports Seadrill Ltd., ThyssenKrupp AG, SodaStream
Inernational Ltd., AVANIR Pharmaceuticals Inc. and others.
Analysts of BCC Invest JSC are giving the following advice for
investors in securities of issuers in internal market:
----------------------------------------------------------------------
Issuer Last price Target Predicted price.
code price % Recom-
mendation
----------------- ------- ---------- ------ ---------------- ---------
Kazkommertsbank KKGB 437 479 +9.61 Neutral
KKGBp 215 335 +55.81 Buy
Halyk Bank HSBK 342 386 +12.87 Buy
Bank CenterCredit CCBN 590 646 +9.49 Hold
Tsesnabank TSBN 865 1,030 +19.08 Neutral
KazMunaiGaz RDGZ 17,390 22,300 +28.23 Buy
Kazakhmys PLC GB_KZMS 3,235 3,392 +4.85 Neutral
ENRC PLC GB_ENRC 2,100 2,298 +9.43 Buy
Kazakhtelekom KZTK 17,300 19,200 +10.98 Buy
KZTKp 8,250 9,300 +12.73 Buy
MREK MREK 1,100 1,130 +2.73 Hold
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The given material has exclusively information character and is not the offer
or recommendation to make any transactions with the stocks. Agency Irbis doesn't
take responsibility for the opinions which are in given material.
[2010-11-30]