Market reveiws and recommendations of Financial Company REAL INVEST.KZ (Kazakhstan) analysts on November 4, 2010
04.11.10 17:58
/IRBIS, November 4, 2010/ - JSC Finance Company REAL Invest.kz
(Almaty, REAL Invest.kz) provided to IRBIS overview of major developments
in Kazakhstan and the world markets on November 4, 2010.
JSC Financial Company REAL Invest.kz notes the following significant
developments on the world stock, commodity and currency market:
- bidding for major U.S. and European venues finished multidirectional
change quotations. European market participants for most of the
session trying to keep their positions in anticipation of the Fed
meeting, which led to a decrease in the main indices of sites in the
region ranging from 0.15% - up to 0.59%. Bidding in the States all the
past day, passed near floating markers, only 2 hours before closing,
after the publication of the results of a meeting of the Central Bank,
the market has come a revitalization that has allowed the session to
complete an increase of 0.24% -0.37%. Nature of macroeconomic
statistics, published on Wednesday proved to be quite positive. The
index of business optimism in the services sector last month rose by
1.2 point, down to 54.3 points, which was much more than analysts'
forecasts. In addition, production orders in the U.S. in September rose
by 2.1%, which was 0.4% more than analysts' forecasts. Finally, the
Fed announced it would inject into the American economy $ 600
billion by the end of July next year, against the backdrop of the fact
that "the pace of recovery in output and employment remain slow."
The reaction of market participants was immediate: quotes of major
U.S. indexes initially dipped 0.7% amid what amounts pledged
assistance were far more modest average of experts' expectations,
but then, investors have overestimated the release of the Fed,
arguing that the limited amount of assistance in the first place
indicates that is not so bad the current situation in the economy, and
secondly, it will save failing with respect to the dollar. Index S & P 500
finished the day near the psychological mark of 1,200 points, and if a
certain outcome of today's publication of data from the labor market,
the psychological support level can be taken before the end of the
week.
- the site of the emerging economies are mostly finished the trading
session day growth of quotations. The dynamics observed in the
commodity areas, where traders like and do not pay attention to the
mood of uncertainty in the stock traders' sites, provided the growth of
quotations on the emerging markets-at least during the first half of the
week. In light of this, published yesterday the results of the Fed
meeting is unlikely to bring significant changes to the actions of
regional traders, however, the external background, the dynamics of
the western areas, which is likely before the end of this week will be
positive, of course, will influence the decisions of investors emerging
markets. Today's premarket characterized by "REAL Invest.kz" as
moderately positive, Asian area started the day steady growth
- The cost of a barrel of oil up to the last three sessions has increased
by 4% to a mark of $ 85.28, almost reaching the level of annual
maxima, recorded in April. Analysts of "REAL Invest.kz" have noted
that oil traders seemed to live in isolated areas of the total external
background conditions and it seems to focus on shopping and more.
With this in mind, "REAL Invest.kz" several adjusts its forecasts and is
now likely to achieve a level of $ 90, in the case of imminent confident
of taking the annual maximum.
- troy ounce of gold rather significantly responded to yesterday's
publication of the outcome of the meeting, just repeating the
dynamics of the major indexes, and finished the day inconsequential
change in quotations. In general, the quotations "precious metal" for
the past twelve sessions is in a state of correction, which can be
interrupted before the end of this week, following a final decision of
market participants regarding how costs respond to the declared
amount of incentives.
- foreign exchange market, as expected, the most sensitive reaction to
the statements of officials of the American Central Bank, and
announced the stimulus package in the $ 600 billion, considerably
weakened the dollar. Major Currency Pairs Forex market up to the
day managed to overcome the resistance levels that inhibit growth of
quotations. The EUR/USD closed the day above the mark to 1.41,
which to some extent determines the continuation of its growth soon,
the pair GBP/USD up to date has managed to consolidate above the
level at 1.61. The pound is now at the levels of the February peak,
and the likelihood that in the near future will set a new high, high
enough.
Analysts of "REAL Invest.kz" noted that the most attractive stories
among the shares of Kazakh companies are RD Kazmunaigas,
Kazakhtelecom and Halyk Bank. Especially attractive look and EP
Kazakhtelecom, as both companies are very strong balance sheet with
low debt burden, the EP's net debt at all negative, i.e. cash flows of the
company exceed liabilities. Besides their business generates more free
cash flow, which allows them to pay a very solid dividends. Dividend
income on preferred shares of KMG and Kazakhtelecom is 6-8% and 3-
4% of ordinary shares. Shares of these companies are traded much
cheaper than the shares of similar companies in other emerging markets.
This material is for informational purposes and is not an offer or recommendation
to perform any transaction in securities. Agency IRBIS is not responsible for the
opinions expressed in this material.
[2010-11-04]