Market reveiws and recommendations of Financial Company REAL INVEST.KZ (Kazakhstan) analysts on November 2, 2010
02.11.10 18:51
/IRBIS, November 2, 2010/ - JSC Finance Company REAL Invest.kz
(Almaty, REAL Invest.kz) provided to IRBIS overview of major developments
in Kazakhstan and the world markets on November 2, 2010.
JSC Financial Company REAL Invest.kz notes the following significant
developments on the world stock, commodity and currency market:
- bidding for venues in Europe and the U.S. ended in positive territory.
The ambiguous nature of macroeconomic statistics, published on the
eve did not influence significantly the dynamics of the western areas,
where market participants choose not to take risks in anticipation of
the Fed meeting. Thus, the personal income of U.S. citizens in the
last month decreased by 0.1%, while analysts expected a growth rate
at 0.2%. Personal expenses, for the same period increased by 0.2%,
with expectations of professional growth rate at 0.4%. But the index of
business optimism ISM in September rose by 2.5 points, while market
participants waited for reducing the rate by 0.4 points. Today in
Germany will be published statistics on retail sales, analysts expect
the value of the index at an annual rate decreased by 2.2%. In the
U.S., today released weekly statistics on oil and petroleum products
in the country. In general, "REAL Invest.kz" expects low volume of
trading today - the market participants were waiting tomorrow's Fed
meeting, and are unlikely now to additional risks.
- Site emerging markets on the basis of trading on Monday increased
capitalization. As the main driver for purchases of securities of the
regional sites, according to the "REAL Invest.kz", made confident the
dynamics of commodity areas. However, even at sites of emerging
economies, the current trade volumes are significantly understated,
because of the expectation of the regional market participants such
landmark events as the Fed meeting and the Summit of the largest
twenty G20. Premarket platforms for emerging markets is neutral, in
particular, confirms the uncertain start of trading on Asian markets.
- The cost of a barrel of oil during the past two weeks of trading
reached a maximum, de jure, about twelve breaking the resistance
level at around $ 83 a barrel. The main reason that explains the
similar dynamics of quotations of "black gold" advocates the
continued weakening of the U.S. dollar in expectation of market
participants adopting a new stimulus package Fed. Today's weekly
report on inventories of crude oil and petroleum products in the United
States may also affect the short-term dynamics of a barrel of oil.
- The cost of ounce of gold at end of last session fell by 0.44% but
remains above the level of $ 1,350. The volume of yesterday's trading
was also quite low, thus, begs the conclusion that the major players
did not participate in the course of trading on Monday. The situation
with the possible approval of the plan "quantitative easing 2" definitely
will affect the dynamics of trade "precious metal", but in the short
term, analysts are "REAL Invest.kz" preserve the forecast that is
expected to continue the growth of quotations of gold.
- currency pair EUR/USD at end of last session, corrected for 0.64%,
down below the level of 1.40, which is likely explained by the
correction positions of market participants in anticipation of the Fed
meeting. GBP/USD pair held a rare session slabovolatilnuyu, literally
unchanged for the day. At the same time, the pound remains at eight-
month highs, and likely soon to continue to grow.
Analysts of "REAL Invest.kz" noted that the most attractive stories
among the shares of Kazakh companies are RD Kazmunaigas,
Kazakhtelecom and Halyk Bank. Especially attractive look and EP
Kazakhtelecom, as both companies are very strong balance sheet with
low debt burden, the EP's net debt at all negative, i.e. cash flows of the
company exceed liabilities. Besides their business generates more free
cash flow, which allows them to pay a very solid dividends. Dividend
income on preferred shares of KMG and Kazakhtelecom is 6-8% and 3-
4% of ordinary shares. Shares of these companies are traded much
cheaper than the shares of similar companies in other emerging markets.
This material is for informational purposes and is not an offer or recommendation
to perform any transaction in securities. Agency IRBIS is not responsible for the
opinions expressed in this material.
[2010-11-02]