Overview of key developments from analysts of Asyl Invest JSC (Kazakhstan) on October 28, 2010
28.10.10 18:24
/IRBIS, October 28, 2010/ - ASYL INVEST JSC (Almaty) provided IRBIS
overview of major events and of their investment ideas and forecasts on
October 28, 2010.
Analysts of ASYL INVEST note that the fall in stock prices in the
domestic market shares during yesterday's trading was
accompanied by an increase in trade turnover. According to trade in
KASE index fell 1%, while trading volume of KASE index increased by 2.8
times compared to the previous trading day. The greatest losses suffered
as a result the day the shares of Kazakhmys (-3.1%) in the fall of their
prices on the London Stock Exchange. On LSE bid by Kazakhstan shares
and depositary receipts were mainly negative. Shares of mining
companies have demonstrated a strong fall. Kazakhmys shares on the
trading results at the LSE fell by 5.03%, shares of ENRC - on 3.15%.
Today in the domestic market shares likely weak positive trend
index KASE. Shares of steelmakers at the LSE may show a rebound
upwards.
On expectations of ASYL INVEST, KASE index decreased today.
In addition, the analysts of ASYL INVEST note the following events
in world markets:
- Stock Index DJIA and S & P500 during yesterday's session, were
down more than 1% against the U.S. dollar strengthening, but
closer to the end of the main session were able to partially
restore the lost positions. The reason for the fall of U.S. stocks,
strengthening the U.S. dollar began to speculation about a second
round of quantitative easing, due to communication WSJ that the Fed
will announce buyback program of treasury bonds worth several
hundred billion dollars over several months. And it's less than
expected by market participants. The review for October 12 analysts
ASYL INVEST suggested a similar scenario. In ASYL INVEST
continues to believe that, given the dynamics of key macroeconomic
indicators the U.S., buying securities in the repurchase program will
be small, at regular intervals, giving the regulator more flexibility.
NASDAQ index during yesterday's session showed similar
movement, which DJIA and S & P500, but unlike other indexes
finished trading in positive territory. Support for the NASDAQ index
had positive financial results for the last quarter of the companies
Comcast (CMCSA), Broadcom (BRCM). Reports of other companies'
investors have ignored, in particular reports of the companies
ConocoPhillips (COP), Whirlpool (WHR), Procter & Gamble (PG), the
results of which exceeded consensus forecasts of analysts. Economic
statistics published in the United States on Wednesday, was
negative. Were disappointing data on orders for durable goods. The
index in September rose by 3.3%, mainly due to increase aircraft
orders. Economists had expected growth rate of 2%. Without taking
into account volatile component in the form of orders of vehicles,
orders for durable goods in September declined by 0.8%, while
economists expect growth to 0.5%. Orders vehicles rose in
September to 15.7%. In general, the data indicate a possible drop in a
stable manufacturing sector and business investment in the future.
Data on sales of new homes in September, released yesterday, also
tested negative. New home sales in September rose by 6.6%, while
economists had expected growth to 4.2%. It is worth noting that the
figure has grown exclusively through amendments to the seasonal
variations. If we examine unadjusted for seasonal fluctuations in
value, the figure probably is lower than August. Thus, economic
statistics, published yesterday in the U.S. is mostly negative points.
- Today the U.S. is expected to publish economic statistics and
corporate reports. Of the Economic Statistics in focus will be to find
data on the primary applications for unemployment benefits. Trades in
the U.S. today are likely to be reserved ahead of U.S. gross domestic
output data for the 3 quarter.
- major European stock indexes finished trading on Wednesday,
falling on the background of the continuing fall in commodity
markets and the negative opening of trading in the U.S.. Shares in
banks were supported by the publication of a positive report Deutsche
Bank (DBK). Today in the euro area is expected to yield data on the
consumer, economic and production trust.
- major Asian stock indices today show multidirectional
dynamics. In Hong Kong, rising bank shares after the Bank of China
Ltd. (3988) and Agricultural Bank of China Ltd. (1288) reported its
financial results for last quarter better than expected.
This material is for informational purposes and is not an offer or recommendation
to perform any transaction in securities. Agency IRBIS is not responsible for the
opinions expressed in this material.
[2010-10-28]