Market reviews and recommendations of BCC Invest JSC (Kazakhstan) analysts for October 25, 2010
25.10.10 18:56
/IRBIS. October 25, 2010/ - BCC Invest JSC has provided IRBIS with a
survey of main events, market reviews and investment ideas for October
25, 2010.
Analysts of JSC "BCC Invest" now expect a neutral opening index
KASE. Further, during the day, according to JSC "BCC Invest", the
dynamics of trades at the KASE will be moderately positive on the
background of the beginning of a new trading week.
JSC "BCC Invest" also note the following important events in the Kazakh
market:
- Moody's down grades of JSC Kazkommertsbank, JSC Halyk
Savings Bank of Kazakhstan, JSC Bank CenterCredit and JSC
Alliance Bank. Moody's downgraded the long-term senior unsecured
and subordinated debt ratings of Kazkommertsbank, Halyk Savings
Bank of Kazakhstan, Bank CenterCredit and JSC Alliance Bank.
According to the JSC "BCC Invest", the message is a negative for
stock prices and bonds Alliance Bank, Bank CenterCredit JSC,
People's Savings Bank of Kazakhstan and Kazkommertsbank.
However, the likely impact on the quotation will be short, and if the
rating agencies S & P and Fitch do not follow Moody's, then the
quotes of stocks and bonds as soon restored, and, consequently, the
current decline an excellent opportunity for shopping.
- JSC "KazMunaiGas (" KMG "), opened oil fields to exploration
block Lyman, the company said Friday." Inflow of oil obtained in the
first exploratory well at a depth of 1200 meters from the Middle
Triassic deposits, "- says message. According to the report,
"reservoir is located on the southern slope of the salt dome
Novobogatinsk" and is in close proximity to the developed industrial
branch "EMG" KMG oilfield Novobogatinsk South-East, 70 km west
of the Atyrau (adm. center of Atyrau region, west) . The daily
production rate of 24 cubic meters, with 5 mm chokes. In the context
of the passed predicted the presence of three more additional pay
zones. Detection of light crude oil density of 34 API points to the
existing potential suprasalt deposits in the region, where currently the
company conducted extensive seismic studies in the 3D volume of
300 sq. km.. The program works company in 2011, is scheduled to
detailed study and evaluation of detection for early entry into
development. According to the JSC "BCC Invest", the message is
positive for stock prices, and depositary receipts of Exploration and
Production KazMunaiGas, since evidence not only of extensive
production growth through the acquisition of new assets, but also the
attention of company management and also to its own exploration
program. Analysts JSC "BCC Invest" confirm the recommendation to
"buy" shares and depositary receipts of Exploration and Production
KazMunaiGas with target prices of KZT22,300 per share and $ 25.30
per GDR.
- Rating agency Standard & Poor's upgraded long-term corporate
credit rating ZhaikMunai LP from level B- to level B, and assigned
a final credit rating of the newly issued bonds ZhaikMunai Finance
BV at B.
Analysts of JSC "BCC Invest" and expect the following
developments in international markets today:
- In Russia the publication of important macroeconomic statistics and
corporate reports are not expected.
- In Europe, the publication of important macroeconomic statistics is
expected.
- in the U.S. before the opening of trading at 18:30 (AST) will be
published index of general economic activity of the Federal Reserve
Bank of Chicago in September. After the market opened in 20:00
(AST) will be published data on sales of existing homes in
September, as well as the index of manufacturing activity of the
Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas in October.
- reporting season continues. Today accountable Invesco Ltd.,
Texas Instruments Inc., Amgen Inc., BE Aerospace Inc., And others.
In China, reports Aluminum Corporation of China, India - Tata Motors
Ltd.
Analysts of BCC Invest JSC are giving the following advice for
investors in securities of issuers in internal market:
----------------------------------------------------------------------
Issuer Last price Target Predicted price.
code price % Recom-
mendation
----------------- ------- ---------- ------ ---------------- ---------
Kazkommertsbank KKGB 426 479 +12.44 Neutral
KKGBp 215 335 +55.81 Buy
Halyk Bank HSBK 330 386 +16.97 Buy
Bank CenterCredit CCBN 586 646 +10.24 Hold
Tsesnabank TSBN 940 1,030 +9.57 Neutral
KazMunaiGaz RDGZ 15,700 22,300 +42.04 Buy
Kazakhmys PLC GB_KZMS 2,190 3,392 +54.89 Neutral
ENRC PLC GB_ENRC 3,100 2,858 -7.81 Buy
Kazakhtelekom KZTK 15,800 19,200 +21.52 Buy
KZTKp 8,130 9,300 +14.39 Buy
MREK MREK 1,100 1,130 +2.73 Hold
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The given material has exclusively information character and is not the
offer or recommendation to make any transactions with the stocks. Agency
Irbis doesn't take responsibility for the opinions which are in given material.
[2010-10-25]