Overview of key developments from analysts of Asyl Invest JSC (Kazakhstan) on October 19, 2010
19.10.10 16:40
/IRBIS, October 19, 2010/ - ASYL INVEST JSC (Almaty) provided IRBIS
overview of major events and of their investment ideas and forecasts on
October 19, 2010.
Analysts of ASYL INVEST note that trading on the Kazakhstan
market on Monday held at a weak activity of market participants and
resulted in lateral movement of the index KASE. In terms of KASE
index strong movements were observed on the shares of BCC (2.5%),
which are in demand, and shares Kazakhtelecom (-2.5%). In general, the
trading volume of KASE index fell by 2.1 times compared to the previous
day and reached KZT68.6 million. On the London Stock Exchange trading
Kazakhstan shares and depositary receipts were at their multidirectional
dynamics. Negatively were trading in shares of mining companies.
Kazakhmys shares fell on the end of trading on 1.81%, ENRC - on 1.33%.
GDR banks completed trades multidirectional movement of prices: CMC
(+0.85%), NSBK (-0.9%).
Today, the external background for the Kazakh market develops
moderately positive. On expectations of ASYL INVEST, KASE index
will rise today.
In addition, the analysts of ASYL INVEST note the following events
in world markets:
- Report Citigroup (C) for 3 quarter of 2010 caused an increase in
stocks of banking sector and has allowed U.S. stock indexes
finished trading growth. Net profit for the March quarter 2010 was $
2.17 million (7 cents per share), more than 20 times higher than the
same period last year. These results were achieved due to reduction
in reserves. The review for October 13 analysts of JSC ASYL
INVEST assumed that the Citigroup report, by analogy with JPM will
reduce contributions to reserves, which is what happened. On the
background of the results better than expected and the outcome of
the conference call Citigroup shares rose 5.57%, shares of the
financial sector to 2.14%. Also positive was the report of Apple
(AAPL). 4 quarter of the current fiscal year, the company earned $
4.31 billion net profit ($ 4.64 per share) compared to net income of $
2.53 billion received last year. The company's revenue rose to a
record level of $ 20.3 billion through the sale of the iPhone and IPad.
Economic statistics, published in the U.S. yesterday, showed the
negative aspects and to exert pressure on the course of trading.
Industrial production in the U.S. in September declined by 0.2% after
August it grew by 0.2%. Economists had expected growth rate at
0.2%. Decline in industrial production caused a decrease in capacity
utilization from 74.8% to 74.7%, marking the first decline since June
2009. Decline in industrial production in September was caused by
the decline in manufacturing by 0.2% and a drop in production in
public services by 1.9%, while production in mining, in contrast, grew
by 0.7%. Industrial production, which is one of the drivers of the
economy, declined, giving one more argument in favor of the fact that
the Fed should offer more incentives to increase the chances of QE2.
Negative were also data on international capital flows. Capital inflows
into the U.S. in August fell to $ 63.7 billion to $ 38.9 billion.
- in the U.S. today the focus will be corporate records, including
records of companies Bank of America, Goldman Sachs, Bank of NY,
Western Digital, Yahoo, Coca-Cola, Johnson & Johnson. Economic
statistics, the output of which is expected in the U.S. today is not
important. Today is likely to increase shares Bank of America, as the
report of the bank may be better than analysts' forecasts by reducing
allocations to reserves. Also, the positive dynamics of shares may be
the technology sector, after Apple has released its financial results
better than expected.
- trading in Europe took place with reference to the United States.
Major European stock indexes trade results showed an increase.
Shares of banks in demand due to positive report Citigroup. Trading
on the European markets is likely to begin positively. Economic
statistics, published today in Europe is likely to have limited impact on
trading.
- major Asian stock indexes are now showing multidirectional
dynamics, most of the index increases due to the dynamics of bank
shares, after Citigroup posted positive results for the 3 quarter.
This material is for informational purposes and is not an offer or recommendation
to perform any transaction in securities. Agency IRBIS is not responsible for the
opinions expressed in this material.
[2010-10-19]