Overview of key developments from analysts of Asyl Invest JSC (Kazakhstan) on September 1, 2010
01.09.10 15:55
/IRBIS, September 1, 2010/ - ASYL INVEST JSC (Almaty) provided IRBIS
overview of major events and of their investment ideas and forecasts on
September 1, 2010.
Analysts of ASYL INVEST note that trading on the Kazakhstan stock
market on Tuesday took place within a lateral trend. The external
background while wearing multidirectional nature, which contributed to the
neutral dynamics. The activity of market participants as a whole was
slightly higher than in the previous trading day. KASE index on the results
of trading on Tuesday fell by 0.02% and the volume of trades KASE index
increased from the previous trading day in 1.6 times. In the section index
abrupt movements were observed. On the London Stock Exchange
trading Kazakhstan shares and depositary receipts were multidirectional
nature. The fall in oil prices to $ 72/barr. Negative impact on the GDR
KMG (-2.2%). Shares of mining companies and banks have completed
the GDR session different directions movement quotes. From corporate
events worth noting NSBK announcement of financial results for the first
half of 2010, which in general were better than our projections. According
to a press release from the bank, net profit for the first half amounted to
KZT16.6 billion, which was news to us, as we had expected profit of 12
billion
Today, the external background for the Kazakhstan market develops
moderately positive. Major U.S. stock indices on the bidding results
showed lateral movement, fueled by published statistics were better than
economists' forecasts (annual changes in average house prices - the
price index for shelter from the S&P/Case-Shiller (an increase of 4.23% in
the second quarter) and the level of consumer confidence in the U.S.
(53.5 points)). From the Asian region also received positive signals. In
China, were published positive data on the production index PMI (51.7
points).
Analysts of ASYL INVEST believe that the stabilization of the external
background, probably will not contribute to the massive purchases of
preconditions for the growth of the domestic market is still not visible.
KASE Index in other being equal things today will demonstrate
lateral movement.
In addition, the analysts of ASYL INVEST note the following events
in world markets:
- During yesterday's trading in Europe started a significant
decrease. In the minus open and trading in the U.S., but on the day,
stock indexes in Europe and the U.S. mostly closed with a positive
growth. The U.S. index of wide market S & P500 dropped during the
bidding up to the mark in 1040 items, which is the level of support.
Pushed off from this level, it is likely to further increase in the index.
Short-term growth and contribute to the positive news on the
economy. In particular, real estate prices in the U.S. rose and
consumer confidence was higher predictive values. In the morning the
data were published in China PMI, which also proved to be better
than a month ago, demonstrating growth. Asian sites this morning,
are also growing and the news that Australia's GDP in the 2 square.
2010 increased by 1.2%, while the expected growth rate of 0.9%.
- quotations of futures for copper added nearly 2% during the
morning session. Crude oil futures rise, but more moderate pace
(about 0.5%). Pressure on the quotations of "black gold" has a data
API for commercial stocks in the U.S., which last week rose 4.7
million barrels. Futures on U.S. indexes rising by almost 1%, which
implies a positive background for the opening of trading in Europe
today. The impact on the outcome of the auction will have statistics
that goes today in developed countries. Investors will pay attention to
data on retail sales in Germany and data on index PMI in Euro zone
and the UK. In the U.S., will be first labor market data for August. The
Agency will publish the ADP data on change of jobs in the country
over the past month. There will also be published data of business
activity in the manufacturing sector ISM and expenditure data in the
construction sector. In the quotations of oil will affect the report of the
Ministry of Energy of the U.S. commercial inventories of oil and
petroleum products.
This material is for informational purposes and is not an offer or recommendation
to perform any transaction in securities. Agency IRBIS is not responsible for the
opinions expressed in this material.
[2010-09-01]