Market reveiws and recommendations of Financial Company REAL INVEST.KZ (Kazakhstan) analysts on july 26, 2010
26.07.10 16:30
/IRBIS, July 26, 2010/ - JSC Finance Company REAL Invest.kz (Almaty,
REAL Invest.kz) provided to IRBIS overview of major developments in
Kazakhstan and the world markets on July 26, 2010.
JSC Finance Company REAL Invest.kz notes the following significant
developments on the world stock, commodity and currency market:
- bidding for major venues in Europe and the United States on
Friday ended growth. The beginning and most of the trading took
place sluggishly and at very low revs - the market participants, on the
eve of publication of results of stress tests of European banks were
unwilling to take risks. The situation has changed closer to the
afternoon, when the values of the major U.S. indices have escaped to
mark the growth of more than 1%. For tests that were conducted
banks in Europe market participants are still many questions,
particularly regarding the methodology for their conduct, but official
results, according to which the capital adequacy of only 7 out of 91
banks could not reach to the required mark of 6%. Growth in Europe
was on the order of more modest - the maximum result reached the
German DAX, has added 0.4%.
- emerging markets' platforms have closed on Friday moderate
growth, the external positive factors expressed by the positive
closure of the western areas on Thursday, were leveled fears of
market participants regarding the publication of stress tests, that
throughout the trading session the quotations constrained at low
levels.
- barrel of light crude Light Sweet-up to Friday's session has not
shown any change of quotations, most of the day had a
"sideways", and the completion of trades took place near the mark of
$ 79 - the opening level of the day.
- demonstrated similar dynamics and quotes troy ounce of gold,
though the only difference was the closing of the day with lower
elevations, although reduction was of nominal. In general, the
contract price of an ounce of gold for more than 12 trading sessions
held in a fairly narrow range of prices, which is probably due to the
decline in demand for the precious metal from investors, on the
background of "risk appetite".
- currency pair EUR/USD and GBP/USD trades in a walk Friday in
general, showed similar dynamics - both currency pairs managed
to push off from the support levels and significantly close to the recent
local maximum, located at the levels of 1.30 in the first case, and
slightly less than 1.55 second, which once again proved the accuracy
of coincidence of our previous forecasts. Analysts of "REAL Invest.kz"
believe that the two currency pairs now have a good chance to reach
and overcome the above mentioned peaks, but a considerable role in
this will play the character of the publications of corporate reports.
Analysts JSC "Finance Company" REAL Invest.kz" also notes the
following major developments in the Kazakh market:
- Management of Kazakh oil company Zhaikmunai LP is subject to
criminal liability for illegal oil exports to Finland, the press service
of the Western regional transport prosecutor's office. As stated in the
press service, the Ural Transport Prosecutor's Office revealed that the
LLP Zhaikmunai in the period from January 1 to February 18, 2009 in
Finland exported 31,849 tones of crude oil, while government licenses
for those activities association was only on Feb. 19, 2009 year. In this
regard, the leaders LLP Zhaikmunai in May this year, a criminal case
under Art. 190 Part 2 (illegal business) of the Criminal Code of the
Republic. Analysts of "REAL Invest.kz" expect a negative impact on
share prices of the company.
- National company KazMunaiGas came on a par with Shell
Kazakhstan Development conditions in the capital of the
company agent in the North-Caspian project - NC Production
Operations Company BV (NCPOC). The transaction is carried KMG
Kashagan BV (100% subsidiary, KMG "). By signing this agreement,
KMG and Shell Kazakhstan Development "became an official partner
of operations for the extraction and exploitation, which allows them to
combine their efforts for the timely implementation of the project,
emphasized in a press release. According to the operating model of
the North-Caspian project, NCPOC, being an agency company, is
authorized to conduct mining operations and maintenance on behalf
of the North Caspian Operating Company (NCOC) - operator of the
Agreement on the PSA.
Analysts of "REAL Invest.kz" noted that the most attractive stories
among the shares of Kazakh companies are RD Kazmunaigas,
Kazakhtelecom and Halyk Bank. Especially attractive look and EP
Kazakhtelecom, as both companies are very strong balance sheet with
low debt burden, the EP's net debt at all negative, ie cash flows of the
company exceed liabilities. Besides their business generates more free
cash flow, which allows them to pay a very solid dividends. Dividend
income on preferred shares of KMG and Kazakhtelecom is 6-8% and 3-
4% of ordinary shares. Shares of these companies are traded much
cheaper than the shares of similar companies in other emerging markets.
This material is for informational purposes and is not an offer or recommendation
to perform any transaction in securities. Agency IRBIS is not responsible for the
opinions expressed in this material.
[2010-07-26]