Market reviews and recommendations of BCC Invest JSC (Kazakhstan) analysts for May 31, 2010
31.05.10 18:19
/IRBIS, May 31, 2010/ - BCC Invest JSC has provided IRBIS with a survey
of main events, market reviews and investment ideas for May 31, 2010.
Analysts of JSC "BCC Invest" indicate that the shares on Friday on
the London Stock Exchange in ENRC PLC rose by 0.50% (10.04
pounds/KZT2,127) and Kazakhmys PLC - declined to 0.84% (11.85
pounds Sterling/KZT2,510). On Friday in London Depositary Receipts of
Halyk Bank, Kazkommertsbank and KMG rose - to 4.27%
($8.30/KZT304), 8.33% ($6.50/KZT476) and 6.45% ($21.45/KZT18,855),
respectively. Yesterday Negative closing trades in the U.S. and Mixed
dynamics in Asia today, according to analysts of JSC "BCC Invest", will
not give reason for serious growth in Kazakhstan's market share at the
opening, but given the fact that today, Monday, the stock exchanges in
London and New York will be closed, investors can continue to record
profits in the background of the lack of significant news background,
which may cause the correction in the local market. Analysts of JSC
"BCC Invest" offers mixed dynamics on the local stock market on the
day.
JSC BCC Invest also note the following important events in
Kazakhstan's market:
- JSC Exploration Production KMG published the results of
specialized trades on repurchases of preferred shares at KASE,
conducted in the period from April 30 to May 28, 2010. According
to the company were satisfied with the application for redemption of
26,384 preferred shares totaling KZT450,993,057.12 price cut
KZT17,093.43 per share. Payments will be made under the scheme
T +3 2 June 2010. Thus, the company has repurchased 307,112
own preferred shares totaling KZT6,434,912,565.90 to the program
of redemption. In the view of analysts of JSC "BCC Invest" the
message is a bit disappointing holders of preferred shares of KMG
Exploration & Production as well as cut-off price was substantially
lower than the cut-off of previous trades, and the amount of
successful applications has also proved to be far below expectations.
However, according to JSC "BCC Invest", to holders of ordinary
shares trading results are positive, since the price cut has developed
below the market price of common shares at that time and volume of
requests met said the unwillingness of the management company to
meet all bids at any price. Analysts JSC "BCC Invest" confirm the
recommendation "hold" on ordinary shares and depositary receipts
JSC Exploration Production KazMunaiGas with target price
KZT21,300 per share and $24.50 per GDR.
- JSC Kazkommertsbank for Tuesday, June 1, 2010, will hold a
conference call on the financial results for the first quarter of
2010. Time of conference call - 17:00 Almaty time. Details on access
and participation in a teleconference presented on the website of the
bank. Source: Bank's corporate website (www.kkb.kz). The current
recommendation of JSC "BCC Invest" on shares and depositary
receipts Kazkommertsbank is located at the "hold" with target prices
of KZT623 per ordinary share, KZT312 per preferred share and
$8.50 per GDR. However, after the publication of reports for the first
quarter of this year, and a telephone conference with the comments
of management analysts of JSC "BCC Invest" will update their model
estimates the bank's shares, and if necessary change their
recommendations and price targets, and released a new survey by
the issuer.
- Halyk Savings Bank of Kazakhstan on Tuesday, June 1, 2010
will hold a conference call on the financial results for the first
quarter of 2010. Time of conference call - 19:00 Almaty time. Details
on access and participation in a teleconference presented on the
website of the bank. Source: Bank's corporate website
(www.halykbank.kz). The current recommendation of JSC "BCC
Invest" for ordinary shares and depositary receipts Halyk Savings
Bank of Kazakhstan at the level of "accumulate" with target prices of
KZT330 per ordinary share and $9.02 per GDR. However, after the
publication of reports for the first quarter of this year, and a
telephone conference with the comments of management analysts of
JSC "BCC Invest" will update their model estimates the bank's
shares, and if necessary change their recommendations and price
targets, and released a new survey by the issuer.
Analysts JSC BCC Invest also expect the following developments in
international markets:
- Despite the negative mood of the American market at the end of last
week, today's ambient background is moderately favorable for
shopping. For example, most Asian indices traded in a small plus, and
futures on the main indicators of the U.S. also shows positive
momentum is neutral. In this regard, analysts of JSC "BCC Invest" now
expect moderate increase indices RTS and MICEX at the opening
of tenders. Nevertheless, most likely today, activity on Russian trading
floors will be minimal due to the closure of markets in the U.S. and the
UK.
- trading in the UK today, will be closed, so the main
macroeconomic developments, which will be aired during the
day, will include continental Europe and Asia. The most interesting
data will be published indexes of consumer confidence, economic and
business sentiment in the euro area in May. Also, come out projections
for inflation in the region over the same period.
- U.S. market today, important macroeconomic news is expected.
Analysts of BCC Invest JSC are giving the following advice for
investors in securities of issuers in internal market:
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Issuer Last price Target Predicted price,
code price % Recom-
mendation
----------------- ------- ---------- ------ ---------------- ----------
Kazkommertsbank KKGB 465 623 +33.98 Hold
KKGBp 271 312 +15.13 Hold
Halyk Bank HSBK 300 330 +10.00 Accumulate
Bank CenterCredit CCBN 566 734 +29.68 Buy
Tsesnabank TSBN 941 737 -21.68 Cut
KazMunaiGaz RDGZ 18,500 21,300 +15.14 Hold
Kazakhmys PLC GB_KZMS 2,600 3,559 +36.88 Buy
ENRC PLC GB_ENRC 2,188 2,638 +20.57 Buy
Kazakhtelekom KZTK 12,430 17,800 +43.20 Hold
KZTKp 6,001 10,300 +71.64 Buy
MREK MREK 1,000 800 -20.00 Cut
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or recommendation to make any transactions with the stocks. Agency Irbis doesn't
take responsibility for the opinions which are in given material.
[2010-05-31]