Market reviews and recommendations of BCC Invest JSC (Kazakhstan) analysts for April 20, 2010
20.04.10 17:43
/IRBIS, April 20, 2010/ - BCC Invest JSC has provided IRBIS with a survey
of main events, market reviews and investment ideas for April 19, 2010.
JSC "BCC Invest" Analysts expected today on the Kazakhstan stock
market technical rebound after two days of fall, which can be supported by
growth in Asian trading platforms and commodity markets.
JSC "BCC Invest" also notes the following important events in the
Kazakhstan market:
- Board of Directors of Kazkommertsbank decided to convene
annual general meeting of shareholders. The general meeting of
shareholders will held on May 24, 2010 at 11:00 by Almaty time.
Joined the Bank's shareholders will begin on May 24, 2010 at 10:30.
The list of shareholders entitled to participate in the general meeting of
shareholders of the Bank, will be prepared on the basis of the system
register of shareholders of the Bank as on April 23, 2010. As indicated,
for 2009 the amount of the Bank's profit amounted to KZT19 billion. To
maintain the capital adequacy of the Bank's shareholders and banking
conglomerate, a net income for the year 2009 is to capitalize, sending
on undistributed net income of previous years. According to JSC "BCC
Invest", the message is neutral for the stock price and depository
receipts of the bank, as the annual general meeting of shareholders
which is a regular recurring event. The decision to pay dividends on
ordinary shares for the year 2009 is also consistent with the current
dividend policy of the bank. Publication of the audited consolidated
financial statements of the bank for 2009 is expected at the end of this
month. After the publication of statements of JSC "BCC Invest" will
adjust the model estimates the bank's shares and will issue a new
review of Kazkommertsbank with updated recommendations and
target prices. At present JSC "BCC Invest" recommendation on "hold"
on the shares of the bank with a target price KZT695 per ordinary
share, KZT347 per preferred share and $ 9.50 per GDR.
- The company Max Petroleum PLC announced the results of
drilling exploration wells KZN-2 on the Northern part Kyzylzhar 2
Western Block of Block E. The depth of drilling wells reached 1 457
meters. Oil was not discovered, and the drilling was stopped. Rig Sun
ZJ-30 will be moved to the area Borkyldakty to drill an appraisal well
BOR-2, the first of two appraisal wells to be drilled at this site over the
next few months. The company currently is negotiating for a tender to
lease an additional rig that will be used, along with Sun ZJ-30, for
drilling exploration and appraisal wells in the promising areas of Blocks
A and E. As previously reported, exploratory drilling KZN-1 in the
Northern part Kyzylzhar 2 East Block of Block E is also not yielded
positive results. According to preliminary estimates made by the
company before the program of exploration drilling on the likelihood of
success of the northern Kyzylzhar 2 Eastern bloc and Western bloc
was estimated at 32% and 45%, respectively. The first exploratory well
BOR-1 in the area Borkyldakty revealed the presence of oil deposits
and, in our opinion, it is quite logical that the company currently is
focusing on further in-depth review on the site. In general, according to
AO "BCC Invest", a post may have a moderately negative effect on
company share prices in the short term, but over a long horizon, the
dynamics of stock price the company will depend on the success of the
entire program of exploration drilling in general. At present JSC "BCC
Invest" retains the recommendation of "hold" on shares MaxPetroleum
PLC with a target price of 21 pence per share.
Analysts JSC "BCC Invest" offers also following developments in
international markets:
- on the Russian markets at the opening of morning trading session is
expected technical rebound after two days of decline. Players will
probably have to buy noticeably depreciating paper on the background
of the closed positive on the eve of the American stock market, as well
as positive trading in Asia. Nevertheless, not excluded that the growth
will be restrained enough.
- on the European markets is the most important economic statistics
today will relate to data on producer prices index and index of business
expectations in Germany in March and April, respectively, as well as
the price index of business expectations of Euro Zone for April. In the
UK, will be the value of consumers' price index in March, which is
expected to increase on 0.3%.
- on the U.S. markets today, important macroeconomic publications is
not expected.
Analysts of BCC Invest JSC are giving the following advice for
investors in securities of issuers in internal market:
----------------------------------------------------------------------
Issuer Last price Target Predicted price,
code price % Recom-
mendation
----------------- ------- ---------- ------ ---------------- ---------
Kazkommertsbank KKGB 625 695 +11.12 Hold
KKGBp 260 347 +33.58 Hold
Halyk Bank HSBK 365 330 -9.59 Sell
Bank CenterCredit CCBN 710 777 +9.44 Hold
Tsesnabank TSBN 940 737 -21.60 Cut
KazMunaiGaz RDGZ 22,300 20,300 -8.97 Hold
Kazakhmys PLC GB_KZMS 3,400 3,559 +4.68 Neutral
ENRC PLC GB_ENRC 2,700 2,642 -2.15 Hold
Kazakhtelekom KZTK 16,750 17,800 +6.27 Hold
KZTKp 7,800 10,300 +32.05 Buy
MREK MREK 910 800 -12.09 Cut
----------------------------------------------------------------------
The given material has exclusively information character and is not the offer
or recommendation to make any transactions with the stocks. Agency Irbis doesn't
take responsibility for the opinions which are in given material.
[2010-04-20]