Forecasts and recommendations of analysts of IFH RESMI (Kazakhstan) for April 14, 2010
14.04.10 18:33
/IRBIS, April 14, 2010/ - Finance & Investment House RESMI JSC
(Almaty, IFH RESMI) provided IRBIS overview of major events and their
investment ideas and projections for April 14, 2010.
Analysts of IFH RESMI are paying attention to investors on the following
important events in the markets now:
- KazakhGold (KZG LI) filed a motion to purchase ordinary shares of
subsidiaries of OJSC Polyus Gold "(PLZL LI), which is: Polyus, OJSC
Rudnik name Matrosov JSC, Yuzhno-Verkhoyansk Mining Company, Inc."
The first-born ", JSC" Tonoda and LLC Amur EMG. Currently, Polyus Gold
owns a controlling stake in KazakhGold 41.26%. Analysts IFD "RESMI"
believe that the reverse takeovers "Polyus Gold" will KazakhGold improve
the investment attractiveness. This is because the KazakhGold shares
traded on the London Stock Exchange. KazakhGold - one of the largest
gold mining companies in Kazakhstan, with three major mines in Aksu,
Bestobe and Zholymbet located in the northern region of the republic. The
company also owns assets in the territory of Eastern Kazakhstan, Romania
and Kyrgyzstan. In Russia, shares of Polyus Gold's shares are listed on
the Stock Exchange, RTS and MICEX. In the UK, American Depository
Receipts (ADRs) level, representing ordinary shares of OJSC Polyus Gold,
traded on the main market of LSE. OJSC Polyus Gold - gold producer in
Russia and one of the world's largest producers of precious metal by
market capitalization, volume of raw materials and production.
- Kazakhstan plans to invest $ 100 million in the construction of grain
storage facilities in Georgia. The outcome of the meetings of Prime
Ministers of Georgia and Kazakhstan, which ended last week, was the
statement that Kazakhstan plans to invest $ 100 million in construction of
grain storage facilities in Georgia, with capacity of 300 thousand tons of
grain a year. It is assumed that the barn will be built in Poti, but the final
details of the project will be agreed during the visit of Massimov in Georgia,
which will be held in August this year. This is the second attempt the
Kazakh side to establish its infrastructure in Georgia. For example, in 2007,
in Poti was scheduled to start construction of a grain terminal capacity of
400-450 tons of grain a day. However, this process was delayed due to
unfavorable political situation in Georgia. In the past, Kazakhstan has
repeatedly stated desire to buy (or build) a grain terminal in a port on the
Black Sea for the transshipment of grain exports to North Africa and
particularly in Egypt. In recent years, Kazakhstan has been unable to
export grain to Egypt due to high logistics costs. Having our own grain
storage facilities in Poti will enable Kazakhstan to reduce transportation
costs and increase grain exports to Egypt.
- Upgrading of the domestic agricultural sector. To date, agricultural
sector of Kazakhstan is implementing several projects. By 2011, the
company "Aray Holding plans to start operation in Kostanai region dairy
farm value of 900 million tenge. This project is funded jointly with JSC
"KazAgroFinance. Own funds of the company consists of about 15% of the
total project. The farm will include 1250 head of cattle. Also, in the
Karaganda region is planned for 6 projects worth KZT5.8 billion. This
construction of greenhouses worth about 1 billion tenge, which is funded by
the JSC KazAgroFinance (KZT620 million), JSC "NK SEC Saryarka
(KZT140 million) and LLP" Green Tehnology ". Three major investment
projects are being implemented in the poultry industry: reconstruction
Maykudukskoy poultry and poultry farm them. Karl Marx and the
construction of a new broiler farms LLP healthy products. "Implementation
of these projects will increase in 2011, the number of poultry in the area of
2,5 times (up to 4.7 million head) and increase the proportion weight of
breeding stock from 30 to 60%. The other two projects are linked to the
modernization of equipment Karaganda Margarine Plant. Implementation
of these projects will improve the quality and productivity of domestic
agriculture sector.
Analysts of IFH RESMI give the following advice for investors in
securities of issuers in Kazakhstan:
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Issuer Last price Predicted price* Up/down from Target RSI,
Current price price** %***
------------------ ---------- ---------------- ------------- ------- -----
Kazkommertsbak 615 796 29.4% 1,072 40.86
Halyk bank 367.01 409 11.4% 837 43.78
Bank Center Credit 707 1,218 72.3% 942 38.23
ENRC 2,710 On review 2,865 60.63
Kazakhmys 3,400 On review 3,695 52.44
RD KMG 22,300 24,895 11.6% 24,919 58.42
Kazkhtelekom 16,850 33,842 100.8% 17,800 42.38
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Fundamental evaluation IFH RESMI for 12 months (weekly review)
** Target according to the consensus forecast of analysts surveyed by Bloomberg
*** Relative strength index - an indicator of technical analysis. determines
strength of trend and likelihood of change. Overbought / oversold - when
RSI indicator value is closer to 100% / 0%.
- Cost of common shares Kazkommertsbank assessment IFD "RESMI"
will cost no less than KZT796 per share by the end of 2010;
- Halyk Savings Bank of Kazakhstan is estimated IFD "RESMI" as the
most promising in terms of business development financial institution in
Kazakhstan. Analysts see the growth of the bank's shares up to KZT409
per share;
- Shares of Bank CenterCredit in the long term analysts IFD "RESMI"
about the outlook for growth in securities of the bank to the level of 1,230
m.;
- Stocks Kazakhtelecom are looking most attractive for investment in the
long term. Analysts IFD "RESMI" recommend buying simple
shareholders of the issuer.
- The updated target price of shares of JSC Exploration Production
KMG is KZT24,895 per share.
The given material has exclusively information character and is not the offer
or recommendation to make any transactions with the stocks. Agency Irbis doesn't
take responsibility for the opinions which are in given material.
[2010-04-14]