Market reviews and recommendations of BCC Invest JSC (Kazakhstan) analysts for March 30, 2010
30.03.10 22:02
/IRBIS, March 30, 2010/ - BCC Invest JSC has provided IRBIS with a
survey of main events, market reviews and investment ideas for March 30,
2010.
Analysts of JSC "BCC Invest" expected today on the Kazakhstan stock
market continue upward trend against the background of optimism in world
financial markets. Today is expected to publish preliminary financial
statements Kazakhmys PLC for the year 2009 taking into account the result
of participation in the capital ENRC PLC, which may influence the course of
trading on the shares of the company. After the publication of statements of
JSC "BCC Invest" adjust its model for evaluating the company's shares and,
if necessary, change the target prices and Yesterday recommendations on
Kazakhmys PLC. Reporting the National Bank for 2009, has not been
published and is likely to be published next week.
JSC "BCC Invest" also noted the following important events in the
Kazakhstan market:
- On March 29 of this year JSC Exploration Production KazMunaiGas
announced that on March 26 of this year, an extraordinary general
meeting of shareholders elected a new Board of Directors of KMG
EP in connection with the expiry of the term before. According to the
decision of EGM The Board of Directors of KMG EP has entered : Mr.
Askar Balzhanov (Managing Director for Exploration and Production JSC
National Company "KMG"), Tolegen Boszhanov (Managing Director,
Corporate Center of JSC National Company "KMG"), Yerzhan
Zhangaulov (General Manager, Legal Support JSC National Company
KazMunayGas ) Kenzhebek Ibrashev (CEO (Chief Executive), KMG),
Assia Syrgabekova (CFO JSC National Company "KMG"), Paul
Manduca (Independent Director of KMG EP), Edward Walsh
(Independent Director KMG). Also meeting shareholders has been
defined term of office of the Board -3 years. Thus, the quantitative
composition of the Board of Directors was reduced from 8 to 7 people.
Kairgeldy Kabyldin, past President of the Board of Directors was
replaced by Asiya Syrgabekova - Financial Director of NC KMG,
independent director Christopher Mackenzie left The Board of Directors,
which has led to a reduction in the number of independent board
members, from 3 to 2 people. Reducing the quantity and the number of
independent directors on the board of directors, according to JSC "BCC
Invest", may lead to deterioration in the quality of corporate governance.
But analysts JSC "BCC Invest "believe that the news is neutral for the
stock price and depository receipts KMG since EGM agenda has been
published previously, and investors were already aware of forthcoming
changes in the composition of the Board of Directors. JSC" BCC Invest
"retains the recommendation" to hold "the shares and GDRs RD EP with
target price KZT20,300 per share and $ 23.30 per GDR.
Analysts of JSC "BCC Invest" also expect the following developments
in international markets:
- on Russian markets the second day of the week will be neutral in terms
of macroeconomic statistics, so investors will be watching for corporate
events, and news from abroad. Today, VTB will announce the results of
its activities under IFRS for the year 2009. In addition, on Tuesday held a
press conference on the theme "Becoming a Customs Union of Russia,
Belarus, Kazakhstan: Current Situation and Prospects", the outcome of
which may have an impact on the market. At the opening of the morning
trading session on the Russian stock market analysts JSC "BCC Invest"
expect continued growth in the major indexes, with the support of
positive trading in Asia and the moderate growth of futures for the major
U.S. indexes at the moment.
- European markets come out the revised data on GDP growth of France
and Britain in the fourth quarter of 2009, as well as the price index for
imported goods in Germany in February. In addition, the expected
publication of data on house prices in the British Isles during the March
and the current account in pounds sterling at the fourth quarter of last
year.
- on the U.S. markets are expected to publish an indicator of consumer
confidence for March and the index of house prices at the beginning of
the year (S&P Case-Shiller)., Which is expected to decline by 0.6%.
Analysts of BCC Invest JSC are giving the following advice for
investors in securities of issuers in internal market:
----------------------------------------------------------------------
Issuer Last price Target Predicted price,
code price % Recom-
mendation
----------------- ------- ---------- ------ ---------------- ---------
Kazkommertsbank KKGB 683.01 695 +1.68 Hold
KKGBp 269.50 347 +28.87 Hold
Halyk Bank HSBK 385 335 -13.12 Sell
Bank CenterCredit CCBN 750 777 +3.60 Hold
Tsesnabank TSBN 940 737 -21.60 Cut
KazMunaiGaz RDGZ 21,670 20,300 -6.32 Hold
Kazakhmys PLC GB_KZMS 3,300 3,528 +6.91 Hold
ENRC PLC GB_ENRC 2,600 2,642 +1.62 Hold
Kazakhtelekom KZTK 16,803 17,800 +5.93 Hold
KZTKp 7,900 10,300 +30.38 Buy
MREK MREK 960 800 -16.67 Cut
----------------------------------------------------------------------
The given material has exclusively information character and is not the offer
or recommendation to make any transactions with the stocks. Agency Irbis doesn't
take responsibility for the opinions which are in given material.
[2010-03-30]