Market reviews and recommendations of BCC Invest JSC (Kazakhstan) analysts for March 11, 2010
11.03.10 22:16
/IRBIS, March 11, 2010/ - BCC Invest JSC has provided IRBIS with a
survey of main events, market reviews and investment ideas for March 11,
2010.
JSC BCC Invest is noted the following important events in the market:
Reporting of Bank CenterCredit for 2009: Financial results are not
impressive. BCC has published audited consolidated financial statements
under IFRS for the year 2009, according to which bank assets in 2009
increased to KZT 220 billion (or 23.4%) from KZT 940.5 billion to KZT 1,161
billion, liabilities of the bank during the reporting period rose 26% to KZT
1,063 billion, equity capital - at 3% to KZT 97.6 bn. Net interest income
(before provisions) for 2008 amounted to KZT 111.6 billion and decreased as
compared with the same period last year at 19.1%, while net profit decreased
by 41.0% and amounted to KZT 3.45 billion reduction of net profit attributable
to the bank, above all, increasing the level of provisions. Net interest income
turned positive, but decreased in comparison with 2008 for 86.3% - up to
KZT 3.45 billion decline in this indicator has been offset by the growth of net
non-interest income, which in 2009 amounted to KZT 24.26 billion, mainly
due to net income from the early repayment obligations. Loans to customers
and banks in 2009 increased by comparison with 2008 by 2.7%. In 2009, the
substitution occurred at the credit portfolio investment that was characteristic
of the banking sector as a whole. In 2009 the 2.3-fold increased investments
held for trading. Positive aspect was the increase in clients' funds and banks
in 2009 to 54.3% - up KZT665.515 billion. In opinion of analysts ofASYL
INVEST the published reports are won't strongly influence to the course
of shares of traded bank, because weak financial results were negative,
but expected.
Sunkar Resources plc: Operating results Chilisay. Yesterday the
company issued a press release about the production owned by the results
of her project for the production of phosphate fertilizers on phosphate ore
deposit Chilisay in Kazakhstan. According to a press release, the company
produced 1.02 million tons of ore in 2009, which fully complies with the plans
of the company and satisfies the obligations under the contract subsoil. With
the start of production in 2008, the company received additional experience
and results of a study of factors affecting the extraction process and confirms
that the work on the extraction of ore can be conducted year round. In the
process of enriching the company processed 180 thousand tons of ore and
produced 90 thousand tons of phosphorite concentrate with 17% of the
content of P205 and the level of extraction of 79%. The company currently
has construction plant and railroad complex. The company has spent about $
2.5 million for construction of the complex in 2009. The total cost of about $ 7
million and the planned date of putting the facility into operation is scheduled
for 2 square. 2010. The 3 square. In 2010 the company plans to begin
shipping products to local farmers. During the past year the company tried to
save money by grinding of the concentrate in enterprises producing cement,
however, high capacity utilization data for enterprises did not convenient for
the processing of foreign facilities. As a result, it was decided to build its own
plant. In the press release also stated that the company's cash position at the
beginning of the year totaled $ 18.5 million news and results of the company
are positive. In the near future, the company plans to announce the results of
feasibility study on the production of ammonium phosphate fertilizers.
Analysts of ASYL INVEST believe that these results will have impact on
the future dynamics of the value of the company.
Uranium One: The accounts for 2009 better than expected, good
forecasts for 2010. After the close of trading yesterday, the company issued
financial statements for the 4 quarter and full year 2009. As well as operating
results for the first two months of this year. The company's revenues in 2009
totaled $ 152 million, against forecasts of $ 143 million net loss the company
made $ 36 million, almost half the forecast of $ 75.5 million loss per share
was $ 0.08 against forecasts of $ 0,092. The company forecasts production
of uranium at the level of 6.8 million pounds in 2010 and 8 million pounds
v2011 year. In 2009 production was 3.6 million pounds in 2008 - 2.9 million
pounds. The first two months of 2010 the company has already produced 1.2
million pounds. Capital costs of the company in 2010 expected to reach $
151 million, including $ 90 million on development projects in Kazakhstan.
The remaining $ 61 million will be spent on development projects in Australia
and the United States. The loss of the company in 2009 is mainly due to
lower prices of products, from $ 68 per pound (in 2008) to $ 48 per pound (in
2009). In connection with the start of production at South Inkai deposit with
cash costs of $ 21 per pound, total cash costs to produce 1 pound of
production rose in 2009 to $ 16, compared with $ 14 in 2008. The accounts
of the company and analysts forecast the company ASYL INVEST
evaluated positively and expect a positive impact on the dynamics of
the value of the company.
China has increased imports of copper by 10% in February. Yesterday
we published data on exports and imports of China in February, which were
significantly better than expectations. Customs Service under heaven
reported that copper imports in February amounted to 322.3 thousand tons,
up 10% more than in January, but 2% less than a year ago. Despite the
assumption that imports in February may be weak due to long weekend
devoted to celebrating in a new year in China, the volume of imports as a
whole was at a high level. Chinese factor remains the main driver of growth
in copper prices. Investors are not even afraid of the growth stocks of the
metal to the maximum over the past few years' levels. The situation with the
forward curve for copper on the London Metal Exchange also speaks of
unsustainable growth, because observed bekvardatsiya. News in general is
positive for copper and stock quotes Kazakhmys.
KMG KMG: Loss of daily production from suspension of production activities
OMG on March 10, according to preliminary estimates, reached 700 tons.
Previously, daily losses during the protest action were estimated at 200-400
tons of oil per day. At yesterday's trading company has repurchased 92 771
preference share at a price of KZT21,180.06 per share.
National Bank: Annual general meeting of shareholders of the People's
Bank will be held April 23, 2010. In the agenda of the meeting - approval of
annual financial statements of the bank for the year 2009, the approval of
allocation of net income of the bank and the payment of dividends, consider
increasing the number of declared shares of the bank and changes in bank
charter. The central bank in February bought more than $ 1.7 billion in order
to prevent too rapid strengthening tenge.
Kazakhstan's economy: growth of GDP according to preliminary data, in
January and February of this year compared to the same period last year
amounted to 6-7%.
The given material has exclusively information character and is not the offer
or recommendation to make any transactions with the stocks. Agency Irbis doesn't
take responsibility for the opinions which are in given material.
[2010-03-11]