Market reviews and recommendations of analysts of BCC Invest JSC (Kazakhstan) for February 24, 2010
25.02.10 17:58
/IRBIS, February 24, 2010/ - BCC Invest JSC has provided IRBIS with a
survey of main events, market reviews and investment ideas for February 24,
2010.
Analysts of JSC BCC Invest now expects that the Kazakhstan stock
market will experience dynamic changeable under the influence, on the one
hand, the head of the Fed statement about interest rates and investors
concerns about the budget problems and a possible reduction in credit
ratings of Greece, on the other side. Analysts of JSC "BCC Invest" expect
weak neutral dynamics of the Kazakh stock market before the opening of
trading in Europe, and then will set the tone of European traders, and the
course of trading on KASE will be determined by the movement of quotations
of depositary receipts of Kazakhstan's companies on the London Stock
Exchange.
JSC "BCC Invest" also noted the following important events in the
Kazakh market:
- JSC Kazakhtelecom as part of the strategy and program of asset
restructuring, approved by the board of directors, announced that is
currently exploring options to sell 77.08% stake Nursat. Kazakhtelecom
invites investors interested in stock options Nursat contact the company
at term to 04 March. Kazakhtelecom intends to conclude a deal before
the end of May 2010. The company does not disclose the value of sold
shares. Analysts JSC "BCC Invest" indicate that the lack of information
the estimated amount of the transaction is currently not possible to
assess the effect that the transaction will have on the stock quotations of
JSC Kazakhtelecom. AO Nursat occupies an insignificant portion of total
revenue AO Kazakhtelecom (about 2% in our estimation), and its sale in
our opinion would not a substantial loss of revenue AO Kazakhtelecom.
Analysts AO "BCC Invest" assess the transaction amount in the range of
KZT1.3 billion ($ 7-20 million.) Analysts confirm the recommendation to
"hold" on common shares KZTK c target price of KZT17,800 per share
and "buy" on preferred shares KZTKp with a target price of KZT10,300
per share.
- JSC KazMunaiGas EP from March 1 will announce its financial results
for the fourth quarter of 2009, the company said. Conference call for
investors and analysts will be held at 18:00 AST (12:00 London) on the
same day. The data for the participation a conference call: number of
participants +44-20-8515 2302, code - KazMunaiGas 4Q Results.
Analysts of JSC "BCC Invest" are also waiting for the next events in the
international markets:
- on Russian markets today are data on the growth of foreign direct
investment in the country for the fourth quarter of last year and the
state's gold reserves at the end of last year. At the opening of today's
trading analytics JSC "BCC Invest" expect moderate adverse market
movements, which may be caused by the negative influence of the
external background and the continuing weakening of the single
European currency.
- European markets today are data on unemployment in Germany in
February that it would be one of the major economic events of the day. In
addition, to be published indexes of consumer and industrial confidence
in France and the euro area in February, and the data on the growth of
investment in the UK for the fourth quarter of last year. Today the
majority of the shares of Asian companies traded in the red on the
background of re-surging concern for Greece, leaving analysts JSC
"BCC Invest" expect a negative mood at the opening of the trading day in
European countries.
- on the U.S. markets again today the market will closely monitor the
performance of another Ben Bernanke before Congress. Plus, the
financial markets may affect economic statistics, which today will please
plenty of publications. Most interesting will be the publication of data on
the growth of orders for durable goods and initial applications for
unemployment benefits.
- Today also held an auction on placement of 7-year-old Treasury bonds,
which once again expected to be high volume deployment.
Analysts of BCC Invest JSC are giving the following advice for
investors in securities of issuers in internal market:
----------------------------------------------------------------------
Issuer Last price Target Predicted price,
code price % Recom-
mendation
----------------- ------- ---------- ------ ---------------- ---------
Kazkommertsbank KKGB 610 695 13.85 Hold
KKGBp 245 347 41.76 Hold
Halyk Bank HSBK 359 335 -6.82 Hold
Bank CenterCredit CCBN 750 947 26.27 Buy
KazMunaiGaz RDGZ 21,200 21,100 -0.47 Hold
Kazakhmys PLC GB_KZMS 3,070 3,528 14.92 Hold
ENRC PLC GB_ENRC 2,400 2,709 12.88 Buy
Kazakhtelekom KZTK 18,000 17,800 -1.11 Hold
KZTKp 8,100 10,300 27.16 Buy
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The given material has exclusively information character and is not the offer
or recommendation to make any transactions with the stocks. Agency Irbis doesn't
take responsibility for the opinions which are in given material.
[2010-02-25]