Investment ideas by ASYL INVEST JSC (Kazakhstan) analysts' on February 18, 2010
18.02.10 18:52
/IRBIS, February 18, 2010/ - ASYL INVEST JSC (Almaty) provided an overview
of major events and their investment ideas and forecast to IRBIS on February 18,
2010.
According to the massage the analysts of ASYL INVEST expected at
international stock markets:
- Today, analysts of ASYL INVEST do not preclude the reduction of stock
markets in Europe and the U.S. against the fixation of profits after several
days of growth. Asian stock indexes are now largely reduced. Japanese
stock index Nikkei 225 rising to within 0.15%. Hong Kong Hang Seng index
decreased by 0.3%. Australian Index S&P/ASX 200 is reduced by 0.3%.
South Korean KOSPI index falling within 0.3%. Nearby futures for Brent
crude traded at $ 75.85 per barrel, Mark WTI about $ 76.9 per barrel. Gold
traded at in 1100$/ounce, Silver - 15.8$/ounce, Copper - 3.22 $ / lb. Futures
on U.S. indexes are now showing a decrease in the range 0.15% - 0.25%.
Rate EUR / USD - 1.3577, GBP / USD - 1.5662.
- Impact on the course of trading today, the U.S. may have information on
applications for unemployment benefits. It is expected that the rate of
decline. Also, expected be published positive data on regional industrial
index of Philadelphia Fed. for February. The core producer price index, also
published today, is expected to reach 0.8% in January. Important Quotes of
crude oil and oil companies today are the U.S. Department of Energy data on
commercial stocks of crude oil and petroleum products. Expected growth in
oil and gasoline.
- In the corporate sector will be published financial statements of several
companies: Daimler, Societe Generale, AXA, Dell, Barrick Gold, Goodyear
Tire & Rubber and Wal-Mart.
Analysts of ASYL INVEST give the following advice for investors on the
Kazakh market shares: in the course of yesterday's trading KASE index showed
an increase of 1.2%. Trading volume has declined relative to the previous trading
to $ 579.7 thousand top gainers were shares of ENRC (+6.9%), Kazakhmys
(+3.1%), KMG EP (+1.4%). Worse market traded securities of the financial
sector. Shares CMC (-4.7%) showed the worst among the dynamics of stock
index KASE. The best in the financial sector were shares of BCC (1.7%). As well
as in foreign markets, today analysts of ASYL INVEST do not preclude correction
in the domestic market shares in connection with the possible desire of investors
to take profits. Equity issuers with dual listing, in most rightly evaluated in
relation to the closing prices on foreign markets. Exceptions are traditionally
the action Kazakhtelecom that the domestic market slightly higher (+6%) than on
the stock exchange in Frankfurt as well as shares of Kazakhmys, which in the
domestic market are more expensive (3.5%) than on the stock exchange in London. In
the first half of trading today, we expect weak activity in the domestic market.
With the opening of trading in Europe, the dynamics of KASE index will depend on
changes in prices of domestic "blue chip" abroad. Speculative investor sentiment
analysts ASYL INVEST recommend to keep their long positions and record
profits for the appearance of signals for the correction.
Analysts of ASYL INVEST note that the debt market of Kazakhstan on
Wednesday showed a weak positive trend. At the end of the trading day the
price index of domestic bonds KASE_BP rose by 0.05%. Top gainers were
bonds BTA Mortgages (BTAIb14). The volume of transactions by domestic debt
instruments has declined significantly on the performance of previous trades and
made $ 2.7 million were the most liquid securities Kazakhstan Mortgage
Company.
On the debt market analysts of ASYL INVEST recommend speculative-
minded investors to pay attention to the coupon subordinated bonds
KZ2CKY10B513 Kazkommertsbank (KKGBb4, PEFC. Yield - 13.7%, net price
- 82.7014% of face value, coupon rate - 8.9%, indexed to inflation, maturity date
- 25.03.15). Analysts ASYL INVEST consider options market sufficiently
attractive, based on the strong position of the bank. According to the Bank's
financial statements for the nine months of 2009, interest income before
provisioning increased by 2% as a result of rising interest rates on assets,
income-from 15.2% to 15.4%, net non-interest income increased by more than
6.5 times in connection with repurchase own eurobonds Bank / bonds worth
KZT23 billion. During the reporting period also saw an influx of clients' funds,
private deposits increased by almost 16%. In 2009, the Bank has demonstrated
good credit by paying in November 2009 eurobonds worth $ 500 million in July to
25 billion yen in December, the Bank repaid syndicated loan worth $ 300 million
and partially extinguished eurobonds. Bank is also to pay coupons on its debt
obligations. Trading recommendations ASYL INVEST: buy when the yield 15%,
sell at yields of 10%.
The given material has exclusively information character and is not the offer or
the recommendation to make any transactions with the stocks. Agency "Irbis"
doesn't take responsibility for the opinions which are in given material.
[2010-02-18]